Blane Abeyta
P
Columbus Clingstones
+0.6
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.3%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%12.6%
IP77
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 17 | 10 | 55 | 249 | 71 | 35 | 4 | 21.1% | 18.2% | 1.9% | 5.37 | 4.66 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 23 | 20 | 105 | 472 | 88 | 52 | 6 | 14.4% | 12.7% | 1.6% | 4.47 | 4.35 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 25 | 23 | 127 | 565 | 126 | 51 | 18 | 18.1% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 5.67 | 4.88 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 27 | 20 | 111 | 483 | 85 | 22 | 19 | 14.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.95 | 5.11 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 43 | 0 | 51 | 207 | 68 | 20 | 6 | 26.6% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 2.29 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 77 | 323 | 69 | 28 | 11 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 4.70 | 4.70 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 80 | 340 | 74 | 30 | 12 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.50 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 76 | 319 | 68 | 28 | 11 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 4.68 | 4.69 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 74 | 312 | 67 | 28 | 11 | 21.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 4.69 | 4.71 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 72 | 302 | 65 | 27 | 11 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 4.72 | 4.75 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 69 | 292 | 62 | 27 | 10 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 4.77 | 4.82 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 58 | 26 | 10 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 4.85 | 4.90 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 63 | 267 | 55 | 25 | 10 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 4.94 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 11 | 11 | 60 | 254 | 51 | 24 | 10 | 20.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 5.04 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 47 | 24 | 9 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 5.16 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 43 | 23 | 9 | 19.4% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 5.28 | 5.37 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 138 | 73 | 452 | 1993 | 350 | 210 | 64 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.72 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 32 | 200 | 881 | 155 | 93 | 28 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.72 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blane Abeyta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | — | 4.72 | 21.4% | 12.5% | 221 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 94 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 90 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 87 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.26 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .320 | 3.48 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.22 | 3.07 | 185 | 86 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.86 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .280 | 4.05 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.19 | 3.02 | 363 | 86 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 86 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 86 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.88 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .209 | 4.78 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.90 | 3.57 | 157 | 85 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 85 |
| John Gorman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.99 | 23.4% | 7.5% | 3.5% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 141 | 84 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.55 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.15 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.40 | 4.02 | 328 | 84 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 84 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 84 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 84 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.05 | 21.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | .174 | 3.39 | 24.7% | 16.0% | 206 | -0.66 | 2.27 | 445 | 84 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 83 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 83 |
| Félix Peña R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.69 | 23.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | .309 | 3.83 | 23.6% | 15.3% | 249 | -0.86 | 2.67 | 615 | 83 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.51 | 27.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 103 | 83 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 82 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $15M | $2M | -$13M | ||