Bryan Sammons
P
Toledo Mud Hens
+0.0
WAR
Age 31
LHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.45
FIP5.01
xFIP5.49
SIERA5.24
K%21.3%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%11.5%
IP109
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†4545
FB Velo
p1091.5
Whiff%
p3623.3%
K%
p1617.3%
xwOBA vs
p360.328
FB+8.6 (39%)
CU (8%)
SL (19%)
CT-0.9 (25%)
CH-1.9 (8%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 13 | 8 | 50 | 207 | 66 | 18 | 3 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 2.50 | 3.58 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 22 | 21 | 113 | 479 | 101 | 38 | 5 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 3.91 | 3.62 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 25 | 24 | 119 | 495 | 131 | 49 | 12 | 21.1% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 3.18 | 4.28 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 27 | 21 | 108 | 489 | 100 | 61 | 24 | 17.0% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 6.52 | 6.11 | -1.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 37 | 1 | 50 | 219 | 59 | 17 | 14 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.76 | 6.60 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 19 | 17 | 82 | 363 | 95 | 38 | 16 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 4.83 | 5.45 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 28 | 20 | 129 | 546 | 120 | 53 | 20 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 4.04 | 5.31 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 4 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 16.2% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 4.42 | 3.40 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | DET | 20 | 20 | 109 | 461 | 86 | 49 | 17 | 18.6% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 4.63 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | DET | — | — | 128 | 537 | 100 | 54 | 18 | 18.6% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 5.07 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | DET | 19 | 19 | 105 | 443 | 81 | 47 | 17 | 18.3% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 5.02 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | DET | 18 | 18 | 100 | 423 | 76 | 45 | 16 | 17.9% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 5.21 | 5.40 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | DET | 17 | 17 | 95 | 402 | 70 | 43 | 16 | 17.4% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 5.35 | 5.48 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | DET | 16 | 16 | 90 | 379 | 64 | 41 | 15 | 16.8% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 5.49 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | DET | 15 | 15 | 84 | 354 | 57 | 39 | 14 | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.65 | 5.76 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 175 | 115 | 669 | 2874 | 558 | 304 | 111 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 4.38 | 4.93 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 34 | 200 | 859 | 167 | 91 | 33 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 4.38 | 4.93 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryan Sammons (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.35 | 18.6% | 10.7% | 3.8% | — | 5.41 | 17.9% | 7.3% | 300 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Castillo L 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 4.82 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.33 | 4.49 | 408 | 82 |
| Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.07 | 20.4% | 11.1% | 4.2% | .307 | 4.34 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 40 | -0.73 | 4.34 | 713 | 79 |
| Everett Teaford L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 77 |
| Travis Blackley L 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .324 | 4.45 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.44 | 3.85 | 225 | 76 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | .301 | 4.73 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.06 | 4.33 | 445 | 75 |
| Tomas Solis L 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .264 | 5.13 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +0.96 | 4.17 | 327 | 75 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.49 | 19.3% | 11.1% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.30 | 16.9% | 8.2% | 226 | -0.19 | 2.89 | 391 | 72 |
| Joey Lucchesi L 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.94 | 15.2% | 11.8% | 3.0% | .293 | 3.85 | 20.5% | 14.0% | 69 | -1.09 | 3.19 | 783 | 70 |
| Carlos Teller L 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .322 | 4.86 | 13.1% | -1.1% | 60 | +0.23 | 3.74 | 333 | 70 |
| Travis Wood L 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.71 | 14.9% | 10.3% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 256 | 70 |
| Anthony Vasquez L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.66 | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .322 | 6.01 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 85 | +1.35 | 4.01 | 642 | 70 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.08 | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 175 | 65 |
| Dallas Keuchel L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.22 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .289 | 4.27 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 321 | +0.05 | 2.76 | 1,377 | 64 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.75 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .404 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 383 | 64 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.49 | 19.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | .299 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 13.1% | 235 | -0.12 | 3.60 | 549 | 62 |
| Yusei Kikuchi L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.95 | 27.3% | 12.8% | 4.6% | .281 | 3.83 | 25.4% | 18.1% | 522 | -1.12 | 3.17 | 1,006 | 61 |
| Marco Tovar L 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.78 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 327 | 60 |
| Brandon Mann L 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 59 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 59 |
| Craig Breslow L 2029 · 5.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 5.04 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.48 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.56 | 4.28 | 159 | 59 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.