Eddson Martinez — OGILVIE

Eddson MartinezOF ACL Padres

Age 18 L/L 5'5" / 145 lbs ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION190 act + 126 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .342 / .356

PA126

HR1

K%24

BB%11

BABIP326

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.6	$13M	+$13M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.7	$13M	+$12M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$12M	+$12M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+2.8	$11M	+$9M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.6	$10M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$12M	+2.4	$8M	+$5M
Totals		$29M		$68M	+$57M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	16	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	124	18	3	0	0	16	50	4	8	8	145	264	169	433	24	240	34	11	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	16	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	112	24	5	0	0	28	33	4	8	8	214	389	259	648	45	300	23	19	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	113	24	4	1	0	14	29	5	5	5	212	326	265	591	53	286	21	10	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	102	31	6	1	0	25	19	5	5	5	304	462	382	844	78	373	14	18	383	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	SD	—	190	154	48	18	2	0	25	43	4	11	3	312	421	455	875	143	414	23	13	377	147	+10	+1	+0	-1	+5	1.6
YTD	18	ROK	SD	—	190	139	59	24	3	0	40	30	4	11	3	424	563	640	1.203	216	518	16	21	502	243	+31	+1	+0	-1	+5	3.7
ROS	18	ROK	SD	0%	126	109	27	7	1	1	14	30	2	4	1	246	342	356	698	109	323	24	11	311	96	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.3
ROS	18	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		319	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	SD	—	190	155	48	18	2	0	25	43	4	11	3	310	421	452	872	142	410	23	13	377	147	+10	+1	+0	-1	+5	1.6
TOT	18	ROK	SD	—	316	263	75	25	3	1	39	73	6	15	4	284	389	413	802	129	378	23	12	351	127	+10	+1	+0	-2	+9	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	SD	34%	310	269	66	17	2	3	33	73	5	7	2	245	339	357	696	112	320	24	11	314	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.7
2028	20	MLB	SD	48%	423	368	91	23	3	5	45	97	7	9	3	247	340	367	707	120	319	23	11	322	104	+2	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2029	21	MLB	SD	54%	503	437	110	27	4	8	53	114	8	11	4	252	343	387	730	135	319	23	11	327	109	+5	+1	+0	-3	+14	1.7
2030	22	MLB	SD	57%	557	484	123	30	4	10	59	125	9	13	4	254	346	395	741	140	319	22	11	331	112	+7	+1	+0	-3	+16	2.1
2031	23	MLB	SD	58%	594	516	132	32	4	11	63	133	10	14	4	256	348	397	745	141	320	22	11	334	114	+9	+1	+0	-4	+17	2.4
2032	24	MLB	SD	57%	617	536	138	33	5	12	66	137	10	14	4	257	350	405	755	147	321	22	11	336	115	+11	+1	+0	-4	+17	2.6
2033	25	MLB	SD	57%	630	546	141	34	5	12	68	140	11	14	5	258	352	405	757	147	321	22	11	337	116	+12	+1	+0	-4	+18	2.7
2034	26	MLB	SD	57%	635	551	142	34	5	12	68	141	11	15	5	258	351	403	754	145	321	22	11	338	117	+12	+1	+0	-4	+18	2.8
2035	27	MLB	SD	55%	633	548	141	34	5	12	69	141	11	15	5	257	352	403	755	146	321	22	11	338	117	+12	+1	+0	-4	+18	2.8
2036	28	MLB	SD	55%	627	542	138	33	4	12	69	140	11	14	4	255	350	397	747	142	320	22	11	337	116	+11	+1	-1	-4	+18	2.6
2037	29	MLB	SD	53%	617	534	136	33	4	12	68	139	10	13	4	255	350	399	749	144	319	23	11	335	114	+10	+1	-1	-4	+17	2.4
2038	30	MLB	SD	53%	605	523	132	32	4	11	67	138	10	13	4	252	348	392	740	140	318	23	11	332	112	+8	+1	-2	-4	+17	2.1
2039	31	MLB	SD	52%	591	511	127	31	4	10	65	137	10	12	4	249	345	384	728	135	316	23	11	328	109	+6	+1	-3	-4	+17	1.8
2040	32	MLB	SD	52%	572	495	121	29	4	9	63	135	9	11	3	244	340	374	714	129	312	24	11	322	105	+3	+1	-4	-3	+16	1.4
2041	33	MLB	SD	56%	543	470	111	26	3	8	59	131	9	10	3	236	333	355	688	119	307	24	11	315	99	-1	+1	-4	-3	+15	0.8
2027	19	MLB	SD	34%	107	93	23	6	1	1	11	25	2	2	1	247	340	366	705	118	315	23	10	299	87	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2028	20	MLB	SD	48%	205	178	45	11	2	3	22	47	3	5	1	253	345	388	732	135	315	23	11	306	92	-2	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.3
2029	21	MLB	SD	54%	273	237	58	14	2	4	29	62	5	6	2	245	339	371	711	127	315	23	11	311	96	-1	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2030	22	MLB	SD	57%	315	274	67	16	2	5	33	71	5	7	2	245	337	372	709	128	315	23	10	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.7
2031	23	MLB	SD	58%	342	297	75	18	3	6	36	76	6	8	2	253	345	394	739	141	316	22	11	318	101	+0	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.9
2032	24	MLB	SD	57%	352	305	77	18	3	6	38	78	6	8	3	252	347	390	737	138	317	22	11	320	103	+1	+0	+0	-2	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB	SD	57%	357	310	80	19	3	7	38	79	6	8	3	258	350	406	757	148	317	22	11	321	104	+1	+0	+0	-2	+10	1.0
2034	26	MLB	SD	57%	359	311	80	19	3	7	39	80	6	8	3	257	351	405	756	148	317	22	11	321	104	+2	+0	+0	-2	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB	SD	55%	351	304	78	18	3	7	38	78	6	8	3	257	351	405	755	148	316	22	11	321	104	+2	+0	+0	-2	+10	1.0
2036	28	MLB	SD	55%	344	297	74	18	2	6	38	77	6	8	2	249	346	384	730	135	316	22	11	320	103	+1	+1	-0	-2	+10	1.0
2037	29	MLB	SD	53%	330	285	71	17	2	6	36	75	6	7	2	249	346	386	732	137	315	23	11	318	102	+1	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.8
2038	30	MLB	SD	53%	318	275	68	16	2	6	35	73	5	7	2	247	343	385	728	138	314	23	11	316	100	-0	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.7
2039	31	MLB	SD	52%	308	266	65	15	2	5	34	71	5	6	2	244	341	372	713	128	312	23	11	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.5
2040	32	MLB	SD	52%	297	257	62	14	2	5	33	70	5	6	2	241	339	370	709	128	308	24	11	306	93	-3	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.3
2041	33	MLB	SD	56%	304	263	62	14	2	5	33	73	5	5	2	236	332	361	693	125	303	24	11	299	87	-4	+0	-2	-2	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4562	3953	985	233	34	79	493	1035	77	99	32	249	344	385	729	136	316	23	11	315	99	-5	+7	-8	-27	+129	9.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	140	33	5	11	70	147	11	14	5	249	343	384	727	135	315	23	11	315	99	-1	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	8865	7676	1918	462	62	148	959	2030	152	202	72	250	345	384	729	134	319	23	11	327	109	+86	+12	-15	-53	+251	28.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	141	34	5	11	70	149	11	15	5	250	344	387	731	137	320	23	11	327	109	+6	+1	-1	-4	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	16	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	146	112	24	5	0	0	28	33	4	8	8	214	389	259	648	45	300	23	19	316	100	-0	-2	—	—	+4	0.3
2025	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	136	102	31	6	1	0	25	19	5	5	5	304	462	382	844	78	373	14	18	383	152	+8	-1	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	14	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
	/162	664	17	10	257	338	410	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#2José Cruz Jr.last yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA	9	4,179	153	81	247	336	445	-35	-7	17.4	17.2
	/162	664	24	13	247	336	445	-5.6	-1.1	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Gary Matthews Jr.last yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,572 PA	11	4,572	108	93	258	331	407	-5	-10	16.2	17.2
	/162	664	16	14	258	331	407	-0.7	-1.4	2.3	pk7: 18
#4Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	8	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.2
	/162	664	22	9	247	350	440	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
#5Austin Kearnslast yr '12 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,148 PA	11	4,148	121	33	254	351	415	-42	-4	15.7	15.9
	/162	664	19	5	254	351	415	-6.8	-0.6	2.5	pk7: 16
#6Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	8	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	20	24	260	321	441	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,736	82	103	252	342	388	-28	+0	16.3	13.2
	/162	664	11	14	252	342	388	-4.0	+0.0	2.3	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eddson Martinez (OGILVIE)	18	42→47	28→33	52→57	67	284/389/413	129	378	1	15	23%	12%	127	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	49→53	39→45	51→45	51	232/297/329	97	272	5	7	16%	8%	76	+0.0	218/285/291	73	279	5	5	22%	8%	61	-1.0	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
★Geraldo Perdomo 2018 · A	18	43→53	35→45	48→55	58	200/300/254	54	254	3	13	21%	12%	59	-1.1	220/303/291	71	280	4	17	21%	9%	69	-0.4	259/359/388	129	285	11	20	12%	12%	115	+2.3
●Brice Turang 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→50	53→60	49	216/286/282	66	296	3	14	26%	9%	59	-1.1	214/287/280	66	290	4	16	25%	9%	59	-1.1	270/345/412	142	330	14	32	21%	10%	114	+2.5
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2012 · A	18	48	37→40	50	53	224/302/310	86	274	3	10	18%	9%	73	-0.1	188/245/267	79	274	5	6	31%	6%	38	-2.6	150/201/214	65	228	4	3	35%	5%	3	-1.3
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	46	-2.0	231/300/330	99	282	6	10	19%	6%	79	+0.3	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
●J.P. Crawford 2014 · A	19	50→58	37→45	50	49	234/297/309	75	304	3	13	23%	8%	70	-0.3	246/314/341	95	294	8	13	18%	9%	86	+0.8	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
✕Jaison Chourio 2023 · A	18	48→49	38→40	54→55	58	220/315/308	87	276	3	15	20%	12%	79	+0.3	223/313/311	88	314	5	21	27%	11%	79	+0.3	222/315/321	99	301	8	23	26%	12%	81	+0.2
✕Jorge Ruiz 2022 · A	18	46→48	37→40	52→50	47	216/288/296	80	265	4	17	19%	6%	65	-0.7	230/282/305	75	285	4	12	20%	5%	63	-0.8	223/272/294	70	283	4	13	21%	5%	53	-0.9
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
●Roman Anthony 2023 · A	19	47→55	37→50	50	47	223/277/298	75	274	4	7	20%	7%	59	-1.1	234/313/380	146	327	15	12	30%	10%	97	+1.5	240/328/400	160	328	17	12	29%	11%	105	+1.8
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A	19	44	37→40	47→40	45	209/268/279	70	271	5	6	24%	7%	50	-1.7	225/289/328	103	278	7	5	20%	8%	72	-0.2	255/307/326	71	293	2	0	13%	6%	74	-0.0
●Oscar Taveras 2010 · A	18	42→52	37→55	52→45	46	199/255/284	85	246	3	9	20%	6%	46	-2.0	251/291/385	134	302	11	7	20%	5%	88	+0.9	290/325/453	164	324	14	7	15%	4%	120	+1.8
✕Jeffer Patino 2007 · A	18	45	37→45	49→45	47	211/274/288	78	271	3	8	22%	7%	56	-1.3	220/284/302	82	271	5	5	19%	7%	63	-0.8	213/278/290	77	257	5	4	18%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Jose Quero 2017 · A	18	51	37→40	47→30	52	241/320/316	75	301	5	4	20%	9%	82	+0.5	195/254/285	90	254	9	3	26%	7%	46	-2.0	173/217/283	109	213	14	2	26%	5%	31	-0.8
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	63	-0.8	208/298/281	73	293	3	17	27%	10%	65	-0.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
●Ender Inciarte 2009 · A	18	49→59	34→45	51→60	46	229/283/275	46	290	1	17	21%	6%	55	-1.4	224/264/290	66	284	2	12	21%	5%	50	-1.7	295/343/395	101	328	7	19	12%	6%	107	+2.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Odúbel Herrera 2010 · A	18	48→58	34→55	49→55	50	223/299/280	57	293	1	16	23%	8%	65	-0.7	243/287/310	67	316	2	16	22%	5%	66	-0.6	282/339/419	137	352	12	17	22%	7%	111	+2.4
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3