Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 3 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2.3 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.08 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | GCL Blue Jays | 3 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 2.3 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.24 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 15 | 76 | 325 | 98 | 32 | 6 | 71% | 3.6 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 2.59 | 3.89 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 15 | 76 | 325 | 98 | 32 | 6 | 71% | 3.6 | 30.2% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 1.8% | 2.59 | 2.81 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 93 | 434 | 91 | 66 | 9 | 80% | 3.7 | 17.8% | 15.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 5.59 | 4.69 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 93 | 434 | 91 | 66 | 9 | 80% | 3.7 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 5.59 | 4.53 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 11 | 0 | 13 | 57 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 18.4% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.39 | 6.22 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 11 | 0 | 13 | 57 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 17.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.39 | 5.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 3 | 3 | 18 | 78 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.4 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.38 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 60 | 35 | 189 | 844 | 174 | 113 | 20 | 58% | 3.2 | 20.6% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 4.23 | 4.33 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 37 | 200 | 892 | 184 | 119 | 21 | 58% | 3.2 | 20.6% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 4.23 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jimmy Robbins (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.76 | 22.1% | 11.0% | 20 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 70 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 70 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 67 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 67 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 67 |
| Roy Merritt L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 65 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 64 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 64 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 63 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 63 |
| Marco Tovar L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.79 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.18 | 3.79 | 327 | 63 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2025 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 62 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 62 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.19 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 4.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 311 | 62 |
| Tommy Vail L 2024 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 62 |
| Lael Lockhart L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.63 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 484 | 61 |
| Manny Banuelos L 2026 · 5.84 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.84 | 18.7% | 12.8% | 4.9% | .322 | 2.92 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 72 | -2.92 | 2.92 | 486 | 61 |
| Andy Otero L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 61 |
| Carlos Teller L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.72 | 13.8% | 10.9% | 0.7% | .329 | 4.99 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 187 | +1.27 | 3.72 | 333 | 61 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 60 |