Bodi Rascon P Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 25 LHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152161vR 170
ERA6.79
FIP6.79
K%10.5%
BB%20.8%
K-BB%-10.3%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
K: -6.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-6KBB: -9.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-10BBCONTACT: -1.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -1.56 (59 IP)-1.6WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF2525
CTRL2020
CMD2020
K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201918ROKAZL Padres 233623620100%2.026.1%8.7%17.4%0.0%0.002.00
201918ROKAZL Padres 233623620100%2.026.1%8.7%17.4%0.0%0.002.10
202120MIX2 levels116321383010255%2.915.4%8.8%6.6%3.0%3.944.55
202120MIX2 levels116321383010255%2.921.7%7.2%14.5%1.4%3.942.98
202221MIX2 levels20178136470301285%4.014.3%9.7%4.7%4.9%5.245.80
202221MIX2 levels20178136470301285%4.019.2%8.2%11.0%3.3%5.244.41
202322A+Fort Wayne TinCaps1715632776335588%3.717.5%14.5%3.0%3.2%3.595.24
202322A+Fort Wayne TinCaps1715632776335588%3.722.7%12.6%10.1%1.8%3.593.80
202524MIX2 levels26051258404540%2.011.5%19.8%-8.3%2.0%7.015.72
202524MIX2 levels26051258404540%2.015.5%17.4%-1.9%1.6%7.015.18
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBSD57060251275270%1.010.5%20.8%-10.3%2.9%6.796.79-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBSD57060251334970%1.013.1%19.6%-6.5%2.9%6.486.43-1.3
202827MLBSD56059247344770%1.013.9%18.9%-5.0%2.9%6.326.31-1.2
202726MLBSD25026110142230%1.013.1%19.6%-6.5%2.9%6.486.43-0.6
202827MLBSD35037156223050%1.113.9%18.9%-5.0%2.9%6.326.31-0.8
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career59062264365180%1.113.6%19.2%-5.6%2.9%6.395.98-1.0
/ 200 IP1900200844115163260%1.113.6%19.2%-5.6%2.9%6.395.98-1.4
Career774123310601581413653%3.014.9%13.3%1.6%3.4%4.875.39+0.0
/ 200 IP66352009111351213153%3.014.9%13.3%1.6%3.4%4.875.39+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Bodi Rascon (OGILVIE) 6.79 10.5%20.8%2.9% 6.37 13.5%-5.8%118 -0.42
Mike Kickham L 2027 · 6.65 FIP 26 SW 6.65 10.4%27.2%1.8%.222 3.59 16.6%12.0%194 -3.06 3.00 368 72
Mason Miller L 2025 · 6.05 FIP 24 SW 6.05 12.8%18.6%3.1%.258 3.21 150 69
Jack O'Loughlin L 2026 · 6.35 FIP 25 SP- 6.35 11.8%18.1%3.6%.319 3.83 348 66
Anderson Polanco L 2026 · 6.02 FIP 25 SW 6.02 19.9%20.9%3.5%.298 5.41 18.9%2.6%47 -0.61 4.00 316 66
Tim Berry L 2026 · 5.80 FIP 25 SP- 5.80 11.3%13.5%3.5%.380 4.04 20.0%1.8%44 -1.76 4.04 196 64
Jared Poche L 2025 · 5.75 FIP 24 SU 5.75 13.4%15.2%3.4%.275 4.26 156 63
Kevin Smith L 2026 · 6.28 FIP 25 SW 6.28 17.5%16.2%4.8%.269 3.19 248 63
Aliangel Lopez L 2024 · 6.47 FIP 23 SW 6.47 13.0%13.9%4.9%.371 4.28 260 63
Dalton Rogers L 2026 · 6.26 FIP 25 SP- 6.26 15.8%18.5%3.9%.198 3.42 326 61
Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.16 FIP 25 SU 6.16 15.3%17.1%4.0%.275 4.98 19.5%-8.3%18 -1.18 4.80 223 59
Houston Harding L 2026 · 5.80 FIP 25 SU 5.80 17.9%15.0%4.2%.307 4.93 14.8%2.9%135 -0.87 3.39 232 58
Chris Nunn L 2025 · 5.94 FIP 24 SU 5.94 13.9%16.8%3.4%.350 3.97 19.3%6.7%37 -1.97 3.26 180 58
Michael Prosecky L 2026 · 6.85 FIP 25 SU 6.85 7.5%18.6%3.7%.304 3.19 278 58
Dan Lietz L 2025 · 5.92 FIP 24 SU 5.92 11.1%13.2%3.8%.305 4.47 188 57
Brandon Neeck L 2026 · 6.46 FIP 25 SU 6.46 16.8%16.7%4.8%.298 3.88 28.8%9.1%38 -2.58 3.74 171 56
Trevor Seidenberger L 2025 · 6.50 FIP 24 SU 6.50 13.1%14.9%4.8%.309 4.63 101 55
Steve Hajjar L 2024 · 6.73 FIP 23 SU 6.73 15.0%25.6%3.0%.150 3.67 141 55
Konnor Pilkington L 2026 · 6.50 FIP 25 SP- 6.50 18.2%17.7%4.9%.338 4.85 20.5%4.7%217 -1.65 3.92 650 53
Caleb Franzen L 2024 · 6.40 FIP 23 SU 6.40 7.6%18.6%2.9%.190 3.96 138 53
Levi Prater L 2024 · 6.57 FIP 23 SU 6.57 15.8%23.5%3.3%.225 6.57 110 53

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35912.5%19.8%1.126.53
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82