Jesus Travieso

P FCL Pirates

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 140 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038 peak 1.0 · 2033

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#493ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKDSL Red Sox B…	11	11	21	3.80	1.98	29.0%	10.8%	—	K 19.7% · BB 13.4% · FIP 3.14
2025	18	MIX2 levels	19	16	65	3.06	2.59	31.8%	12.7%	—	K 22.4% · BB 15.6% · FIP 4.08
2026	19	ROKPIT	2	0	2	4.50	3.60	33.3%	25.0%	—	K 33.3% · BB 25.0% · FIP 3.45
2027PROJ	20	MLBPIT	—	—	0	5.00	5.00	23.9%	15.2%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPIT	5	5	25	4.69	4.61	24.3%	13.6%	0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBPIT	7	7	38	4.46	4.34	25.1%	12.2%	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsRoyber Salinas (age 20) · Carlos Lagrange (age 20) · Tahnaj Thomas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%23.9%

BB%15.2%

K-BB%8.7%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$41M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.7M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	11	11	21	93	27	10	0	100%	1.9	19.7%	13.4%	6.3%	0.0%	3.80	3.14	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	11	11	21	93	27	10	0	100%	1.9	19.7%	13.4%	6.3%	0.0%	3.80	3.14	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	11	11	21	93	27	10	0	100%	1.9	29.0%	10.8%	18.3%	0.0%	3.80	1.98	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	65	283	90	36	3	84%	3.4	22.4%	15.6%	6.8%	1.6%	3.06	4.08	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	16	65	283	90	36	3	84%	3.4	22.4%	15.6%	6.8%	1.6%	3.06	4.08	—
2025	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	16	65	283	90	36	3	84%	3.4	31.8%	12.7%	19.1%	1.1%	3.06	2.59	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	2	0	2	12	4	3	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0.0%	4.50	3.45	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	2	0	2	12	4	3	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0.0%	4.50	3.45	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	2	0	2	12	4	3	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0.0%	4.50	3.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.9%	15.2%	8.7%	2.9%	5.00	5.00	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	52	217	53	30	6	100%	5.7	24.3%	13.6%	10.7%	2.9%	4.81	4.73	+0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	52	221	56	27	6	100%	5.2	25.1%	12.2%	12.9%	2.8%	4.58	4.46	+0.6
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	53	225	58	26	6	100%	5.3	25.8%	11.4%	14.4%	2.8%	4.39	4.27	+0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	54	227	60	25	6	100%	5.4	26.3%	10.8%	15.5%	2.8%	4.25	4.15	+0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	53	224	60	24	6	100%	5.9	26.7%	10.5%	16.1%	2.7%	4.14	4.07	+0.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	54	226	61	24	6	100%	6.0	26.9%	10.5%	16.4%	2.7%	4.08	4.05	+0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	52	221	59	23	6	100%	5.8	26.9%	10.6%	16.3%	2.8%	4.08	4.08	+0.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	50	210	56	23	6	100%	6.2	26.7%	10.7%	16.0%	2.9%	4.13	4.17	+0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	46	195	52	21	6	100%	5.8	26.5%	10.9%	15.6%	3.0%	4.23	4.30	+0.6
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	5	5	25	106	26	14	3	100%	5.0	24.3%	13.6%	10.7%	2.7%	4.69	4.61	+0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	38	160	40	20	4	100%	5.4	25.1%	12.2%	12.9%	2.6%	4.46	4.34	+0.4
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	45	190	49	22	5	100%	5.6	25.8%	11.4%	14.4%	2.6%	4.28	4.16	+0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	9	9	48	203	53	22	5	100%	5.3	26.3%	10.8%	15.5%	2.6%	4.14	4.04	+0.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	49	207	55	22	5	100%	6.1	26.7%	10.5%	16.1%	2.5%	4.03	3.96	+0.8
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	50	211	57	22	5	100%	6.2	26.9%	10.5%	16.4%	2.5%	3.97	3.94	+0.8
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	50	211	57	22	5	100%	6.2	26.9%	10.6%	16.3%	2.6%	3.96	3.96	+0.8
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	47	198	53	21	5	100%	5.9	26.7%	10.7%	16.0%	2.7%	4.01	4.05	+0.7
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	44	186	49	20	5	100%	6.3	26.5%	10.9%	15.6%	2.8%	4.10	4.17	+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		70	70	396	1672	439	185	44	100%	5.7	26.3%	11.1%	15.2%	2.6%	4.14	3.72	+8.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	222	93	22	100%	5.7	26.3%	11.1%	15.2%	2.6%	4.14	3.72	+4.1
Career	—	MLE		32	27	88	388	86	60	5	84%	2.8	22.1%	15.4%	6.7%	1.2%	3.27	3.84	+6.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	61	200	882	195	136	11	84%	2.7	22.1%	15.4%	6.7%	1.2%	3.27	3.84	+2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 39 IPFIP 2.69 → 4.28 (+1.59)K% 31.9% → 21.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.90%	—	×0.680	21.69%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	15.34%	—	×1.250	19.17%
HR / BF /BF	0.61%	÷0.815	×1.400	1.05%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 63).

Result: FIP 2.69 → 4.28, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASalem Red Sox · 26 IPFIP 2.50 → 3.83 (+1.32)K% 31.7% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.67%	—	×0.740	23.43%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.17%	—	×1.180	10.82%
HR / BF /BF	1.67%	÷0.891	×1.300	2.43%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 78).

Result: FIP 2.50 → 3.83, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue · 21 IPFIP 2.01 → 3.14 (+1.13)K% 29.0% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	29.03%	—	×0.680	19.74%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.75%	—	×1.250	13.44%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.992	×1.400	0.00%

Result: FIP 2.01 → 3.14, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesus Travieso (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.9%	—	4.48	25.1%	12.7%	157	-0.52	—	—	—
Royber Salinas R 2021 · 4.69 FIP	20	SP-	4.69	27.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.280	4.36	26.1%	11.3%	213	-0.33	3.75	285	83
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.93	25.8%	12.5%	199	-0.41	3.66	273	81
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	81
Rayner Urbaez R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	20	SP	3.88	23.6%	11.4%	2.4%	.337	3.35	15.0%	3.0%	27	-0.53	2.55	103	81
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	81
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	79
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	79
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	79
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	78
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	77
James Proctor R 2021 · 3.99 FIP	23	SP	3.99	22.0%	15.2%	1.5%	.277	4.39	14.0%	1.5%	48	+0.40	3.99	109	77
Aidan Curry R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	20	SP-	4.91	21.7%	13.5%	3.5%	.384	4.73	21.5%	9.5%	260	-0.18	3.34	410	77
Beck Way R 2021 · 4.53 FIP	21	SP	4.53	23.1%	16.5%	2.4%	.250	4.79	19.8%	5.4%	246	+0.26	3.82	438	77
Cristian Hernandez R 2024 · 4.39 FIP	19	SP	4.39	23.5%	19.9%	1.4%	.269	5.41	18.1%	2.6%	62	+1.02	4.39	116	76
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	76
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	910	76
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	76
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	76
Tanner McDougal R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	20	SP	4.96	19.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.285	4.81	21.3%	8.0%	253	-0.15	3.82	323	76
Hyun-Seok Jang R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	20	SP-	6.03	28.2%	20.1%	5.0%	.304	4.68	22.3%	8.2%	122	-1.35	4.30	146	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	50	26.0%	11.5%	1.10	4.35
Matt Barnes ('24)	2.3	52	29.0%	10.6%	1.02	4.21
Antonio Bastardo ('17)	2.0	56	28.0%	11.4%	1.01	4.01
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Tim Stoddard ('75-'89, 4 WAR*)	3.6	66	26.2%*	11.2%*	1.14*	4.24*
Alberto Reyes ('95-'08, 5 WAR*)	2.1	54	27.1%*	10.2%*	1.18*	3.66*
Jeff Parrett ('86-'96, 6 WAR*)	3.6	72	24.8%*	11.0%*	1.02*	4.07*