Eric Stout P Tacoma Rainiers
Age 33 LHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.63
FIP4.74
K%22.6%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -1.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -1.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +2.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.12 (53 IP)-0.1WAR
0.0-0.1-0.32628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5555
CTRL2525
CMD4040
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1692.1
Whiff%
p6227.1%
K%
p5322.7%
xwOBA vs
p310.334
SL-1.6
FB-2.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201522MIX3 levels2014015925725%2.09.4%6.0%3.4%1.8%3.154.07
201522MIX3 levels2014015925725%2.015.7%4.4%11.3%1.3%3.153.02
201623AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals42072299692430%1.718.7%8.8%9.9%1.3%3.863.35
201623AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals42072299692430%1.723.1%8.0%15.1%1.0%3.862.73
201724AAAOmaha Storm Chasers45169292562742%1.516.9%9.7%7.2%1.7%2.993.81
201724AAAOmaha Storm Chasers45169292562742%1.519.2%9.2%9.9%1.4%2.993.40
201825MIX2 levels41257264461475%1.415.6%5.1%10.5%1.8%5.493.44+0.7
201825MIX2 levels41257264461475%1.417.4%5.3%12.1%2.7%5.493.82+0.5
201926MIX2 levels2196228854371543%3.016.3%13.8%2.5%6.4%6.067.00
201926MIX2 levels2196228854371543%3.018.8%12.8%5.9%5.2%6.066.28
202128AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp7418922118657%2.520.1%20.5%-0.5%9.3%10.199.11
202128AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp7418922118657%2.522.8%19.6%3.3%6.5%10.198.19
202229MIX2 levels47165297884462%1.427.1%15.3%11.8%2.1%3.863.92+0.6
202229MIX2 levels47165297884462%1.429.6%14.8%14.8%2.0%3.863.62+0.8
202330AAATacoma Rainiers214411824421319%1.921.3%12.1%9.2%1.4%4.203.60
202330AAATacoma Rainiers214411824421319%1.924.2%11.5%12.6%1.6%4.203.44
▸ 2026 Season
202633MLBSEA51054226512670%1.022.6%11.7%10.9%3.1%4.634.74-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734MLBSEA46049206452470%1.121.8%11.9%9.9%3.4%4.835.00-0.3
202835MLBSEA42044185392370%1.020.9%12.3%8.7%3.7%5.085.28-0.4
202734MLBSEA303133200%1.021.8%11.9%9.9%3.4%4.835.00-0.0
202835MLBSEA020.9%12.3%8.7%3.7%5.085.28
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career26028139301940%1.121.5%13.3%8.1%3.2%7.024.73-0.1
/ 200 IP18702001002216137290%1.121.5%13.3%8.1%3.2%7.024.73+1.6
Career244224251873346204529%1.718.5%10.9%7.6%2.8%4.494.45+4.7
/ 200 IP1151020088116396259%1.718.5%10.9%7.6%2.8%4.494.45+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Eric Stout (OGILVIE) 4.74 22.6%11.7%3.1% 5.13 21.4%9.3%92 +0.39
Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.51 FIP 33 SU 4.51 19.8%11.3%3.0%.286 3.60 17.8%6.4%52 -0.91 3.60 190 83
Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.13 FIP 31 SU 4.13 22.1%14.3%2.0%.290 3.06 145 79
Phil Coke L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 33 SU 4.00 18.8%9.1%2.4%.373 3.04 18.0%11.3%70 -0.96 3.04 101 77
Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.65 FIP 35 SU 4.65 21.6%7.4%4.4%.257 4.01 21.9%14.5%93 -0.64 3.24 156 74
Adam Liberatore L 2024 · 4.29 FIP 31 SU 4.29 18.6%9.1%2.9%.354 2.44 124 74
Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.45 FIP 32 SU 4.45 17.5%11.0%2.6%.325 4.79 16.0%3.0%27 +0.34 3.77 127 74
Adam Loewen L 2026 · 4.13 FIP 33 SU 4.13 23.4%17.4%1.5%.293 2.96 176 73
Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP 34 SU 4.86 16.4%6.4%4.2%.279 4.51 16.2%6.5%94 -0.35 4.22 159 73
Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.83 FIP 33 SW 4.83 23.6%8.0%4.9%.333 4.57 14.1%4.5%193 -0.26 4.40 249 73
Zach Phillips L 2025 · 3.65 FIP 32 SU 3.65 19.1%8.5%2.0%.355 2.29 202 72
Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.25 FIP 33 SU 4.25 21.7%7.0%3.8%.304 3.85 21.9%14.0%152 -0.40 1.67 421 71
Luis Avilán L 2026 · 5.19 FIP 33 SU 5.19 22.2%10.0%4.9%.290 2.68 256 71
Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 3.96 FIP 33 SU 3.96 22.4%12.9%2.1%.297 2.94 245 71
Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 4.17 FIP 33 SW 4.17 16.7%8.3%2.6%.295 2.83 225 70
Tony Sipp L 2026 · 5.72 FIP 33 SU 5.72 20.5%9.2%5.8%.320 3.38 24.4%15.6%97 -2.34 2.18 195 69
Boone Logan L 2026 · 5.55 FIP 33 SU 5.55 24.1%12.1%5.4%.353 2.44 113 69
Roenis Elías L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 33 SW 3.89 17.4%7.2%2.5%.316 6.84 18.4%12.3%21 +2.95 3.19 564 68
Jeff Beliveau L 2024 · 3.76 FIP 31 SU 3.76 23.3%14.4%1.5%.309 3.10 137 67
Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 3.97 FIP 33 SW 3.97 17.1%6.9%2.6%.376 3.97 280 67
Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 5.24 FIP 33 SU 5.24 14.8%13.2%3.1%.340 2.79 181 66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION34921.8%11.9%1.304.83
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21