Jesus Travieso
P
FCL Red Sox
+0.3
WAR
Age 19
RHP
5'11" / 140 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.9 · 2032
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.2%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%12.8%
IP50
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2032
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 11 | 11 | 21 | 93 | 27 | 10 | 0 | 19.7% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 3.80 | 3.14 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 18 | A | Salem Red Sox | 19 | 16 | 65 | 283 | 90 | 36 | 3 | 22.4% | 15.6% | 1.8% | 3.06 | 4.18 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | BOS | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 49 | 22 | 6 | 23.2% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | BOS | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 52 | 22 | 6 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 56 | 22 | 6 | 24.0% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB | BOS | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 61 | 21 | 7 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.08 | 3.98 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 65 | 21 | 7 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 3.95 | 3.86 | +0.7 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 68 | 21 | 7 | 26.1% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 3.77 | +0.8 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 63 | 264 | 70 | 21 | 7 | 26.5% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 3.76 | 3.71 | +0.9 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 63 | 264 | 70 | 21 | 7 | 26.7% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 3.72 | 3.69 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 70 | 21 | 7 | 26.7% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.71 | 3.70 | +0.9 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 69 | 21 | 7 | 26.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 3.72 | 3.73 | +0.9 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 67 | 21 | 7 | 26.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 3.75 | 3.77 | +0.8 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 64 | 20 | 7 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 3.80 | 3.84 | +0.7 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 62 | 20 | 7 | 26.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 3.87 | 3.91 | +0.7 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 54 | — | 54 | 227 | 59 | 19 | 7 | 25.8% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 3.95 | 4.00 | +0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 27 | 86 | 376 | 82 | 57 | 5 | 21.8% | 15.1% | 1.4% | 3.24 | 3.92 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 63 | 200 | 874 | 191 | 133 | 12 | 21.8% | 15.1% | 1.4% | 3.24 | 3.92 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jesus Travieso (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 23.2% | 10.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.13 | 24.2% | 14.9% | 166 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.42 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.35 | 3.98 | 319 | 88 |
| Caden Dana R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.64 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .297 | 4.70 | 21.4% | 10.9% | 260 | +1.06 | 3.64 | 329 | 87 |
| Jose Acuna R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.34 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .242 | 4.98 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 207 | +1.64 | 3.34 | 272 | 87 |
| Andry Rondon R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.46 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.98 | 15.6% | 1.1% | 49 | +0.52 | 3.26 | 105 | 86 |
| David Garner R 2029 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.81 | 154 | 85 |
| Yimmi Brasoban R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.90 | 20.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .261 | 4.36 | 16.7% | 5.3% | 78 | +0.46 | 3.33 | 149 | 85 |
| Reggie Lawson R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.72 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 3.1% | .313 | 4.65 | 18.5% | 7.2% | 145 | -0.07 | 4.06 | 293 | 85 |
| Cristian Javier R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.40 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.4% | .278 | 3.75 | 26.6% | 13.2% | 250 | +0.35 | 2.69 | 882 | 85 |
| Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.49 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .318 | 4.43 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.94 | 3.49 | 115 | 85 |
| José López R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.79 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 543 | 84 |
| Brendan Collins R 2029 · 3.69 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.69 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.16 | 3.69 | 122 | 84 |
| Tanner Burns R 2029 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.38 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .292 | 5.40 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.02 | 4.38 | 355 | 84 |
| Aaron Holiday R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.81 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 3.9% | .310 | 5.20 | 19.7% | -3.3% | 59 | +0.39 | 4.72 | 116 | 84 |
| Mikell Manzano R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.54 | 23.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .388 | 4.27 | 9.9% | 1.4% | 72 | +0.73 | 2.56 | 175 | 83 |
| Anderson Brito R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.51 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.2% | .231 | 3.27 | 23.9% | 8.5% | 49 | -0.24 | 3.27 | 103 | 83 |
| Porter Hodge R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.14 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.74 | 3.01 | 349 | 83 |
| Layonel Ovalles R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 19 | SU | 3.56 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.59 | 17.4% | 3.0% | 146 | +1.03 | 2.60 | 227 | 83 |
| Peyton Remy R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.57 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .280 | 4.71 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 140 | +1.14 | 3.57 | 286 | 83 |
| William Kempner R 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.04 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .277 | 3.24 | 27.3% | 11.8% | 68 | -0.80 | 3.24 | 129 | 83 |
| Alex Cook R 2029 · 4.03 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.03 | 26.1% | 10.8% | 3.2% | .266 | 3.34 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 53 | -0.69 | 2.94 | 119 | 83 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.9 | $5M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +0.9 | $5M | +$0.7M |
| Totals | $12M | $25M | +$13M | ||