Cade Crossland
P
Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
A
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107116vR 125
ERA4.69
FIP4.69
K%24.3%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 16 | 15 | 62 | 264 | 91 | 47 | 5 | 94% | 3.9 | 25.5% | 21.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.19 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 38 | 159 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.69 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | STL | — | — | 100 | 423 | 130 | 67 | 10 | — | — | 30.6% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 2.3% | 4.38 | 4.86 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 41 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | STL | 4 | 4 | 19 | 80 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 24.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 19 | 81 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 24.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 37 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 94 | 21 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 15 | 62 | 264 | 67 | 55 | 7 | 94% | 3.9 | 25.5% | 21.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.19 | 4.96 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 48 | 200 | 847 | 216 | 178 | 21 | 94% | 3.9 | 25.5% | 21.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.19 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cade Crossland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 24.3% | 12.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.45 | 24.9% | 13.4% | 39 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Kash Mayfield L 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 85 |
| Caden Grice L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 85 |
| Brent Killam L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.35 | 29.1% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .284 | 7.12 | 18.4% | 9.6% | 80 | +2.77 | 4.35 | 121 | 84 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 83 |
| Hogan Harris L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 81 |
| Brent Headrick L 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .383 | 4.63 | 24.2% | 16.7% | 227 | +0.11 | 2.40 | 382 | 81 |
| Samy Natera Jr. L 2027 · 5.17 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.17 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% | .294 | 3.68 | 29.8% | 14.8% | 108 | -1.49 | 1.94 | 191 | 81 |
| Mason Molina L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.28 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 2.7% | .276 | 3.56 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 69 | -0.72 | 3.56 | 165 | 80 |
| Johnny King L 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.22 | 23.7% | 15.4% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 129 | 80 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 79 |
| Rylan Kaufman L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.35 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.69 | 18.9% | 4.5% | 131 | +0.34 | 4.01 | 212 | 79 |
| Hunter Barco L 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 79 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .289 | 4.64 | 18.0% | 4.0% | 152 | +0.60 | 4.01 | 258 | 79 |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.67 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.89 | 20.3% | 3.7% | 33 | -0.78 | 2.81 | 146 | 79 |
| John Beller L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.59 | 19.7% | 14.1% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.22 | 22.2% | 7.1% | 90 | -0.37 | 4.00 | 170 | 78 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2028 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 78 |
| Evan Lee L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 78 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.24 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .298 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 8.0% | 358 | +0.95 | 4.24 | 501 | 78 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 21.8% | 14.0% | 1.4% | .335 | 3.81 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 84 | +0.01 | 3.80 | 152 | 78 |
| Cole Ragans L 2027 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.15 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.38 | 26.8% | 17.4% | 445 | -1.77 | 2.46 | 623 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 1.15 | 4.61 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |