Blane Abeyta — OGILVIE

Blane Abeyta P Columbus Clingstones

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%22.4%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%15.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—35

STUF6070

CTRL4550

CMD6060

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	10	55	249	71	35	4	59%	3.3	21.1%	18.2%	2.9%	1.9%	5.37	4.66	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	10	55	249	71	35	4	59%	3.3	28.5%	14.1%	14.5%	1.6%	5.37	3.37	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	23	20	105	472	88	52	6	87%	4.6	14.4%	12.7%	1.7%	1.6%	4.47	4.35	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	23	20	105	472	88	52	6	87%	4.6	18.6%	11.0%	7.6%	1.3%	4.47	3.65	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	25	23	127	565	126	51	18	92%	5.1	18.1%	9.9%	8.1%	3.7%	5.67	4.86	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	25	23	127	565	126	51	18	92%	5.1	18.1%	9.9%	8.1%	3.7%	5.67	4.86	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	25	23	127	565	126	51	18	92%	5.1	22.3%	9.0%	13.3%	3.2%	5.67	4.16	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	111	483	85	22	19	74%	4.1	14.0%	5.1%	8.9%	4.6%	4.95	5.10	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	111	483	85	22	19	74%	4.1	14.0%	5.1%	8.9%	4.6%	4.95	5.10	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	20	111	483	85	22	19	74%	4.1	17.6%	4.6%	13.0%	3.9%	4.95	4.39	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	43	0	51	207	68	20	6	0%	1.2	26.6%	10.6%	16.0%	3.7%	2.29	4.24	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	43	0	51	207	68	20	6	0%	1.2	26.6%	10.6%	16.0%	3.7%	2.29	4.24	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Columbus Clingstones	43	0	51	207	68	20	6	0%	1.2	32.9%	9.7%	23.2%	2.9%	2.29	3.14	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	42	0	49	227	57	28	14	0%	1.2	20.3%	13.6%	6.8%	7.4%	5.55	7.16	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	42	0	49	227	57	28	14	0%	1.2	20.3%	13.6%	6.8%	7.4%	5.55	7.16	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	ATL	42	0	49	227	57	28	14	0%	1.2	25.1%	12.3%	12.8%	6.2%	5.55	5.93	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	ATL	6	0	6	25	6	2	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	7.3%	15.1%	3.6%	4.49	4.49	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	55	252	63	30	15	—	—	24.8%	11.8%	13.0%	5.9%	5.43	6.88	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	ATL	136	0	143	602	134	45	22	0%	1.0	22.2%	7.5%	14.7%	3.6%	4.51	4.55	0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	ATL	130	0	136	575	126	44	21	0%	1.0	22.0%	7.7%	14.2%	3.7%	4.59	4.66	-0.2
2029	30	MLB MLE	ATL	122	0	128	540	117	43	21	0%	1.0	21.6%	8.0%	13.6%	3.9%	4.71	4.81	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	ATL	51	0	54	228	51	17	8	0%	1.1	22.2%	7.5%	14.7%	3.6%	4.51	4.55	0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	ATL	72	0	76	321	70	25	12	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.7%	14.2%	3.7%	4.59	4.66	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	ATL	83	0	87	367	79	29	14	0%	1.0	21.6%	8.0%	13.6%	3.9%	4.71	4.81	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		206	0	217	915	200	71	35	0%	1.1	21.9%	7.8%	14.1%	3.8%	4.62	4.31	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	66	32	0%	1.1	21.9%	7.8%	14.1%	3.8%	4.62	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		177	73	498	2203	391	239	80	41%	2.8	17.8%	10.8%	6.9%	3.6%	4.86	4.96	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	29	200	885	157	96	32	41%	2.8	17.8%	10.8%	6.9%	3.6%	4.86	4.96	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blane Abeyta (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	22.4%	7.3%	3.6%	—	4.67	21.9%	14.2%	407	+0.18	—	—	—
Adam Warren R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	27	SW	3.32	19.5%	7.1%	1.8%	.272	3.72	21.9%	14.4%	174	+0.40	2.72	392	77
Tristan Beck R 2023 · 4.71 FIP	27	SW	4.71	19.2%	6.8%	4.3%	.271	3.84	19.4%	11.6%	170	-0.87	3.48	495	76
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	75
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	73
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	72
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	72
J.P. France R 2022 · 4.44 FIP	27	SW	4.44	24.9%	10.9%	3.8%	.301	4.49	18.4%	8.8%	205	+0.05	4.04	577	70
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	69
Danny Farquhar R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	28	SU	3.85	22.4%	6.8%	3.2%	.324	3.84	22.0%	12.8%	135	-0.01	3.62	224	69
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	69
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	68
Jordan Lyles R 2018 · 3.73 FIP	27	SW	3.73	22.6%	6.7%	3.1%	.284	4.78	20.2%	12.1%	379	+1.05	3.44	1,080	68
Tanner Roark R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	28	SW	4.46	15.0%	4.9%	3.6%	.286	3.78	20.2%	12.9%	572	-0.68	3.13	942	67
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	67
Austin Pruitt R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	27	SW	3.56	20.5%	4.8%	2.9%	.324	3.72	19.9%	14.6%	205	+0.16	2.94	819	67
Bryan Hoeing R 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SW	4.41	19.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.275	3.22	19.9%	13.5%	69	-1.19	3.18	424	67
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	67
Kolton Mahoney R 2019 · 3.56 FIP	27	SW	3.56	19.4%	8.8%	1.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	302	66
Hayden Wesneski R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	25	SW	4.96	23.2%	8.3%	5.0%	.252	3.96	22.3%	15.6%	174	-1.00	3.18	546	65
Joe Biagini R 2017 · 4.20 FIP	27	SW	4.20	18.7%	8.3%	3.0%	.296	4.91	17.8%	9.9%	158	+0.71	2.66	624	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	138	22.1%	7.6%	1.44	4.57
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75
Mike Minor ('22)	3.8	126	22.3%	7.2%	1.44	4.38
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12