Eddson Martinez

OF ACL Padres
Age 19 L/L 5'5" / 145 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1945ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202416ROKDSL Padres Br…146.214/.389/.2590833—.140/.278/.165
202517ROKDSL Padres Go…136.304/.462/.3820557—.191/.326/.236
202618ROKSD156.397/.510/.562011117—.290/.376/.397
2027PROJMLE19MLBSD266.215/.296/.2992571-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBSD46.216/.298/.3101177-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB21MLBSD113.220/.303/.3242382-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
wRC+82
Speed77
Whiff%76
wOBA75
Z-Con%74
ISO50
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 6.6, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 83%
CompsForrest Wall (age 19) · Jaison Chourio (age 19) · Daniel Montesino (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .294 / .296
PA81
HR1
K%26
BB%9
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.20.20.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT54
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE65
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2036Arb-1$0.8M———
2037Arb-2$0.4M———
2038Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $2M $0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202416 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 146112 24500 28334 88 214389259648 45300 2319 316 33 — — — — — —
202517 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 136102 31610 25195 55 304462382844 78373 1418 383 57 — — — — — —
202618 ROKACL Padres — 156121 481620 26292 114 3975105621.072 165495 1917 452 117 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 146121 17300 19414 88 140278165443 25203 2813 217 33 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 136110 21310 17245 55 191326236562 45230 1812 253 57 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Padres — 156131 381210 16422 114 290376397773 107379 2710 341 117 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 146121 17300 19414 88 140278165443 25210 2813 217 33 — — — — — —
202416 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 146112 24500 28334 88 214389259648 45300 2319 316 33 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 136110 21310 17245 55 191326236562 45244 1812 253 57 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 136102 31610 25195 55 304462382844 78373 1418 383 57 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Padres — 156131 381210 16422 114 290376397773 107404 2710 341 117 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWACL Padres — 156121 481620 26292 114 3975105621.072 165495 1917 452 117 — — — — — —
202416 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 146122 17300 19414 88 139278164442 25203 2813 217 33 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 136113 21310 17245 55 186326230556 44230 1812 253 57 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Padres — 156137 381210 16422 114 277376380755 102379 2710 341 117 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202416 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 146122 17300 19414 88 139278164442 25203 2813 217 33 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 136113 21310 17245 55 186326230556 44230 1812 253 57 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Padres — 156137 381210 16422 114 277376380755 102379 2710 341 117 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLESD 0% 266237 511022 24693 51 215296299595 84291 269 273 71 -9 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLESD 34% 134119 26511 12342 31 220302316618 96292 259 282 77 -4 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.1
202921 MLB MLESD 48% 234208 47923 21593 52 224306329635 105293 259 289 82 -5 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.1
203022 MLB MLESD 54% 345305 681325 32855 83 227309340649 112294 259 294 85 -6 +0 +0 -2 +7 -0.0
203123 MLB MLESD 57% 421374 861737 381036 103 230311348659 118295 249 298 88 -6 +1 +0 -3 +9 0.1
203224 MLB MLESD 57% 469417 971939 431146 113 232313354667 122296 249 301 90 -6 +1 +0 -3 +10 0.3
203325 MLB MLESD 57% 496441 1022039 451217 114 232313355668 123296 249 302 90 -6 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.3
203426 MLB MLESD 56% 512453 10520310 471247 124 232313355669 123295 249 302 90 -6 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.3
203527 MLB MLESD 55% 516457 10620310 471267 114 231312353665 122295 249 300 89 -7 +1 +0 -3 +11 0.2
203628 MLB MLESD 55% 512454 1042039 471266 104 229310348658 119294 259 298 88 -8 +0 -1 -3 +11 0.0
203729 MLB MLESD 53% 502445 1011939 461256 104 227307341649 115292 259 294 85 -9 +0 -1 -3 +11 -0.2
203830 MLB MLESD 53% 490437 981938 441246 94 224304333637 110291 259 289 82 -11 +0 -2 -3 +11 -0.5
202820 MLB CTXSD 34% 4641 9201 4121 10 216298310608 93287 269 278 77 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.0
202921 MLB CTXSD 48% 113100 23412 10282 31 220303324626 103288 259 285 82 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.0
203022 MLB CTXSD 54% 187165 37713 17463 41 224306334640 111288 259 291 85 -3 +0 +0 -1 +4 0.0
203123 MLB CTXSD 57% 238211 48924 22583 52 226308342650 116289 249 295 88 -3 +0 +0 -1 +5 0.1
203224 MLB CTXSD 57% 265236 541025 24643 62 228310349658 120290 249 298 90 -3 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.1
203325 MLB CTXSD 57% 280248 561025 26684 62 229310350660 121290 249 298 90 -3 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.2
203426 MLB CTXSD 56% 289257 591126 26704 72 228310350660 122290 249 298 90 -3 +1 +0 -2 +6 0.2
203527 MLB CTXSD 55% 286254 581125 26704 62 227309347656 120289 249 297 89 -4 +0 +0 -2 +6 0.1
203628 MLB CTXSD 55% 281249 561025 26694 62 226307343649 117288 259 294 88 -4 +0 -0 -2 +6 0.0
203729 MLB CTXSD 53% 268239 541025 24673 52 223304336640 113287 259 290 85 -5 +0 -1 -2 +6 -0.1
203830 MLB CTXSD 53% 258230 50914 23653 52 220300328629 108285 259 286 82 -6 +0 -1 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 25112230 504931745 22861734 5418 226307343651 117291 259 294 85 -38 +4 -2 -15 +54 0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 13024412 591609 145 225307343650 118289 259 294 85 -10 +1 -1 -4 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 51504545 10322023281 481126973 12653 227311339650 112295 259 294 85 -74 +6 -4 -28 +102 0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650574 12925410 611609 167 225309334644 110292 259 294 85 -10 +1 -1 -4 +14 0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Padres · 156 PAwOBA .456 → .341 (−115)K% 18.6% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.59%÷1.000×1.440——26.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00810.41%
HBP% /PA1.28%—×0.720—×1.0080.93%
Singles /BIP32.61%÷1.000×0.820×0.969×1.00826.10%
Doubles /BIP17.39%÷1.000×0.720×0.969×1.00812.22%
Triples /BIP2.17%÷1.000×0.720×0.969×1.0081.53%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .456 → .341; ISO .165 → .122; BABIP .495 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 136 PAwOBA .375 → .253 (−122)K% 14.0% → 17.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.97%÷0.970×1.220——17.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.38%÷1.049×0.700—×1.00812.36%
HBP% /PA3.68%—×0.700—×1.0082.59%
Singles /BIP28.92%÷1.064×0.680×0.998×1.00818.59%
Doubles /BIP7.23%÷1.159×0.600×0.998×1.0083.76%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷1.049×0.600×0.998×1.0080.69%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.956×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 113, 2B 132, 3B 110, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .375 → .253; ISO .078 → .046; BABIP .373 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 146 PAwOBA .311 → .217 (−94)K% 22.6% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.60%÷0.974×1.220——28.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.18%÷1.036×0.700—×1.02213.25%
HBP% /PA2.74%—×0.700—×1.0221.96%
Singles /BIP24.05%÷1.000×0.680×1.002×1.02216.75%
Doubles /BIP6.33%÷1.015×0.600×1.002×1.0223.83%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×1.002×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .311 → .217; ISO .045 → .028; BABIP .300 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).