Mike Vasil
P
Chicago White Sox
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 225 lbs
MLB
peak 0.7 · 2027
ERA3.83
FIP4.72
xFIP4.67
SIERA4.58
K%19.3%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%9.1%
IP101
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL3030
CMD3535
K†4545
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p4124.0%
K%
p3119.4%
xwOBA vs
p500.312
FB+9.2 (54%)
CH+4.5 (12%)
CT+1.1 (6%)
SI (40%)
CU (12%)
SL-0.8 (16%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Mets | 3 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 10 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.29 | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 18 | 17 | 71 | 291 | 85 | 26 | 4 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 3.53 | 3.64 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 26 | 26 | 124 | 522 | 138 | 46 | 18 | 22.5% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 4.65 | 4.63 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 29 | 27 | 134 | 607 | 109 | 52 | 24 | 15.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 6.04 | 5.19 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 47 | 3 | 101 | 423 | 82 | 47 | 8 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 2.50 | 3.97 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 19.7% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 104 | 440 | 87 | 52 | 13 | 19.7% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.94 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 105 | 442 | 87 | 53 | 13 | 19.6% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.96 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 19 | 19 | 102 | 432 | 83 | 52 | 13 | 19.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 5.04 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 18 | 18 | 99 | 418 | 78 | 51 | 13 | 18.6% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 5.06 | 5.13 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 96 | 404 | 73 | 49 | 13 | 18.0% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 5.17 | 5.24 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 92 | 388 | 67 | 48 | 13 | 17.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 16 | 16 | 88 | 370 | 62 | 46 | 12 | 16.7% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 5.40 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 83 | 352 | 56 | 45 | 12 | 16.0% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 5.53 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 14 | 14 | 78 | 331 | 57 | 40 | 12 | 17.3% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 5.51 | 5.50 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 13 | 13 | 73 | 310 | 51 | 38 | 11 | 16.5% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 5.60 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 76 | 437 | 1867 | 369 | 181 | 61 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.44 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 35 | 200 | 854 | 169 | 83 | 28 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.44 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mike Vasil (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 19.7% | 11.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.98 | 19.5% | 7.6% | 311 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 80 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 79 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 79 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .320 | 4.89 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | -0.06 | 3.69 | 239 | 78 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 77 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 77 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 77 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 77 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.17 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 141 | 76 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 76 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 76 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 76 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.88 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .320 | 4.35 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 259 | +0.47 | 3.73 | 399 | 76 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.00 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.26 | 3.66 | 154 | 76 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 75 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.00 | 19.4% | 10.8% | 2.1% | .315 | 4.02 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 70 | +0.02 | 3.66 | 242 | 75 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 75 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.29 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.61 | 2.45 | 362 | 75 |
| Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.14 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 3.3% | .331 | 8.65 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 21 | +3.51 | 4.59 | 108 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.