Rayner Urbaez
P DSL Rangers Red| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROKDSL Rangers R… | 12 | 11 | 38 | 4.26 | 2.31 | 34.8% | 9.1% | — | K 23.6% · BB 11.4% · FIP 3.88 |
| 2024 | 21 | ROKDSL Rangers R… | 17 | 0 | 27 | 0.33 | 2.51 | 22.1% | 9.6% | — | K 15.0% · BB 12.0% · FIP 3.35 |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBTEX | — | — | 0 | 4.45 | 4.45 | 22.9% | 10.0% | — | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 25 | MLBTEX | 7 | 0 | 7 | 4.38 | 4.35 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 0.0 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL TEX Blue | 16 | 1 | 38 | 153 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 6% | 2.4 | 24.0% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 0.8% | 1.89 | 2.55 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL TEX Blue | 16 | 1 | 38 | 153 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 6% | 2.4 | 35.3% | 6.5% | 28.8% | 0.7% | 1.89 | 1.39 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | 12 | 11 | 38 | 164 | 57 | 15 | 3 | 92% | 3.2 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 4.26 | 3.88 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers Red | 12 | 11 | 38 | 164 | 57 | 15 | 3 | 92% | 3.2 | 34.8% | 9.1% | 25.6% | 1.8% | 4.26 | 2.31 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | 17 | 0 | 27 | 104 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.0% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.33 | 3.35 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers Red | 17 | 0 | 27 | 104 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.0% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.33 | 3.35 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers Red | 17 | 0 | 27 | 104 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 0.33 | 2.51 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.45 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 3.97 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 3.97 | +1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 45 | 12 | 103 | 421 | 91 | 44 | 5 | 27% | 2.3 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 1.2% | 2.36 | 3.27 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 87 | 23 | 200 | 817 | 177 | 85 | 10 | 27% | 2.3 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 1.2% | 2.36 | 3.27 | +0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 ROKDSL Rangers Red · 27 IPFIP 2.45 → 3.35 (+0.90)K% 22.1% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.12% | — | ×0.680 | 15.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.62% | — | ×1.250 | 12.02% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.333 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 167).
Result: FIP 2.45 → 3.35, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKDSL Rangers Red · 38 IPFIP 2.33 → 3.88 (+1.56)K% 34.8% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 34.76% | — | ×0.680 | 23.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.15% | — | ×1.250 | 11.43% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.83% | ÷1.056 | ×1.400 | 2.42% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 111).
Result: FIP 2.33 → 3.88, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKDSL TEX Blue · 38 IPFIP 1.31 → 2.55 (+1.24)K% 35.3% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 35.29% | — | ×0.680 | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 6.54% | — | ×1.250 | 8.17% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.65% | ÷1.148 | ×1.400 | 0.80% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 130).
Result: FIP 1.31 → 2.55, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).