Eddson Martinez — OGILVIE

Eddson MartinezOF ACL Padres

Age 18 L/L 5'5" / 145 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION156 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .267 / .286

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%7

BABIP310

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$31M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$10M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	16	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	112	24	5	0	0	28	33	4	8	8	214	389	259	648	45	300	23	19	316	100	-0	-2	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	102	31	6	1	0	25	19	5	5	5	304	462	382	844	78	373	14	18	383	146	+7	-1	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	123	18	3	0	0	17	49	4	8	8	146	271	171	442	24	239	34	12	217	33	-12	-2	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	112	25	4	1	0	15	28	5	5	5	223	341	277	618	54	276	21	11	268	68	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	123	18	3	0	0	17	49	4	8	8	146	271	171	442	24	240	34	12	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	112	24	5	0	0	28	33	4	8	8	214	389	259	648	45	300	23	19	316	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	112	25	4	1	0	15	28	5	5	5	223	341	277	618	54	298	21	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	102	31	6	1	0	25	19	5	5	5	304	462	382	844	78	373	14	18	383	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	124	18	3	0	0	17	49	4	8	8	145	271	169	440	24	239	34	12	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	115	25	4	1	0	15	28	5	5	5	217	341	270	610	52	276	21	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	16	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	124	18	3	0	0	17	49	4	8	8	145	271	169	440	24	239	34	12	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	115	25	4	1	0	15	28	5	5	5	217	341	270	610	52	276	21	11	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	SD	—	156	131	38	12	1	0	16	42	2	11	4	290	376	397	773	107	404	27	10	338	115	+3	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	SD	—	156	121	48	16	2	0	26	29	2	11	4	397	510	562	1.072	165	495	19	17	452	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	SD	0%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	214	267	286	552	71	314	27	7	291	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	SD	—	171	145	41	13	1	0	17	46	2	12	4	283	366	386	752	103	394	27	10	334	112	+2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SD	34%	224	198	46	10	2	2	21	55	3	5	2	232	315	333	649	101	312	25	9	301	90	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	SD	48%	356	314	75	16	2	5	34	86	5	8	3	239	323	350	673	111	312	24	10	309	95	-2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	SD	54%	455	401	98	21	3	8	44	108	7	10	4	244	330	372	701	127	312	24	10	314	99	-1	+0	+0	-3	+10	0.7
2030	22	MLB MLE	SD	57%	525	461	114	24	3	10	51	123	8	12	4	247	333	377	710	130	312	23	10	318	101	+1	+1	+0	-3	+11	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	SD	58%	572	503	125	26	4	11	55	133	9	13	5	249	333	382	715	133	313	23	10	321	103	+2	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	SD	57%	602	529	132	28	4	12	59	140	9	14	5	250	335	386	721	136	314	23	10	323	104	+3	+1	+0	-4	+13	1.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	SD	57%	620	545	136	29	4	12	61	144	9	14	5	250	335	383	718	134	314	23	10	324	105	+4	+1	+0	-4	+13	1.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	SD	57%	628	551	138	29	4	13	62	146	10	14	5	250	337	388	725	138	314	23	10	324	105	+4	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	629	552	138	29	4	13	62	146	10	14	5	250	337	388	724	138	314	23	10	324	105	+4	+1	+0	-4	+14	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	625	547	136	29	4	12	63	146	10	14	5	249	337	382	719	133	313	23	10	323	105	+3	+1	-1	-4	+14	1.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	615	539	133	28	4	12	62	145	9	13	5	247	334	380	715	134	312	24	10	321	103	+2	+1	-1	-4	+13	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	SD	57%	604	529	129	27	4	11	61	144	9	13	4	244	332	372	705	129	311	24	10	318	101	+1	+1	-2	-4	+13	1.0
2039	31	MLB MLE	SD	55%	590	517	124	26	3	11	59	142	9	12	4	240	328	366	694	126	309	24	10	314	99	-1	+1	-3	-4	+13	0.6
2040	32	MLB MLE	SD	58%	572	502	119	25	3	10	57	140	8	11	4	237	325	359	683	122	305	24	10	308	95	-4	+1	-4	-3	+12	0.2
2041	33	MLB MLE	SD	60%	542	475	110	22	3	9	54	136	8	10	3	232	320	347	668	116	301	25	10	301	90	-7	+1	-4	-3	+12	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	SD	34%	77	69	16	3	1	1	7	19	1	2	1	232	312	348	660	116	308	25	9	289	90	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	SD	48%	172	152	37	8	1	3	16	41	2	4	1	243	324	368	692	125	309	24	9	296	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	SD	54%	247	217	53	11	2	4	24	59	4	6	2	244	331	369	699	124	309	24	10	302	99	-0	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB CTX	SD	57%	297	262	64	13	2	6	29	70	4	7	2	244	329	378	707	134	309	24	10	306	101	+1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	SD	58%	329	289	71	15	2	6	32	77	5	8	3	246	331	374	705	128	310	23	10	308	103	+1	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2032	24	MLB CTX	SD	57%	343	302	74	15	2	7	33	80	5	8	3	245	329	377	707	132	311	23	10	310	104	+2	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	SD	57%	352	310	76	16	2	7	34	82	5	8	3	245	330	377	707	132	311	23	10	311	105	+2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	SD	57%	355	312	77	16	2	7	35	82	5	8	3	247	332	378	711	131	310	23	10	311	105	+2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	349	306	76	16	2	7	35	81	5	8	3	248	335	382	718	134	310	23	10	311	105	+2	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	343	301	73	15	2	7	34	80	5	8	3	243	329	375	705	133	310	23	10	310	105	+2	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	329	288	71	15	2	7	33	78	5	7	2	247	334	385	720	139	309	24	10	308	103	+1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	SD	57%	345	302	73	15	2	7	35	82	5	7	3	242	330	374	705	132	308	24	10	305	101	+1	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.5
2039	31	MLB CTX	SD	55%	323	283	68	14	2	6	32	78	5	6	2	240	328	367	696	127	305	24	10	301	99	-1	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.3
2040	32	MLB CTX	SD	58%	332	291	69	14	2	6	33	81	5	6	2	237	325	361	686	124	302	24	10	296	95	-2	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.1
2041	33	MLB CTX	SD	60%	326	285	65	13	2	5	33	82	5	6	2	228	319	340	659	112	297	25	10	289	90	-4	+0	-3	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4519	3969	963	199	28	86	445	1072	66	99	35	243	329	372	701	129	309	24	10	305	99	+5	+6	-8	-27	+98	7.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	138	29	4	12	64	154	9	14	5	242	328	370	697	128	308	24	10	305	99	+1	+1	-1	-4	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8456	7412	1799	377	52	151	838	2015	132	191	76	243	330	369	699	126	312	24	10	315	99	+8	+10	-15	-49	+177	13.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	139	29	4	12	64	155	10	15	6	244	330	372	702	128	313	24	10	315	99	+1	+1	-1	-4	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.0	4,645	84	101	245	327	373	-28	+0	10.7	8.8
/162	664	12	14	-4.0	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 7
#3Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eddson Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	40→45	28→33	52→57	64	230/313/318	89	314	1	4	25%	10%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	53	-2.1	230/299/329	99	282	6	10	20%	6%	80	-0.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→56	39→45	51→45	51	232/296/328	96	272	5	7	16%	8%	78	-0.3	222/288/298	76	282	5	5	21%	8%	68	-1.0	258/330/364	106	310	10	6	19%	9%	97	+0.8
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2012 · A	18	48	37→40	50	53	224/302/310	86	274	3	10	18%	9%	76	-0.4	188/245/267	79	274	5	6	31%	6%	45	-2.7	150/201/214	65	228	4	3	35%	5%	14	-1.3
✕Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→45	59→50	55	210/300/285	75	272	4	16	22%	11%	70	-0.8	230/288/322	92	306	6	11	25%	7%	74	-0.6	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	71	-0.8	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	47	-2.5	278/317/371	94	319	8	6	15%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	46→51	37→40	52→50	47	216/289/292	77	265	4	17	19%	6%	68	-1.0	232/284/306	74	288	3	12	20%	5%	68	-1.0	225/273/295	70	286	4	13	21%	5%	59	-0.9
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	68	-1.0	213/266/288	75	257	5	3	18%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	47→51	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/307	86	277	4	15	20%	12%	81	-0.1	224/315/307	83	317	4	21	27%	12%	81	-0.1	223/313/312	89	304	7	28	26%	11%	80	-0.1
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	208/298/282	74	292	3	17	27%	10%	69	-0.9	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→50	53→60	49	216/286/282	66	296	3	14	26%	9%	64	-1.3	213/285/281	68	287	4	16	25%	9%	63	-1.3	266/344/401	135	328	13	29	21%	10%	110	+2.1
●Geraldo Perdomo 2018 · A	18	43→53	35→45	48→55	58	200/300/254	54	254	3	13	21%	12%	64	-1.3	220/305/291	71	280	3	17	21%	10%	74	-0.6	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	56	-1.9	225/291/332	107	274	8	5	20%	8%	77	-0.3	252/305/321	69	287	2	0	12%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Alvaro Montero 2018 · A	18	48	35→30	52→60	54	219/315/281	62	294	3	16	24%	11%	76	-0.4	215/296/270	55	306	2	18	27%	9%	65	-1.2	232/319/263	31	312	0	30	23%	9%	71	-0.4
✕Jose Quero 2017 · A	18	51	37→40	47→30	52	241/320/316	75	301	5	4	20%	9%	84	+0.2	195/254/285	90	254	9	3	26%	7%	53	-2.1	174/217/283	109	214	14	2	26%	5%	39	-0.9
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	50→60	51	221/294/308	87	285	4	13	23%	9%	73	-0.6	208/298/278	70	288	3	18	26%	11%	68	-1.0	213/291/276	63	314	3	36	30%	10%	62	-0.7
●Ender Inciarte 2009 · A	18	49→59	34→45	51→60	46	229/283/275	46	290	1	17	21%	6%	60	-1.6	226/266/291	65	286	2	12	20%	5%	57	-1.8	294/343/394	100	328	7	19	12%	6%	106	+1.8
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→54	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	243/298/367	124	326	10	10	27%	7%	87	+0.4	246/302/387	142	310	12	11	24%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Nolan Beltran 2023 · A	18	44→49	35→40	45	54	202/283/260	58	244	2	7	17%	9%	59	-1.7	199/268/277	78	256	5	6	23%	8%	57	-1.8	204/291/293	90	251	7	4	20%	10%	67	-0.4
✕Jean Ramirez 2019 · A	18	46→49	37→40	51→65	46	214/280/284	70	289	4	15	26%	8%	62	-1.4	220/283/288	68	285	5	22	23%	7%	64	-1.3	214/279/286	72	279	7	39	24%	7%	62	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps