Hyun-Seok Jang
P
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
+0.1
WAR
Age 22
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.3 · 2029
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.4%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%11.5%
IP30
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2029
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 18 | 15 | 37 | 166 | 68 | 27 | 4 | 28.2% | 20.1% | 5.3% | 6.14 | 6.17 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 13 | 13 | 41 | 175 | 54 | 32 | 4 | 22.8% | 21.6% | 2.8% | 4.65 | 5.44 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | LAA | 30 | — | 30 | 126 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 24.2% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 32 | — | 32 | 134 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 24.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.29 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 25.0% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 25.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 4.18 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 32 | — | 32 | 135 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 25.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.19 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 25.1% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 25.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 30 | — | 30 | 126 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 24.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.32 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 28 | 77 | 341 | 87 | 71 | 14 | 25.5% | 20.9% | 4.0% | 5.35 | 5.79 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 72 | 200 | 882 | 225 | 184 | 36 | 25.5% | 20.9% | 4.0% | 5.35 | 5.79 | -1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hyun-Seok Jang (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.31 | 24.6% | 14.5% | 95 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Jacob Wallace R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 26.6% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .316 | 4.79 | 23.8% | 7.0% | 167 | +0.48 | 3.93 | 258 | 92 |
| Jacob Dorris R 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 26.9% | 12.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.58 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 88 | +0.48 | 4.10 | 130 | 92 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.15 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.17 | 3.98 | 198 | 91 |
| Justin Yeager R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.59 | 26.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .281 | 3.93 | 25.4% | 12.6% | 103 | +0.34 | 3.29 | 201 | 90 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 4.11 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.20 | 4.01 | 142 | 90 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.58 | 25.3% | 12.4% | 1.9% | .284 | 4.43 | 17.6% | 4.3% | 138 | +0.85 | 3.58 | 183 | 89 |
| Nic Enright R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.63 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .263 | 3.01 | 29.6% | 23.5% | 124 | -0.62 | 0.50 | 249 | 89 |
| Kyle Marman R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.0% | .270 | 5.16 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.19 | 3.97 | 117 | 88 |
| Alex Pham R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.23 | 26.6% | 14.5% | 2.8% | .364 | 3.99 | 23.0% | 12.4% | 272 | -0.24 | 3.78 | 293 | 88 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.48 | 27.7% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.31 | 19.4% | 6.5% | 183 | +0.83 | 3.48 | 290 | 87 |
| Tyler Mattison R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.71 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 1.6% | .315 | 3.90 | 29.1% | 14.9% | 79 | +0.19 | 3.71 | 111 | 87 |
| Cole Gordon R 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .243 | 5.19 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.09 | 4.10 | 112 | 87 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 3.95 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 96 | -0.00 | 3.37 | 134 | 87 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 3.00 | 24.2% | 12.6% | 70 | -1.56 | 2.12 | 117 | 87 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.66 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.87 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.21 | 3.66 | 123 | 87 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .261 | 3.88 | 20.1% | 9.3% | 114 | -0.55 | 3.82 | 142 | 86 |
| Austin Smith R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.85 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.19 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.34 | 3.85 | 100 | 86 |
| TJ Shook R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.90 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.4% | .311 | 4.99 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 296 | +0.09 | 3.35 | 394 | 86 |
| Logan VanWey R 2028 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 23.9% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .301 | 4.39 | 26.1% | 10.7% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 143 | 86 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.38 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 2.6% | .324 | 3.97 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.41 | 3.54 | 152 | 86 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $3M | $5M | +$2M | ||