Adam Leverett P Arkansas Travelers
Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs AA peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%19.2%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 130 IP
K: -2.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: +1.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -11.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-12CONTACTSTAM: +17.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+18STAMTotal WAR: +0.52 (130 IP)+0.5WAR
0.00.0-0.12628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201920ROKGCL Phillies East2141560050%1.840.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%2.45-0.28
201920ROKGCL Phillies East2141560050%1.840.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%2.45-0.17
202122MIX3 levels2117853519031781%4.120.4%10.0%10.5%1.1%3.483.26
202122MIX3 levels2117853519031781%4.125.6%8.8%16.8%2.0%3.483.15
202223AAReading Fightin Phils29117533084281438%2.620.6%9.3%11.3%4.6%5.545.08
202223AAReading Fightin Phils29117533084281438%2.625.5%8.5%17.0%4.2%5.544.41
202324AAReading Fightin Phils358642745227423%1.815.4%10.8%4.5%1.6%3.944.05
202324AAReading Fightin Phils358642745227423%1.819.0%9.9%9.1%1.5%3.943.55
202425MIX2 levels23201024226330887%4.412.6%7.7%4.9%2.1%4.074.16
202425MIX2 levels23201024226330887%4.414.9%7.1%7.8%1.9%4.073.77
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAArkansas Travelers15147229163201393%4.817.5%7.6%10.0%5.4%4.405.52-0.6
ROS27MLBSEA10105824647227100%5.819.2%8.8%10.4%2.8%4.504.50+0.0
ROS27MLBSEA1114100100%1.019.2%8.8%10.4%2.8%4.504.50+0.0
2026 TOT27MLBSEA130537110422020.5%7.8%12.8%3.7%4.445.06+0.5
2026 FULL27MLBSEA1510019.2%8.8%10.4%2.8%4.504.12+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBSEA995723947227100%6.319.5%9.0%10.5%2.9%4.534.56-0.0
202829MLBSEA995422845217100%6.019.6%9.2%10.3%3.1%4.614.68-0.1
202728MLBSEA4421891783100%5.219.5%9.0%10.5%2.9%4.534.56-0.0
202829MLBSEA553012725124100%6.019.6%9.2%10.3%3.1%4.614.68-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career995322243207100%5.819.5%9.1%10.4%3.0%4.584.25+0.2
/ 200 IP33332008441647627100%6.019.5%9.1%10.4%3.0%4.584.25+2.7
Career1257140116832921504857%3.217.4%8.9%8.4%2.9%4.244.33+5.0
/ 200 IP6235200839146752457%3.217.4%8.9%8.4%2.9%4.244.33+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Adam Leverett (OGILVIE) 4.50 19.2%8.8%2.8% 4.62 19.5%10.4%111 +0.12
Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 26 SW 4.16 16.1%8.3%2.5%.309 3.28 24.1%13.4%34 -0.88 3.28 252 79
Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP 26 SP- 3.47 23.4%9.5%2.1%.295 3.47 146 79
Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 79
Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.48 FIP 27 SP- 4.48 12.8%7.9%2.7%.316 5.59 10.1%-0.2%50 +1.11 4.48 125 78
Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 27 SP- 3.43 21.0%10.8%1.3%.246 2.10 224 78
Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 27 SP- 4.69 14.9%8.8%3.2%.297 4.34 340 77
Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 27 SP- 4.04 19.5%7.0%3.1%.217 3.24 18.0%11.8%81 -0.80 3.11 159 77
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP 27 SW 4.60 18.2%10.5%3.1%.304 4.88 15.8%3.2%11 +0.28 3.25 221 76
Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP 28 SP- 4.21 17.6%8.1%2.9%.261 4.21 250 76
Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP 26 SP- 3.40 19.8%8.9%1.6%.299 3.40 322 75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 27 SP- 4.81 12.5%9.1%2.9%.346 4.97 14.0%5.3%138 +0.16 4.54 224 75
Nolan Sanburn R 2025 · 4.25 FIP 26 SW 4.25 15.0%10.4%2.0%.310 3.91 169 75
Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 27 SP- 3.76 22.4%7.1%3.0%.313 3.72 22.3%12.4%224 -0.04 2.53 507 74
Kris Medlen R 2028 · 4.77 FIP 29 SP- 4.77 15.4%6.4%4.0%.261 5.16 17.1%8.6%173 +0.39 4.66 261 74
Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 26 SP- 4.24 17.5%10.9%2.3%.393 4.44 9.2%3.9%53 +0.20 4.24 166 74
Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP 27 SP- 4.20 18.3%9.1%2.7%.322 4.20 416 74
Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 27 SP- 4.65 12.4%8.5%2.8%.322 4.41 18.2%7.6%75 -0.24 4.41 210 74
André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 27 SW 4.24 15.7%11.1%1.9%.264 4.00 19.8%5.1%74 -0.24 3.58 200 74
Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 27 SP- 4.05 15.1%7.9%2.2%.374 2.66 19.2%12.6%40 -1.39 2.66 259 74
Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 27 SW 3.79 16.6%9.2%1.7%.251 4.85 16.0%6.7%234 +1.06 3.76 399 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION35619.4%9.0%1.124.55
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86