Beck Way
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 29 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.65
FIP4.65
K%19.9%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP
Grades · Statcast · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.4
Whiff%
p6127.0%
K%
p3419.8%
xwOBA vs
p240.342
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 63 | 270 | 83 | 38 | 5 | 95% | 3.3 | 23.1% | 16.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 3.98 | 4.53 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 63 | 270 | 83 | 38 | 5 | 95% | 3.3 | 30.7% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 1.9% | 3.98 | 3.31 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 108 | 443 | 127 | 43 | 10 | 100% | 4.9 | 22.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 3.75 | 4.07 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 22 | 22 | 108 | 443 | 127 | 43 | 10 | 100% | 4.9 | 28.7% | 9.7% | 19.0% | 2.3% | 3.75 | 3.15 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 28 | 17 | 80 | 387 | 80 | 62 | 10 | 61% | 2.8 | 16.7% | 17.6% | -0.9% | 4.2% | 6.67 | 6.21 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 28 | 17 | 80 | 387 | 80 | 62 | 10 | 61% | 2.8 | 20.7% | 16.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 6.67 | 5.06 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 59 | 268 | 65 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 15.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.12 | 4.63 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 59 | 268 | 65 | 39 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 1.5% | 4.12 | 3.76 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 74 | 342 | 55 | 41 | 10 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 5.93 | 5.31 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 74 | 342 | 55 | 41 | 10 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.1% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.93 | 5.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 35 | 0 | 50 | 215 | 59 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 3.99 | 3.99 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 28 | 0 | 29 | 124 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | KC | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 79 | 339 | 84 | 34 | 11 | — | — | 24.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 3.2% | 4.23 | 4.24 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | KC | — | — | 49 | 207 | 84 | 34 | 11 | — | — | 40.4% | 16.3% | 24.1% | 5.3% | 6.83 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 46 | 0 | 48 | 204 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 5.23 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 43 | 0 | 45 | 189 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 5.23 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 171 | 0 | 182 | 771 | 148 | 91 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 4.91 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 848 | 163 | 100 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 4.91 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 198 | 57 | 434 | 1925 | 377 | 267 | 58 | 29% | 2.2 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.85 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 26 | 200 | 887 | 174 | 123 | 27 | 29% | 2.2 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Beck Way (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 17.8% | 12.6% | 3.1% | — | 5.29 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 140 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 81 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 78 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 78 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Logan Taylor R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 300 | 77 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 77 |
| Trevor Martin R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.57 | 18.8% | 12.0% | 2.8% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 321 | 76 |
| Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.26 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 3.6% | .331 | 9.13 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 21 | +3.87 | 4.53 | 108 | 76 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 76 |
| Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 76 |
| Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 76 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 76 |
| Nick Frasso R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.17 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 3.5% | .310 | 3.68 | 30.1% | 14.0% | 24 | -1.49 | 2.60 | 248 | 76 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 75 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 75 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 75 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 75 |
| Confesor Lara R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 75 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 47 | 18.6% | 12.1% | 1.30 | 5.26 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |