Adam Leverett — OGILVIE

Adam Leverett P Arkansas Travelers

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs AA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%15.1%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP58

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies East	2	1	4	15	6	0	0	50%	1.8	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	2.45	-0.28	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies East	2	1	4	15	6	0	0	50%	1.8	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	2.45	-0.17	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	17	85	351	90	31	7	81%	4.1	20.4%	10.0%	10.5%	1.4%	3.48	3.41	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	17	85	351	90	31	7	81%	4.1	25.6%	8.8%	16.8%	2.0%	3.48	3.15	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	29	11	75	330	84	28	14	38%	2.6	20.6%	9.3%	11.3%	4.8%	5.54	5.20	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	29	11	75	330	84	28	14	38%	2.6	25.5%	8.5%	17.0%	4.2%	5.54	4.41	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	35	8	64	274	52	27	4	23%	1.8	15.4%	10.8%	4.5%	1.7%	3.94	4.09	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	35	8	64	274	52	27	4	23%	1.8	15.4%	10.8%	4.5%	1.7%	3.94	4.09	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	35	8	64	274	52	27	4	23%	1.8	19.0%	9.9%	9.1%	1.5%	3.94	3.55	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	102	422	63	30	8	87%	4.4	12.6%	7.7%	4.9%	2.0%	4.07	4.11	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	102	422	63	30	8	87%	4.4	12.6%	7.7%	4.9%	2.0%	4.07	4.11	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	20	102	422	63	30	8	87%	4.4	14.9%	7.1%	7.8%	1.9%	4.07	3.77	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	21	20	96	401	86	28	20	95%	4.6	17.4%	7.7%	9.7%	6.0%	5.06	5.89	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	21	20	96	401	86	28	20	95%	4.6	17.4%	7.7%	9.7%	6.0%	5.06	5.89	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	SEA	21	20	96	401	86	28	20	95%	4.6	21.4%	7.0%	14.5%	5.0%	5.06	4.91	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SEA	9	9	57	239	38	21	7	100%	6.3	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	2.9%	4.79	4.82	+0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	SEA	9	9	54	228	37	20	7	100%	6.0	16.2%	8.9%	7.2%	3.0%	4.85	4.92	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	SEA	4	4	21	89	14	8	3	100%	5.2	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	2.9%	4.79	4.82	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SEA	5	5	30	127	20	11	4	100%	6.0	16.2%	8.9%	7.2%	3.0%	4.85	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	51	217	35	19	6	100%	5.7	16.0%	8.8%	7.2%	3.0%	4.83	4.50	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	136	74	23	100%	6.0	16.0%	8.8%	7.2%	3.0%	4.83	4.50	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		131	77	425	1793	311	159	58	59%	3.2	17.3%	8.9%	8.5%	3.2%	4.40	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	36	200	843	146	75	27	59%	3.2	17.3%	8.9%	8.5%	3.2%	4.40	4.53	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Leverett (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	15.1%	8.5%	2.8%	—	4.87	16.0%	7.2%	111	+0.08	—	—	—
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	87
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	82
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	81
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	80
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	80
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	79
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	79
Fredy Quintero R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	27	SP-	4.55	11.3%	8.9%	2.3%	.375	4.38	15.1%	7.3%	113	-0.17	4.29	241	79
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	79
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	78
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	77
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	77
Kevin Miranda R 2023 · 3.76 FIP	24	SP-	3.76	11.5%	5.7%	1.7%	.293	5.48	13.4%	5.0%	67	+1.72	3.76	153	77
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	77
Max Beatty R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	26	SP-	3.88	13.2%	6.4%	2.0%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	117	76
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	76
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	76
Stolmy Pimentel R 2016 · 3.87 FIP	26	SP-	3.87	13.6%	10.5%	1.1%	.379	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	143	76
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	76
Ivan Zavala R 2015 · 4.51 FIP	28	SP-	4.51	7.0%	4.7%	2.6%	.312	4.73	12.2%	4.3%	50	+0.22	4.27	209	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	15.7%	8.7%	1.12	4.81
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43