Max Bain
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 240 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 22 | 21 | 93 | 424 | 113 | 56 | 11 | 95% | 4.2 | 20.5% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.52 | 5.37 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 22 | 21 | 93 | 424 | 113 | 56 | 11 | 95% | 4.2 | 26.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 5.52 | 4.01 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 7 | 55 | 256 | 53 | 50 | 11 | 32% | 2.5 | 16.4% | 21.7% | -5.3% | 5.2% | 5.89 | 7.34 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 7 | 55 | 256 | 53 | 50 | 11 | 32% | 2.5 | 20.7% | 19.5% | 1.2% | 4.3% | 5.89 | 6.50 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 30 | 139 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.2% | 18.1% | -0.9% | 2.2% | 5.93 | 5.16 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 30 | 139 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.2% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 5.93 | 3.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 14 | 0 | 15 | 64 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.12 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 66 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 63 | 28 | 178 | 819 | 153 | 145 | 33 | 44% | 2.8 | 18.7% | 17.7% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 5.70 | 5.95 | -1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 31 | 200 | 919 | 172 | 163 | 37 | 44% | 2.8 | 18.7% | 17.7% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 5.70 | 5.95 | -1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Max Bain (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.50 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 20 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 74 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 72 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 72 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 71 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 70 |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 69 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 69 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.74 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .432 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.88 | 136 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 68 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.00 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.74 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 336 | -0.26 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 67 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | .244 | 5.53 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.04 | 4.54 | 224 | 65 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 65 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 65 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 65 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 65 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 23.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .299 | 4.94 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 323 | +0.92 | 3.19 | 678 | 65 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .371 | 4.86 | 17.5% | 5.7% | 37 | +0.53 | 3.07 | 133 | 64 |
| Jesse Scholtens R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.22 | 19.1% | 11.6% | 193 | +0.24 | 3.13 | 825 | 64 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.51 | 19.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% | .384 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 536 | 64 |
| Blake Beers R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 64 |