Blane Abeyta P Columbus Clingstones
Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 147 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%22.4%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%14.8%
ROS IP147
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 178 IP
K: +1.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: +0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -15.6 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-16CONTACTSTAM: +24.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+24STAMTotal WAR: +1.04 (178 IP)+1.0WAR
-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP35
STUF6070
CTRL4550
CMD6060
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122MIX2 levels1710552497135459%3.321.1%18.2%2.9%1.9%5.374.66
202122MIX2 levels1710552497135459%3.328.5%14.1%14.5%1.6%5.373.37
202223A+Hudson Valley Renegades23201054728852687%4.614.4%12.7%1.7%1.5%4.474.34
202223A+Hudson Valley Renegades23201054728852687%4.618.6%11.0%7.6%1.3%4.473.65
202324AASomerset Patriots2523127565126511892%5.118.1%9.9%8.1%3.6%5.674.80
202324AASomerset Patriots2523127565126511892%5.122.3%9.0%13.3%3.2%5.674.16
202425MIX2 levels272011148385221974%4.114.0%5.1%8.9%4.5%4.955.03
202425MIX2 levels272011148385221974%4.117.6%4.6%13.0%3.9%4.954.39
202526AAColumbus Clingstones43051207682060%1.226.6%10.6%16.0%4.0%2.294.40
202526AAColumbus Clingstones43051207682060%1.232.9%9.7%23.2%2.9%2.293.14
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAColumbus Clingstones26031140391780%1.222.6%13.4%9.2%6.9%5.286.65-0.8
ROS27MLBATL140014762113947220%1.122.4%7.6%14.8%3.6%4.534.53+1.5
ROS27MLBATL303133100%1.022.4%7.6%14.8%3.6%4.534.53+0.0
2026 TOT27MLBATL178761178643023.4%8.4%15.0%4.0%4.664.90+1.0
2026 FULL27MLBATL31231022.4%7.6%14.8%3.6%4.534.15+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBATL136014360213447220%1.022.2%7.7%14.5%3.7%4.554.59+1.4
202829MLBATL130013657512646220%1.022.0%8.0%14.0%3.8%4.624.69+1.1
202930MLBATL122012854011745210%1.021.6%8.2%13.4%3.9%4.754.85+0.8
202728MLBATL51054228511880%1.122.2%7.7%14.5%3.7%4.554.59-0.0
202829MLBATL720763217026120%1.122.0%8.0%14.0%3.8%4.624.69+0.2
202930MLBATL830873677930140%1.021.6%8.2%13.4%3.9%4.754.85+0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career209021992720374350%1.021.9%8.0%13.9%3.8%4.654.35+2.7
/ 200 IP190020084418567320%1.121.9%8.0%13.9%3.8%4.654.35+2.5
Career1617348021163772267245%3.017.8%10.7%7.1%3.4%4.824.82+3.3
/ 200 IP6730200882157943045%3.017.8%10.7%7.1%3.4%4.824.82+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Blane Abeyta (OGILVIE) 4.53 22.4%7.6%3.6% 4.71 21.9%14.0%407 +0.18
Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 77
Tristan Beck R 2026 · 4.69 FIP 27 SW 4.69 19.5%7.2%4.2%.271 3.68 21.1%13.0%148 -1.01 3.52 473 76
Jose Pina R 2028 · 5.09 FIP 29 SW 5.09 16.9%9.2%4.1%.231 3.69 13.6%6.9%246 -1.40 3.68 424 74
Jordan Lyles R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 27 SW 3.89 22.6%6.7%3.4%.284 4.94 20.2%12.1%379 +1.05 3.38 1,080 74
J.P. France R 2026 · 4.64 FIP 27 SW 4.64 24.9%10.9%4.1%.301 4.41 18.7%8.6%205 -0.23 4.11 563 73
Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 72
Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 71
Wil Jensen R 2025 · 3.41 FIP 26 SW 3.41 22.7%8.4%2.1%.314 3.41 368 70
Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 69
Kolton Mahoney R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 27 SW 3.59 19.4%8.8%1.8%.293 3.44 302 69
Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SW 5.25 15.9%8.5%4.4%.307 3.44 14.2%6.2%129 -1.81 3.32 227 68
Tanner Roark R 2027 · 4.46 FIP 28 SW 4.46 15.0%4.9%3.6%.286 3.78 20.2%12.9%572 -0.68 3.13 942 68
Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 68
Joe Biagini R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 27 SW 4.23 18.7%8.3%3.0%.296 4.80 17.8%9.9%158 +0.57 2.66 624 67
Austin Pruitt R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 27 SW 3.59 20.5%4.8%2.9%.324 3.69 19.9%14.6%205 +0.10 2.95 819 67
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP 27 SW 4.60 18.2%10.5%3.1%.304 4.88 15.8%3.2%11 +0.28 3.25 221 66
Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 27 SW 3.87 18.9%9.5%2.1%.368 4.57 19.3%8.1%148 +0.70 3.64 560 66
Nick Morreale R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 27 SW 3.92 19.0%8.5%2.5%.271 3.72 11.7%-1.1%14 -0.20 2.97 280 66
Mitch Spence R 2026 · 4.51 FIP 27 SW 4.51 18.1%7.1%3.7%.324 5.24 16.1%7.8%74 +0.73 4.09 738 66
Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 26 SW 4.16 16.1%8.3%2.5%.309 3.28 24.1%13.4%34 -0.88 3.28 252 66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION413822.1%7.9%1.444.61
Félix Hernández ('19)513420.0%8.1%1.394.48
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)613421.4%7.7%1.464.45
Marco Estrada ('19)514219.6%8.3%1.444.33
CC Sabathia ('19) CYAS×6HOF515120.2%7.8%1.394.14
Kutter Crawford ('24)313023.9%7.2%1.454.47
Jason Vargas ('19)411618.5%8.2%1.384.57