Brooks Gosswein P Winston-Salem Dash
Age 27 LHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%22.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP46
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP
K: -0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.02 (46 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.0-0.1-0.1262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122MIX2 levels6617661561100%2.822.7%9.1%13.6%1.5%2.653.16
202122MIX2 levels6617661561100%2.822.7%9.1%13.6%1.5%2.653.16
202223MIX2 levels24239945289571096%4.114.7%14.8%-0.2%2.3%5.365.01
202223MIX2 levels24239945289571096%4.119.7%12.6%7.1%2.2%5.364.34
202324MIX2 levels2012663106149760%3.315.2%17.9%-2.7%2.7%5.325.58
202324MIX2 levels2012663106149760%3.319.7%15.8%3.9%2.3%5.324.86
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBCWS884619544206100%5.822.5%10.2%12.3%3.0%4.514.51+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBCWS774518943196100%6.422.5%10.3%12.2%3.1%4.544.58-0.0
202829MLBCWS774318140196100%6.122.3%10.4%11.9%3.2%4.624.69-0.1
202930MLBCWS774017037186100%5.722.0%10.7%11.3%3.4%4.754.85-0.1
202728MLBCWS3316681572100%5.322.5%10.3%12.2%3.1%4.544.58-0.0
202829MLBCWS442410123113100%6.022.3%10.4%11.9%3.2%4.624.69-0.0
202930MLBCWS442711425124100%6.822.0%10.7%11.3%3.4%4.754.85-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11116728463309100%6.122.2%10.5%11.7%3.3%4.654.34+0.3
/ 200 IP33332008441888927100%6.022.2%10.5%11.7%3.3%4.654.34+2.5
Career50411828281281282082%3.615.5%15.5%0.0%2.4%5.095.08+0.7
/ 200 IP55452009101411412282%3.615.5%15.5%0.0%2.4%5.095.08+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Brooks Gosswein (OGILVIE) 4.51 22.5%10.2%3.0% 4.70 22.3%11.8%128 +0.19
Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP 27 SP- 4.53 17.4%8.8%3.3%.311 4.31 17.2%9.9%300 -0.22 3.88 523 72
Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP 27 SP- 5.27 21.7%9.8%5.0%.289 5.37 15.7%5.0%26 +0.10 5.27 128 72
Matt Lujan L 2026 · 4.90 FIP 27 SP 4.90 18.5%11.3%3.5%.319 5.13 14.3%7.9%70 +0.23 4.25 227 72
Mike Minor L 2027 · 5.50 FIP 28 SP 5.50 19.2%11.8%4.6%.330 3.78 23.2%16.4%443 -1.72 2.42 807 72
Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP 27 SP- 4.39 17.1%9.1%2.9%.311 3.08 310 72
Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP 25 SP- 4.77 18.0%10.5%3.4%.274 4.77 154 70
Taylor Varnell L 2025 · 4.52 FIP 26 SP 4.52 20.1%10.3%3.3%.278 2.89 248 70
T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP 27 SP- 4.13 16.2%9.2%2.2%.276 3.39 300 70
Ben Holmes L 2026 · 5.63 FIP 27 SP 5.63 19.7%11.1%5.1%.331 3.12 451 69
Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP 26 SP- 5.52 17.8%8.2%5.2%.321 3.65 116 68
Kohl Drake L 2025 · 5.13 FIP 26 SP 5.13 17.0%10.5%3.9%.321 3.28 297 68
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.91 FIP 25 SP- 4.91 19.6%13.9%3.1%.273 4.29 200 68
Justin Marks L 2026 · 4.56 FIP 27 SP- 4.56 15.4%10.5%2.6%.323 3.78 19.0%9.1%216 -0.78 3.75 324 68
Pete Hansen L 2025 · 4.23 FIP 26 SP 4.23 19.4%8.9%3.0%.318 3.66 437 67
Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 27 SP- 3.89 16.3%7.3%2.3%.373 4.65 13.4%4.8%78 +0.76 3.89 160 67
Alex Troop L 2026 · 4.84 FIP 27 SP- 4.84 17.8%10.9%3.4%.275 5.64 17.3%10.5%43 +0.80 2.96 379 67
Braeden Fausnaught L 2025 · 4.91 FIP 26 SP 4.91 17.6%7.8%4.2%.335 4.57 242 67
Chipper Smith L 2024 · 3.83 FIP 25 SP- 3.83 15.6%9.5%1.5%.321 3.83 109 67
Nate Peterson L 2025 · 3.67 FIP 26 SP- 3.67 17.2%11.2%1.1%.286 3.67 288 66
Danny Wirchansky L 2026 · 4.98 FIP 27 SP- 4.98 16.2%7.4%4.2%.246 6.63 13.0%0.2%68 +1.65 4.98 179 66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44422.3%10.4%1.224.60
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82