Mike Vasil P Chicago White Sox
Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs MLB ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.53
FIP4.96
K%18.9%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%6.9%
ROS IP101
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
K: -2.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -3.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -2.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +13.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +0.52 (101 IP)+0.5WAR
0.00.80.72628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL3030
CMD3535
K†4545
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p4124.0%
K%
p3119.4%
xwOBA vs
p500.312
FB+9.2 (54%)
CH+4.5 (12%)
CT+1.1 (6%)
SI (40%)
CU (12%)
SL-0.8 (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202121ROKFCL Mets337241000100%2.341.7%0.0%41.7%0.0%1.29-0.42
202121ROKFCL Mets337241000100%2.341.7%0.0%41.7%0.0%1.290.24
202222MIX3 levels1817712918526494%4.021.9%10.5%11.3%2.0%3.533.71
202222MIX3 levels1817712918526494%4.029.2%8.9%20.3%1.4%3.532.54
202323MIX2 levels26261245221384618100%4.822.5%9.3%13.2%4.3%4.654.72
202323MIX2 levels26261245221384618100%4.826.4%8.8%17.6%3.4%4.653.87
202424AAASyracuse Mets2927134607109522493%4.615.8%9.0%6.8%3.9%6.045.04
202424AAASyracuse Mets2927134607109522493%4.618.0%8.6%9.4%4.0%6.044.97
202525MLBChicago White Sox473101423824786%2.119.4%11.1%8.3%1.8%2.503.87+1.8
202525MLBChicago White Sox473101423824786%2.119.4%11.1%8.3%1.9%2.503.90+1.8
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBCWS65068287543480%1.018.9%12.0%6.9%2.8%4.534.96-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBCWS9901044378353130%1.018.9%12.1%6.8%2.9%4.814.99+0.5
202828MLBCWS9901044378254130%1.018.8%12.2%6.6%3.0%4.975.08+0.4
202727MLBCWS930984147850120%1.118.9%12.1%6.8%2.9%4.814.99+0.4
202828MLBCWS930984147851120%1.118.8%12.2%6.6%3.0%4.975.08+0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career23432981253239148321%1.319.1%11.8%7.2%2.6%4.084.40+3.5
/ 200 IP157220084216199221%1.319.1%11.8%7.2%2.6%4.084.40+2.3
Career1237643718673691816062%3.619.8%9.7%10.1%3.2%4.344.41+5.1
/ 200 IP5635200854169832762%3.619.8%9.7%10.1%3.2%4.344.41+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Mike Vasil (OGILVIE) 4.96 18.9%12.0%2.8% 5.03 18.9%6.7%207 +0.07
Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP 26 SW 4.60 17.9%12.2%2.7%.285 4.61 16.4%5.3%48 +0.01 4.60 529 82
Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 26 SW 4.16 16.1%8.3%2.5%.309 3.28 24.1%13.4%34 -0.88 3.28 252 79
Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 26 SW 3.83 18.1%11.0%1.6%.280 3.17 24.5%17.9%97 -0.66 3.17 178 78
Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 78
David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 26 SP- 4.94 16.6%9.8%3.7%.285 6.04 14.5%4.2%81 +1.10 4.52 239 77
André Rienzo R 2027 · 4.24 FIP 27 SW 4.24 15.7%11.1%1.9%.264 4.00 19.8%5.1%74 -0.24 3.58 200 77
Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 77
Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP 26 SP- 4.73 16.8%12.7%2.6%.306 3.97 17.9%6.3%50 -0.76 3.16 308 77
Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 26 SW 4.75 15.1%8.7%3.3%.264 4.75 175 76
Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 26 SW 5.26 13.2%9.4%3.8%.321 4.24 328 76
Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 26 SP- 4.96 19.7%9.7%4.2%.262 3.81 22.1%13.0%127 -1.15 3.50 472 75
Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 26 SW 4.25 15.0%10.4%2.0%.310 3.91 169 75
Logan Verrett R 2026 · 5.18 FIP 26 SW 5.18 15.4%10.6%3.7%.283 4.97 17.8%11.8%94 -0.21 3.73 550 75
Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 74
Kanekoa Texeira R 2029 · 4.12 FIP 29 SP- 4.12 14.5%11.2%1.5%.280 4.05 10.2%-0.2%63 -0.07 4.05 165 74
Jake McCasland R 2026 · 4.54 FIP 26 SW 4.54 12.8%9.5%2.4%.313 3.27 367 74
Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.79 FIP 26 SP- 4.79 15.0%10.5%3.0%.312 4.69 14.9%6.1%104 -0.10 4.34 340 74
Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP 26 SW 4.48 16.4%10.7%2.6%.285 4.76 8.4%-0.2%16 +0.28 3.84 420 74
Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP 25 SW 4.71 18.3%9.2%3.6%.337 3.27 22.7%12.7%50 -1.44 3.27 339 74
Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP 26 SP- 4.83 19.9%10.9%3.7%.301 4.18 20.1%7.1%80 -0.65 4.16 378 73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION39218.9%12.1%1.134.80
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Francisco Liriano ('19)513022.3%11.2%1.094.30