Cristian Hernandez
P
FCL Twins
Age 21
RHP
6'1" / 185 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%23.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Twins | 11 | 7 | 30 | 174 | 32 | 35 | 2 | 64% | 2.7 | 12.5% | 25.1% | -12.6% | 1.6% | 11.53 | 6.11 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Twins | 11 | 7 | 30 | 174 | 32 | 35 | 2 | 64% | 2.7 | 18.4% | 20.1% | -1.7% | 1.1% | 11.53 | 5.36 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Twins | 7 | 6 | 25 | 107 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 86% | 3.5 | 23.5% | 19.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 4.01 | 4.45 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Twins | 7 | 6 | 25 | 107 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 86% | 3.5 | 34.6% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 0.9% | 4.01 | 2.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Twins | 10 | 3 | 38 | 181 | 45 | 27 | 6 | 30% | 3.8 | 16.9% | 18.6% | -1.7% | 4.6% | 6.87 | 6.58 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIN | 15 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 53 | 246 | 60 | 33 | 8 | — | — | 24.4% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 6.16 | 5.95 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.20 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.82 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 28 | 16 | 92 | 462 | 78 | 99 | 13 | 57% | 3.3 | 16.8% | 21.4% | -4.6% | 2.8% | 7.60 | 5.91 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 35 | 200 | 1001 | 168 | 214 | 28 | 57% | 3.3 | 16.8% | 21.4% | -4.6% | 2.8% | 7.60 | 5.91 | -1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cristian Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.20 | 24.1% | 14.9% | 20 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 81 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 81 |
| Yusniel Padron-Artiles R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.33 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .343 | 6.52 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 197 | +2.19 | 3.27 | 243 | 81 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 80 |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 79 |
| Jeronimo Castro R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.37 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 3.84 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.19 | 158 | 78 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 78 |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 78 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2024 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 78 |
| Rico Garcia R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 78 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.17 | 20.5% | 10.8% | 2.6% | .366 | 3.31 | 22.3% | 15.2% | 61 | -0.86 | 3.25 | 266 | 77 |
| Miguel Rodriguez R 2025 · 3.30 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 5.83 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 108 | +2.53 | 2.55 | 272 | 77 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 77 |
| Colin Fields R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 77 |
| Geno Encina R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 76 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 76 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 76 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2028 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 76 |
| Ray Gaither R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 75 |