Bryan Sammons
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 31
LHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 66 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126135vR 144
ERA5.13
FIP5.59
K%18.6%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 107 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.5
Whiff%
p3623.3%
K%
p1617.3%
xwOBA vs
p360.328
FB+8.6 (39%)
CU (8%)
SL (19%)
CT-0.9 (25%)
CH-1.9 (8%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 8 | 50 | 207 | 66 | 18 | 3 | 62% | 3.9 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 2.50 | 3.60 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 8 | 50 | 207 | 66 | 18 | 3 | 62% | 3.9 | 31.9% | 8.7% | 23.2% | 1.4% | 2.50 | 2.33 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 21 | 113 | 479 | 101 | 38 | 5 | 95% | 5.1 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 3.91 | 3.53 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 21 | 113 | 479 | 101 | 38 | 5 | 95% | 5.1 | 21.1% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 1.0% | 3.91 | 2.90 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 119 | 495 | 131 | 49 | 12 | 96% | 4.8 | 21.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 3.18 | 4.26 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 119 | 495 | 131 | 49 | 12 | 96% | 4.8 | 26.5% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 2.4% | 3.18 | 3.44 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 21 | 108 | 489 | 100 | 61 | 24 | 78% | 4.0 | 17.0% | 13.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.52 | 5.90 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 21 | 108 | 489 | 100 | 61 | 24 | 78% | 4.0 | 20.4% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.52 | 5.84 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 37 | 1 | 50 | 219 | 59 | 17 | 14 | 3% | 1.4 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 5.76 | 6.68 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 37 | 1 | 50 | 219 | 59 | 17 | 14 | 3% | 1.4 | 26.9% | 7.8% | 19.2% | 6.4% | 5.76 | 5.40 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 82 | 363 | 95 | 38 | 16 | 89% | 4.3 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 4.83 | 5.75 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 17 | 82 | 363 | 95 | 38 | 16 | 89% | 4.3 | 26.2% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 4.4% | 4.83 | 4.71 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 20 | 129 | 546 | 120 | 53 | 20 | 71% | 4.6 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.04 | 6.02 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 20 | 129 | 546 | 120 | 53 | 20 | 71% | 4.6 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 4.04 | 4.48 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 10 | 8 | 41 | 177 | 35 | 20 | 8 | 80% | 4.1 | 17.4% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.83 | 5.86 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | DET | 11 | 11 | 66 | 280 | 52 | 31 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.13 | 5.59 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | DET | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.13 | 5.59 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | DET | — | — | 107 | 457 | 87 | 51 | 20 | — | — | 19.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 5.02 | 5.69 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | DET | — | — | 7 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 18.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.13 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | DET | 12 | 12 | 71 | 299 | 55 | 34 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.43 | 5.72 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | DET | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 49 | 32 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.67 | 5.89 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 18.3% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.43 | 5.72 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | DET | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.67 | 5.89 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 12 | 96 | 393 | 70 | 42 | 19 | 67% | 5.3 | 17.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.98 | 5.55 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 24 | 200 | 821 | 146 | 88 | 40 | 66% | 5.4 | 17.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.98 | 5.55 | -0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 181 | 120 | 692 | 2975 | 577 | 320 | 126 | 66% | 3.8 | 19.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 4.41 | 5.14 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 35 | 200 | 860 | 167 | 92 | 36 | 66% | 3.8 | 19.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 4.41 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryan Sammons (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.59 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 4.2% | — | 5.80 | 18.0% | 6.6% | 136 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Travis Blackley L 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 74 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.80 | 20.4% | 11.1% | 3.7% | .307 | 4.40 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 40 | -0.40 | 4.40 | 713 | 71 |
| Sean Nolin L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.59 | 20.4% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .316 | 5.87 | 19.8% | 12.3% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.62 | 309 | 69 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.56 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .322 | 6.02 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 85 | +1.46 | 4.01 | 642 | 67 |
| Luke Westphal L 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.48 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .321 | 4.52 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 67 |
| Joey Lucchesi L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.83 | 15.2% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .293 | 3.75 | 23.0% | 15.4% | 102 | -1.08 | 3.19 | 817 | 66 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 63 |
| Danny Duffy L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.69 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% | .281 | 3.35 | 24.8% | 13.7% | 92 | -1.34 | 3.29 | 915 | 60 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2024 · 5.37 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.37 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.1% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 128 | 60 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 59 |
| Robbie Erlin L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.32 | 16.8% | 10.2% | 4.3% | .332 | 6.03 | 15.8% | 6.8% | 79 | +0.71 | 3.37 | 520 | 59 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .404 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 383 | 59 |
| Yusei Kikuchi L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.19 | 27.3% | 12.8% | 5.1% | .281 | 3.76 | 25.4% | 18.1% | 522 | -1.43 | 3.25 | 1,019 | 59 |
| Carlos Teller L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.83 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.69 | 13.1% | -1.1% | 60 | -0.14 | 3.72 | 333 | 58 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 31 | SP | 5.18 | 12.0% | 10.8% | 3.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 360 | 58 |
| Brandon Mann L 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 58 |
| Travis Wood L 2025 · 5.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.72 | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 256 | 58 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2024 · 5.15 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.15 | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 182 | 58 |
| Marco Tovar L 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.79 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 327 | 56 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2027 · 5.56 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.56 | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.2% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 368 | 56 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 71 | 18.2% | 11.3% | 1.66 | 5.40 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |