Doug Nikhazy
P
Charlotte Knights
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 26
LHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2027
ERA4.95
FIP4.95
xFIP5.83
SIERA5.99
K%21.3%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%9.9%
IP99
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
OFP—40
STUF5055
CTRL—45
CMD3540
K†5050
FB+1.1 (62%)
SI (15%)
CU (3%)
CH (15%)
SL-0.6 (21%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 24 | 102 | 453 | 128 | 79 | 9 | 21.8% | 19.9% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 5.02 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 26 | 22 | 102 | 474 | 128 | 73 | 13 | 21.9% | 16.9% | 3.7% | 4.94 | 5.43 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 25 | 24 | 124 | 489 | 124 | 53 | 12 | 21.6% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 2.98 | 4.25 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 23 | 20 | 90 | 410 | 92 | 49 | 15 | 19.8% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 5.40 | 5.10 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 2 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.52 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 21.6% | 12.4% | 3.3% | 5.05 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 47 | 200 | 46 | 24 | 6 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 102 | 432 | 94 | 52 | 14 | 21.7% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 4.98 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 103 | 434 | 94 | 51 | 14 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 4.96 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 100 | 424 | 91 | 49 | 14 | 21.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 4.96 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 97 | 411 | 88 | 48 | 14 | 21.3% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 5.01 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 94 | 397 | 84 | 47 | 14 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 5.04 | 5.08 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 90 | 381 | 79 | 45 | 13 | 20.8% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 5.12 | 5.17 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 75 | 44 | 13 | 20.5% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 5.21 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 82 | 345 | 70 | 42 | 13 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 5.31 | 5.38 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 14 | 77 | 326 | 71 | 38 | 13 | 21.8% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 5.26 | 5.23 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 13 | 13 | 72 | 304 | 65 | 36 | 12 | 21.3% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 5.32 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 92 | 426 | 1859 | 399 | 278 | 58 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.21 | 4.88 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 43 | 200 | 873 | 187 | 131 | 27 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.21 | 4.88 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Doug Nikhazy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.05 | 21.6% | 12.4% | 3.3% | — | 4.97 | 21.6% | 9.8% | 305 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.85 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 3.6% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.39 | 3.46 | 145 | 82 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 80 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.27 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.47 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.20 | 3.49 | 165 | 80 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.09 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 77 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.16 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.20 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.04 | 2.45 | 120 | 77 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 175 | 76 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .197 | 4.65 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.46 | 4.19 | 133 | 76 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 76 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.95 | 21.0% | 14.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.99 | 17.7% | 4.9% | 37 | -0.96 | 3.58 | 206 | 75 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.53 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.62 | 3.91 | 106 | 75 |
| Andy Fisher L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.20 | 21.5% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.25 | 17.2% | 6.3% | 52 | +0.05 | 3.12 | 167 | 74 |
| Travis Bergen L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 3.9% | .259 | 4.49 | 22.9% | 4.6% | 47 | -0.24 | 2.48 | 143 | 74 |
| Mike Minor L 2028 · 5.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.65 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | .330 | 3.73 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.92 | 2.38 | 807 | 74 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 74 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.89 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 146 | 74 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .288 | 3.59 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.71 | 2.93 | 367 | 74 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.08 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 152 | 74 |
| Adam McCreery L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 20.7% | 14.5% | 2.0% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 207 | 74 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.54 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.35 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.19 | 3.66 | 330 | 74 |
| Wyatt Short L 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.44 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 4.6% | .239 | 4.16 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 74 | -1.28 | 2.73 | 288 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.