Jesus Pinto

OF Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#460ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Tigers 2196.275/.405/.43841657—.179/.292/.274
202518A/ROKDET143.231/.296/.3383936—.187/.233/.283
202619ADET437.272/.371/.38462585—.246/.320/.340
2027PROJMLE20MLBDET547.248/.318/.348716900.3
2028PROJ31% MLB21MLBDET120.248/.320/.35924960.2
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBDET208.251/.324/.371471010.4
Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Z-Con%87
Speed82
Max EV80
Whiff%77
K%76
Chase%63
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 12, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 81%
CompsJahmai Jones (age 20) · Hao-Yu Lee (age 21) · Sal Stewart (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†90
AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .315 / .345
PA210
HR3
SB6
K%23
BB%8
ISO100
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.60.80.91.00.90.70.50.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$36M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2035Arb-1$3M+0.7$2M+$0.1M
2036Arb-2$4M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-3$4M+0.3$0.6M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $13M +$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Tigers 2 — 196160 441214 30415 169 275405438843 162345 2115 380 57 — — — — — —
202518 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 5247 13200 3131 31 277333319652 43371 256 295 51 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Tigers — 9183 17303 7171 63 205275349624 145222 198 282 28 — — — — — —
202619 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 437375 1021646 56813 258 272371384755 112330 1913 342 85 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 2 — 196168 30812 22515 169 179292274566 95232 2611 252 57 — — — — — —
202518 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 5248 11200 2181 31 229275271545 42339 354 243 51 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 9186 14203 4241 63 163209291499 128187 264 210 28 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 437391 961445 401103 258 246320340660 95323 259 294 85 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 2 — 196168 30812 22515 169 179292274566 95241 2611 252 57 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Tigers 2 — 196160 441214 30415 169 275405438843 162345 2115 380 57 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 143133 25403 7422 94 188239286525 98247 295 222 36 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAW2 teams — 143130 30503 10302 94 231296338634 108276 217 287 36 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 437391 961445 401103 258 246320340660 95326 259 294 85 — — — — — —
202619 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 437375 1021646 56813 258 272371384755 112330 1913 342 85 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 2 — 196167 30812 22515 169 180292275568 96232 2611 252 57 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 143133 25403 7422 94 188239286525 98242 295 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 437391 961445 401103 258 246320340660 95323 259 294 85 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 2 — 196167 30812 22515 169 180292275568 96232 2611 252 57 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 143133 25403 7422 94 188239286525 98242 295 222 36 — — — — — —
202619 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 437391 961445 401103 258 246320340660 95323 259 294 85 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEDET 0% 547492 1222047 461254 165 248318348665 100315 238 301 90 -7 +1 +0 -3 +12 0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEDET 31% 386347 881437 33863 124 252324366690 114315 229 310 96 -2 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.5
202922 MLB MLEDET 48% 434389 991639 38954 144 255328379707 124315 229 317 101 +0 +1 +0 -3 +9 0.9
203023 MLB MLEDET 57% 480431 11018310 421044 155 257330388717 130314 229 321 103 +2 +1 +0 -3 +10 1.1
203124 MLB MLEDET 60% 534477 12421412 471155 175 258331393724 134314 229 323 105 +3 +1 +0 -3 +12 1.4
203225 MLB MLEDET 62% 587525 13623414 521275 186 258331395726 137313 229 324 106 +4 +1 +0 -4 +13 1.5
203326 MLB MLEDET 63% 597534 13823414 531295 186 258331394725 137313 229 324 105 +4 +1 +0 -4 +13 1.5
203427 MLB MLEDET 62% 594531 13723414 531295 186 257330392721 135312 229 323 104 +3 +1 +0 -4 +13 1.4
203528 MLB MLEDET 62% 585523 13322413 521295 155 255328387715 132311 229 320 103 +2 +1 -0 -4 +13 1.2
203629 MLB MLEDET 60% 566507 12721312 501264 125 252325380705 128310 229 316 100 -0 +0 -1 -3 +12 0.8
203730 MLB MLEDET 59% 552495 12220311 481254 94 249321372693 123308 239 311 97 -2 +0 -2 -3 +12 0.5
203831 MLB MLEDET 64% 534479 11719310 461234 53 245316362678 118305 239 305 93 -5 -0 -2 -3 +12 0.1
203932 MLB MLEDET 68% 511459 1101839 441203 12 239310349659 110301 239 297 87 -8 -1 -3 -3 +11 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXDET 31% 120108 27412 10271 41 248320359679 110310 228 306 96 -1 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.2
202922 MLB CTXDET 48% 208186 47814 18462 72 251324371695 120310 229 312 101 +0 +1 +0 -1 +5 0.4
203023 MLB CTXDET 57% 273245 621026 24592 93 253326379705 126309 229 316 103 +1 +1 +0 -2 +6 0.6
203124 MLB CTXDET 60% 321287 731227 28693 103 254327384711 130309 219 318 105 +2 +1 +0 -2 +7 0.8
203225 MLB CTXDET 62% 364326 821428 32793 114 254327386713 132308 229 319 106 +2 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.9
203326 MLB CTXDET 63% 377337 841428 34823 124 253327385712 132308 229 319 105 +2 +1 +0 -2 +8 1.0
203427 MLB CTXDET 62% 371332 831428 33813 114 252326383709 130307 229 317 104 +2 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.9
203528 MLB CTXDET 62% 363325 821428 32803 93 250324378702 128306 229 315 103 +1 +1 -0 -2 +8 0.7
203629 MLB CTXDET 60% 342306 761327 30763 73 248321372693 124305 229 311 100 -0 +0 -1 -2 +7 0.5
203730 MLB CTXDET 59% 328294 731227 29742 52 245317364681 119303 239 306 97 -1 +0 -1 -2 +7 0.3
203831 MLB CTXDET 64% 344309 741226 30792 32 241312354667 114300 239 300 93 -3 -0 -2 -2 +7 0.1
203932 MLB CTXDET 68% 349314 741226 30822 12 235306342648 107296 239 293 87 -5 -1 -2 -2 +8 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 37603369 8371392277 33083429 8933 248321371692 123307 229 311 97 +1 +5 -4 -23 +81 6.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 14524413 571445 156 249321371693 122308 229 311 97 +0 +1 -1 -4 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 73466577 163927247148 645165963 21078 249322372695 123310 239 311 97 -1 +9 -6 -39 +142 10.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 14524413 571476 197 249322371694 122311 239 311 97 -0 +1 -1 -4 +14 1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 437 PAwOBA .336 → .294 (−43)K% 18.5% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.54%÷1.000×1.360——25.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.81%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0459.24%
HBP% /PA0.69%—×0.780—×1.0450.56%
Singles /BIP25.85%÷1.000×0.920×1.041×1.04525.87%
Doubles /BIP5.44%÷1.000×0.830×1.041×1.0454.91%
Triples /BIP1.36%÷1.000×0.910×1.041×1.0451.35%
Home runs /BIP2.04%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0451.71%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .336 → .294; ISO .112 → .096; BABIP .330 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Tigers · 91 PAwOBA .274 → .210 (−64)K% 18.7% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.68%÷1.001×1.440——26.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷0.996×0.620—×1.0224.90%
HBP% /PA1.10%—×0.720—×1.0220.81%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷0.974×0.820×1.013×1.02214.53%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷0.992×0.720×1.013×1.0223.42%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720×1.013×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.880×0.780—×1.0224.12%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .274 → .210; ISO .145 → .117; BABIP .222 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 52 PAwOBA .293 → .243 (−51)K% 25.0% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.998×1.360——34.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.77%÷0.945×0.690—×1.0504.42%
HBP% /PA1.92%—×0.780—×1.0501.58%
Singles /BIP32.35%÷1.051×0.920—×1.05029.73%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷0.971×0.830—×1.0505.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.864×0.800—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .293 → .243; ISO .043 → .035; BABIP .371 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Tigers 2 · 196 PAwOBA .372 → .252 (−120)K% 20.9% → 25.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.92%÷0.986×1.220——25.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.31%÷0.973×0.700—×1.02211.26%
HBP% /PA2.55%—×0.700—×1.0221.83%
Singles /BIP22.69%÷0.995×0.680×1.008×1.02215.98%
Doubles /BIP10.08%÷0.951×0.600×1.008×1.0226.55%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷1.135×0.600×1.008×1.0220.46%
Home runs /BIP3.36%÷0.995×0.470—×1.0221.62%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 127, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .372 → .252; ISO .163 → .092; BABIP .345 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).