James Triantos
2B Iowa Cubs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 485 | .300/.351/.427 | 7 | 47 | 101 | — | .289/.331/.411 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA/A+CHC | 480 | .259/.317/.370 | 7 | 31 | 75 | — | .253/.296/.342 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAACHC | 484 | .300/.357/.434 | 9 | 27 | 97 | — | .282/.326/.393 |
| 2027PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBCHC | 63 | .264/.309/.369 | 1 | 3 | 89 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ52% MLB | 25 | MLBCHC | 135 | .265/.311/.377 | 2 | 7 | 92 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ62% MLB | 26 | MLBCHC | 189 | .265/.312/.381 | 3 | 9 | 94 | 0.3 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Cubs | — | 109 | 101 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 327 | 376 | 594 | 970 | 267 | 351 | 17 | 6 | 421 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 504 | 456 | 124 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 81 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 272 | 337 | 386 | 723 | 114 | 315 | 16 | 8 | 324 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 350 | 305 | 87 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 37 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 285 | 368 | 390 | 758 | 105 | 309 | 11 | 10 | 340 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 99 | 84 | 35 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 417 | 500 | 679 | 1.179 | 262 | 478 | 15 | 12 | 502 | 226 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 94 | 86 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 302 | 355 | 384 | 739 | 81 | 366 | 17 | 7 | 330 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 391 | 357 | 107 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 38 | 8 | 38 | 7 | 300 | 351 | 437 | 788 | 137 | 314 | 10 | 5 | 346 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 444 | 407 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 67 | 4 | 28 | 10 | 258 | 317 | 369 | 685 | 111 | 293 | 15 | 7 | 308 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 36 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 314 | 394 | 708 | 121 | 310 | 14 | 6 | 307 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 484 | 440 | 132 | 30 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 57 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 300 | 357 | 434 | 791 | 134 | 325 | 12 | 7 | 350 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 109 | 104 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 240 | 275 | 423 | 698 | 183 | 285 | 24 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 504 | 467 | 116 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 112 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 248 | 299 | 345 | 644 | 96 | 308 | 22 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 350 | 315 | 80 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 49 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 254 | 319 | 327 | 646 | 73 | 282 | 14 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 94 | 88 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 295 | 333 | 375 | 708 | 80 | 363 | 20 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 391 | 362 | 104 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 8 | 38 | 7 | 287 | 330 | 420 | 750 | 133 | 300 | 12 | 4 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 444 | 416 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 81 | 4 | 28 | 10 | 255 | 299 | 344 | 642 | 89 | 303 | 18 | 5 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 36 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 257 | 324 | 581 | 88 | 270 | 17 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 484 | 450 | 127 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 68 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 282 | 326 | 393 | 719 | 111 | 311 | 14 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 109 | 104 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 240 | 275 | 423 | 698 | 183 | 284 | 24 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Cubs | — | 109 | 101 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 327 | 376 | 594 | 970 | 267 | 351 | 17 | 6 | 421 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 504 | 467 | 116 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 112 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 248 | 299 | 345 | 644 | 96 | 312 | 22 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 504 | 456 | 124 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 81 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 272 | 337 | 386 | 723 | 114 | 315 | 16 | 8 | 324 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 404 | 103 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 62 | 8 | 25 | 5 | 255 | 321 | 332 | 652 | 77 | 288 | 14 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 449 | 389 | 122 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 52 | 8 | 25 | 5 | 314 | 397 | 452 | 850 | 139 | 342 | 12 | 10 | 376 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 450 | 129 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 67 | 8 | 47 | 9 | 287 | 328 | 407 | 735 | 120 | 319 | 14 | 4 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 485 | 443 | 133 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 54 | 8 | 47 | 9 | 300 | 351 | 427 | 778 | 126 | 324 | 11 | 6 | 343 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 449 | 114 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 87 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 254 | 298 | 343 | 641 | 89 | 303 | 18 | 5 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 480 | 440 | 114 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 72 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 259 | 317 | 370 | 687 | 111 | 294 | 15 | 7 | 308 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 484 | 450 | 127 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 68 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 282 | 326 | 393 | 719 | 111 | 316 | 14 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA RAW | Iowa Cubs | — | 484 | 440 | 132 | 30 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 57 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 300 | 357 | 434 | 791 | 134 | 325 | 12 | 7 | 350 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Cubs | — | 109 | 103 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 243 | 275 | 427 | 702 | 184 | 285 | 24 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 504 | 465 | 116 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 112 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 249 | 299 | 346 | 646 | 97 | 308 | 22 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 449 | 407 | 103 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 62 | 8 | 25 | 5 | 253 | 321 | 329 | 650 | 76 | 282 | 14 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 454 | 129 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 67 | 8 | 47 | 9 | 284 | 328 | 403 | 732 | 119 | 312 | 14 | 4 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 449 | 114 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 87 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 254 | 298 | 343 | 641 | 89 | 301 | 18 | 5 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 484 | 452 | 127 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 68 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 281 | 326 | 392 | 717 | 111 | 311 | 14 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 485 | 454 | 129 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 67 | 8 | 47 | 9 | 284 | 328 | 403 | 732 | 119 | 312 | 14 | 4 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 480 | 449 | 114 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 87 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 254 | 298 | 343 | 641 | 89 | 301 | 18 | 5 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 484 | 452 | 127 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 68 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 281 | 326 | 392 | 717 | 111 | 311 | 14 | 5 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | CHC | 30% | 380 | 355 | 93 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 59 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 262 | 307 | 365 | 672 | 103 | 300 | 16 | 5 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | CHC | 30% | 63 | 59 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 264 | 309 | 369 | 678 | 105 | 303 | 16 | 5 | 302 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | CHC | 52% | 260 | 242 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 263 | 309 | 374 | 683 | 111 | 300 | 16 | 5 | 305 | 92 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | CHC | 62% | 305 | 283 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 263 | 310 | 378 | 688 | 116 | 299 | 16 | 5 | 307 | 94 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | CHC | 65% | 321 | 296 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 53 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 261 | 310 | 377 | 687 | 116 | 299 | 17 | 6 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | CHC | 66% | 328 | 304 | 78 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 56 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 258 | 308 | 374 | 682 | 116 | 298 | 17 | 5 | 304 | 92 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | CHC | 65% | 321 | 297 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 57 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 255 | 306 | 370 | 676 | 114 | 296 | 18 | 6 | 302 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | CHC | 65% | 314 | 290 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 56 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 252 | 303 | 362 | 664 | 109 | 295 | 18 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB MLE | CHC | 65% | 297 | 275 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 55 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 248 | 298 | 352 | 650 | 104 | 292 | 19 | 6 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | CHC | 52% | 135 | 125 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 265 | 311 | 377 | 689 | 112 | 303 | 16 | 5 | 307 | 92 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | CHC | 62% | 189 | 175 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 265 | 312 | 381 | 694 | 117 | 303 | 16 | 5 | 309 | 94 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | CHC | 65% | 208 | 193 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 263 | 312 | 380 | 692 | 117 | 302 | 17 | 5 | 308 | 93 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | CHC | 66% | 217 | 201 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 260 | 310 | 377 | 687 | 117 | 301 | 17 | 6 | 306 | 92 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | CHC | 65% | 210 | 194 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 257 | 308 | 372 | 680 | 115 | 299 | 18 | 6 | 304 | 90 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | CHC | 65% | 204 | 188 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 254 | 304 | 364 | 669 | 110 | 298 | 18 | 6 | 299 | 87 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB CTX | CHC | 65% | 192 | 177 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 250 | 299 | 355 | 654 | 105 | 295 | 18 | 6 | 293 | 83 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1355 | 1253 | 324 | 64 | 7 | 21 | 75 | 233 | 14 | 53 | 18 | 259 | 308 | 371 | 679 | 113 | 301 | 17 | 6 | 304 | 88 | -16 | +3 | -10 | +5 | +29 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 155 | 31 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 112 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 258 | 307 | 369 | 677 | 111 | 301 | 17 | 6 | 304 | 88 | -8 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4867 | 4507 | 1175 | 212 | 26 | 72 | 258 | 822 | 57 | 248 | 69 | 261 | 309 | 367 | 676 | 107 | 302 | 17 | 5 | 299 | 88 | -27 | +7 | -16 | +8 | +51 | 2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 157 | 28 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 110 | 8 | 33 | 9 | 261 | 309 | 367 | 676 | 106 | 302 | 17 | 5 | 299 | 88 | -8 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAIowa Cubs · 484 PAwOBA .344 → .312 (−31)K% 11.8% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 23.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.013 | ×1.050 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.73% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .344 → .312; ISO .134 → .111; BABIP .325 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAIowa Cubs · 444 PAwOBA .301 → .281 (−20)K% 15.1% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.09% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.35% | ÷0.949 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 24.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 5.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷0.939 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.125 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.34% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 90, 2B 107, 3B 88, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .301 → .281; ISO .111 → .087; BABIP .293 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+South Bend Cubs · 36 PAwOBA .307 → .263 (−44)K% 13.9% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.89% | ÷1.051 | ×1.270 | — | — | 16.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.042 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 16.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 11.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.106 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .307 → .263; ISO .121 → .101; BABIP .310 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATennessee Smokies · 391 PAwOBA .342 → .320 (−22)K% 9.7% → 12.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.72% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.12% | ÷0.959 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 23.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.64% | ÷1.059 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.57% | ÷0.985 | ×0.880 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.854 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 2.16% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .342 → .320; ISO .137 → .132; BABIP .314 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAIowa Cubs · 94 PAwOBA .325 → .307 (−18)K% 17.0% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.02% | ÷0.998 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.45% | ÷0.949 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×1.050 | 28.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×1.050 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.024 | ×1.050 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .325 → .307; ISO .081 → .078; BABIP .366 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+South Bend Cubs · 350 PAwOBA .336 → .288 (−48)K% 10.6% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.57% | ÷0.966 | ×1.270 | — | — | 13.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.71% | ÷1.060 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.63% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.042 | 23.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.140 | ×0.810 | ×0.994 | ×1.042 | 3.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.994 | ×1.042 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.197 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.04% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 98, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .336 → .288; ISO .105 → .078; BABIP .309 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 504 PAwOBA .318 → .281 (−37)K% 16.1% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.07% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.74% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.53% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.045 | 24.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.045 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.068 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.045 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.942 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 1.66% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 114, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .318 → .281; ISO .114 → .099; BABIP .315 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Cubs · 109 PAwOBA .406 → .305 (−102)K% 16.5% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.51% | ÷0.992 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.50% | ÷1.071 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 3.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷1.002 | ×0.820 | ×1.008 | ×1.022 | 19.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.947 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×1.022 | 6.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.947 | ×0.720 | ×1.008 | ×1.022 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.014 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 5.69% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 89, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .406 → .305; ISO .267 → .199; BABIP .351 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .