Colin Daniel
P
Rome Emperors
Age 22
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.7 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%23.1%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 13 | 10 | 55 | 242 | 60 | 23 | 12 | 77% | 4.3 | 19.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.20 | 6.27 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 39 | 163 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 94 | 405 | 98 | 38 | 17 | — | — | 24.1% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 4.88 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.04 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 40 | 170 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 41 | 174 | 42 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.4% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 42 | 176 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.7% | 8.5% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 4.16 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 42 | 176 | 44 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 3.0% | 4.12 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 41 | 174 | 43 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 4.13 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 42 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.7% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 4.18 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | ATL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.4% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.7% | 8.5% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 4.16 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 38 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 3.0% | 4.12 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 39 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.9% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 4.13 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 6 | 37 | 156 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.7% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 4.18 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 33 | 33 | 193 | 815 | 201 | 70 | 25 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.6% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 3.78 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 73 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.6% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 13 | 10 | 55 | 242 | 46 | 26 | 15 | 77% | 4.3 | 19.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.20 | 6.27 | -1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 36 | 200 | 875 | 167 | 96 | 54 | 77% | 4.3 | 19.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.20 | 6.27 | -2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Colin Daniel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.19 | 24.3% | 15.7% | 123 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 88 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 86 |
| Ricky Castro R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 84 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 83 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 83 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 83 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 82 |
| Bryce Mayer R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.30 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 4.80 | 27.2% | 12.2% | 52 | +1.50 | 3.30 | 140 | 81 |
| Gus Varland R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.13 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .294 | 5.81 | 18.1% | 5.7% | 105 | +1.68 | 2.54 | 304 | 81 |
| Jarrod Cande R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.43 | 19.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .330 | 5.02 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 212 | +0.59 | 4.37 | 292 | 81 |
| Nick Fraze R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 81 |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 81 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 81 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 81 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 81 |
| Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 80 |
| Ricky DeVito R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.36 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.57 | 21.5% | 2.4% | 151 | +0.21 | 4.05 | 215 | 80 |
| Chad Patrick R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 80 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 80 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 41 | 24.4% | 8.7% | 1.18 | 4.22 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |