Max Bain — OGILVIE

Max Bain P South Bend Cubs

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%22.2%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	22	21	93	424	113	56	11	95%	4.2	20.5%	15.2%	5.3%	3.5%	5.52	5.21	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	22	21	93	424	113	56	11	95%	4.2	26.7%	13.2%	13.4%	2.6%	5.52	4.01	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	7	55	256	53	50	11	32%	2.5	16.4%	21.7%	-5.3%	5.2%	5.89	7.32	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	7	55	256	53	50	11	32%	2.5	20.7%	19.5%	1.2%	4.3%	5.89	6.50	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	30	139	35	19	3	0%	1.6	17.2%	18.1%	-0.9%	2.6%	5.93	5.36	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	30	139	35	19	3	0%	1.6	17.2%	18.1%	-0.9%	2.6%	5.93	5.36	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	30	139	35	19	3	0%	1.6	25.2%	13.7%	11.5%	2.2%	5.93	3.96	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CHC	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	11.8%	10.3%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	3.1%	4.78	4.84	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	3.1%	4.78	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	3.1%	4.78	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	3.1%	4.78	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		63	28	178	819	153	145	32	44%	2.8	18.7%	17.7%	1.0%	3.9%	5.70	5.90	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	31	200	919	172	163	36	44%	2.8	18.7%	17.7%	1.0%	3.9%	5.70	5.90	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Max Bain (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	22.2%	11.8%	3.0%	—	4.84	22.1%	10.3%	20	+0.09	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	76
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	72
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	69
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	69
Jason García R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	28	SP-	4.76	17.7%	13.5%	2.6%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	356	67
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	67
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	67
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	67
Chris Bassitt R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	28	SW	3.83	17.5%	9.8%	1.7%	.313	3.80	21.7%	14.1%	336	-0.03	3.02	1,554	66
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	66
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	66
Jefry Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.4%	13.5%	3.4%	.287	4.58	19.8%	6.8%	64	-0.45	3.30	578	66
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.67	18.2%	7.1%	248	-0.15	4.29	360	65
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	65
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	65
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	65
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	65
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	65
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	64
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	64