Jorge Ruiz
LF Tri-City Dust Devils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+/A2 orgs | 465 | .211/.278/.286 | 3 | 18 | 38 | — | .203/.252/.269 |
| 2025 | 21 | ASEA | 550 | .285/.360/.364 | 1 | 22 | 68 | — | .247/.305/.316 |
| 2026 | 22 | A+LAA | 423 | .258/.306/.371 | 5 | 14 | 59 | — | .230/.267/.322 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBLAA | 1 | .214/.261/.288 | 0 | 0 | 55 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBLAA | 115 | .220/.269/.309 | 1 | 3 | 63 | -0.4 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 212 | 174 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 25 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 270 | 386 | 362 | 749 | 92 | 305 | 12 | 10 | 340 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 222 | 203 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 335 | 384 | 414 | 797 | 79 | 370 | 9 | 5 | 355 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 342 | 296 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 54 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 304 | 383 | 419 | 802 | 115 | 358 | 16 | 8 | 354 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 241 | 220 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 150 | 204 | 191 | 395 | 41 | 187 | 21 | 5 | 182 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 224 | 192 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 36 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 281 | 358 | 396 | 754 | 115 | 331 | 16 | 9 | 327 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 550 | 478 | 136 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 92 | 9 | 22 | 9 | 285 | 360 | 364 | 724 | 79 | 347 | 17 | 9 | 321 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 423 | 388 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 61 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 258 | 306 | 371 | 677 | 113 | 293 | 14 | 5 | 298 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 212 | 181 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 31 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 188 | 290 | 249 | 538 | 61 | 212 | 15 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 222 | 207 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 275 | 315 | 329 | 644 | 53 | 311 | 13 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 342 | 304 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 74 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 283 | 347 | 388 | 735 | 105 | 343 | 22 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 241 | 223 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 66 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 148 | 191 | 188 | 380 | 40 | 189 | 27 | 4 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 224 | 199 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 51 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 261 | 316 | 357 | 673 | 95 | 321 | 23 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 550 | 493 | 122 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 124 | 9 | 22 | 9 | 247 | 305 | 316 | 622 | 69 | 311 | 23 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 423 | 395 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 230 | 267 | 322 | 589 | 91 | 273 | 19 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 212 | 181 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 31 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 188 | 290 | 249 | 538 | 61 | 217 | 15 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 212 | 174 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 25 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 270 | 386 | 362 | 749 | 92 | 305 | 12 | 10 | 340 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 222 | 207 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 275 | 315 | 329 | 644 | 53 | 317 | 13 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Angels | — | 222 | 203 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 335 | 384 | 414 | 797 | 79 | 370 | 9 | 5 | 355 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 342 | 304 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 74 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 283 | 347 | 388 | 735 | 105 | 359 | 22 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 342 | 296 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 54 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 304 | 383 | 419 | 802 | 115 | 358 | 16 | 8 | 354 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 422 | 85 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 117 | 6 | 18 | 6 | 201 | 251 | 268 | 519 | 66 | 267 | 25 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 465 | 412 | 87 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 86 | 6 | 18 | 6 | 211 | 278 | 286 | 564 | 75 | 256 | 18 | 7 | 252 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 550 | 493 | 122 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 124 | 9 | 22 | 9 | 247 | 305 | 316 | 622 | 69 | 325 | 23 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 550 | 478 | 136 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 47 | 92 | 9 | 22 | 9 | 285 | 360 | 364 | 724 | 79 | 347 | 17 | 9 | 321 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 423 | 395 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 230 | 267 | 322 | 589 | 91 | 280 | 19 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 423 | 388 | 100 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 61 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 258 | 306 | 371 | 677 | 113 | 293 | 14 | 5 | 298 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 212 | 184 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 31 | 11 | 19 | 6 | 185 | 290 | 245 | 534 | 60 | 212 | 15 | 7 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 222 | 208 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 274 | 315 | 327 | 642 | 53 | 311 | 13 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 342 | 309 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 74 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 278 | 347 | 382 | 729 | 104 | 343 | 22 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 434 | 85 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 117 | 6 | 18 | 6 | 196 | 251 | 260 | 511 | 65 | 253 | 25 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 550 | 504 | 122 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 124 | 9 | 22 | 9 | 242 | 305 | 310 | 615 | 67 | 311 | 23 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 423 | 400 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 228 | 267 | 318 | 585 | 90 | 273 | 19 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 434 | 85 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 117 | 6 | 18 | 6 | 196 | 251 | 260 | 511 | 65 | 253 | 25 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 550 | 504 | 122 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 124 | 9 | 22 | 9 | 242 | 305 | 310 | 615 | 67 | 311 | 23 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 423 | 400 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 228 | 267 | 318 | 585 | 90 | 273 | 19 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAA | 0% | 533 | 496 | 107 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 110 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 216 | 263 | 291 | 553 | 75 | 268 | 21 | 5 | 250 | 55 | -28 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +12 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAA | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 261 | 288 | 549 | 74 | 266 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 55 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAA | 30% | 381 | 354 | 78 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 78 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 221 | 270 | 311 | 581 | 90 | 270 | 20 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAA | 30% | 115 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 269 | 309 | 577 | 89 | 268 | 21 | 5 | 260 | 63 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 115 | 107 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 263 | 299 | 562 | 84 | 265 | 21 | 5 | 260 | 63 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 605 | 131 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 136 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 217 | 266 | 304 | 570 | 88 | 267 | 21 | 5 | 260 | 63 | -29 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2805 | 2552 | 595 | 98 | 24 | 17 | 143 | 577 | 50 | 108 | 37 | 233 | 287 | 310 | 597 | 77 | 292 | 21 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -28 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +13 | -2.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 139 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 134 | 12 | 25 | 9 | 235 | 289 | 315 | 604 | 80 | 295 | 21 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -31 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 423 PAwOBA .292 → .255 (−36)K% 14.4% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.42% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 19.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 20.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.037 | ×1.012 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .292 → .255; ISO .113 → .095; BABIP .293 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AInland Empire 66ers · 550 PAwOBA .315 → .268 (−47)K% 16.7% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.73% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.55% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.46% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×1.037 | ×1.015 | 24.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.96% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.015 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.55% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×1.037 | ×1.015 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.26% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 113, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .315 → .268; ISO .079 → .069; BABIP .347 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 241 PAwOBA .179 → .163 (−16)K% 20.7% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.75% | ÷1.018 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.98% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 3.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.88% | ÷0.969 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 16.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.35% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 2.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.59% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 0.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .179 → .163; ISO .041 → .036; BABIP .187 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AInland Empire 66ers · 224 PAwOBA .323 → .291 (−32)K% 16.1% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.07% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.93% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.030 | 25.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.038 | ×1.030 | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.139 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×1.030 | 2.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.28% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 128, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .323 → .291; ISO .115 → .102; BABIP .331 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AInland Empire 66ers · 342 PAwOBA .348 → .315 (−33)K% 15.8% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.86% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×1.045 | 26.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.85% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.045 | ×1.045 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.049 | ×0.910 | ×1.045 | ×1.045 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.24% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 1.15% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 110, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .348 → .315; ISO .115 → .104; BABIP .358 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Angels · 222 PAwOBA .347 → .281 (−66)K% 9.0% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.01% | ÷1.011 | ×1.440 | — | — | 12.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷0.964 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 3.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.51% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 25.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.044 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.033 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.943 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 109, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .347 → .281; ISO .079 → .058; BABIP .370 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Angels · 212 PAwOBA .336 → .243 (−93)K% 11.8% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.79% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.38% | ÷1.023 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.19% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.49% | ÷1.012 | ×0.680 | ×1.029 | ×1.022 | 16.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.948 | ×0.600 | ×1.029 | ×1.022 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷0.920 | ×0.600 | ×1.029 | ×1.022 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.904 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.36% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 84, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .336 → .243; ISO .092 → .063; BABIP .305 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).