Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 76 | 329 | 90 | 42 | 5 | 100% | 3.3 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 3.91 | 4.67 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 76 | 329 | 90 | 42 | 5 | 100% | 3.3 | 27.4% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 1.5% | 3.91 | 3.24 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 67% | 1.3 | 10.5% | 26.3% | -15.8% | 5.3% | 9.00 | 8.43 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 67% | 1.3 | 10.5% | 26.3% | -15.8% | 5.3% | 9.00 | 9.10 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 23 | 0 | 33 | 159 | 42 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 16.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 5.67 | 3.89 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 23 | 0 | 33 | 159 | 42 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 0.6% | 5.67 | 3.04 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 46 | 189 | 71 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 30.0% | 8.9% | 21.1% | 2.1% | 3.15 | 2.81 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 46 | 189 | 71 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 37.6% | 7.9% | 29.6% | 2.1% | 3.15 | 2.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 9 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 22% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 7.71 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BOS | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.1% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 4.10 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 36 | 160 | 45 | 18 | 4 | — | — | 28.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 2.4% | 5.26 | 2.78 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 25.1% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 4.10 | 3.72 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 3.82 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 210 | 84 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 83 | 27 | 171 | 752 | 175 | 104 | 15 | 33% | 2.1 | 23.2% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 4.43 | 4.01 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 32 | 200 | 881 | 205 | 122 | 18 | 33% | 2.1 | 23.2% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 4.43 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeremy Wu-Yelland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.10 | 25.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.21 | 24.8% | 15.0% | 24 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 79 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 73 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 73 |
| Jorge Ibarra L 2026 · 2.93 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.93 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 0.9% | .407 | 2.79 | 21.0% | 14.5% | 99 | -0.14 | 2.57 | 146 | 73 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 72 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 72 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.31 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.85 | 3.46 | 154 | 72 |
| Chris Nunn L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.26 | 23.0% | 10.9% | 1.3% | .367 | 4.30 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 95 | +1.04 | 3.26 | 180 | 71 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2025 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 71 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .235 | 3.96 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 94 | +0.86 | 2.83 | 325 | 71 |
| Jake Diekman L 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 71 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 2.92 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.92 | 25.1% | 10.1% | 1.2% | .335 | 4.28 | 16.1% | 0.1% | 47 | +1.36 | 2.92 | 226 | 71 |
| James Reeves L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 71 |
| Jordan Mills L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.26 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 1.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 210 | 70 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 70 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 70 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 70 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2027 · 3.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.00 | 26.3% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .306 | 2.34 | 32.5% | 28.6% | 135 | -0.66 | 1.39 | 259 | 70 |
| Conor Lillis-White L 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 26.8% | 11.1% | 2.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.80 | 182 | 70 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 70 |