Rayner Urbaez — OGILVIE

Rayner Urbaez P DSL Rangers Red

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%22.1%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	16	1	38	153	54	10	1	6%	2.4	24.0%	8.2%	15.8%	0.8%	1.89	2.55	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	16	1	38	153	54	10	1	6%	2.4	35.3%	6.5%	28.8%	0.7%	1.89	1.39	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	12	11	38	164	57	15	3	92%	3.2	23.6%	11.4%	12.2%	2.4%	4.26	3.88	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	12	11	38	164	57	15	3	92%	3.2	23.6%	11.4%	12.2%	2.4%	4.26	3.88	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	12	11	38	164	57	15	3	92%	3.2	34.8%	9.1%	25.6%	1.8%	4.26	2.31	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	17	0	27	104	23	10	0	0%	1.6	15.0%	12.0%	3.0%	0.0%	0.33	3.35	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	17	0	27	104	23	10	0	0%	1.6	15.0%	12.0%	3.0%	0.0%	0.33	3.35	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	17	0	27	104	23	10	0	0%	1.6	22.1%	9.6%	12.5%	0.0%	0.33	2.51	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	TEX	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.1%	10.8%	11.3%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TEX	24	0	25	105	24	11	3	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	2.9%	4.49	4.44	+0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	TEX	10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	2.9%	4.49	4.44	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	10	5	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	2.9%	4.49	4.06	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	94	19	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	2.9%	4.49	4.06	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		45	12	103	421	91	44	5	27%	2.3	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	1.2%	2.36	3.27	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	23	200	817	177	85	10	27%	2.3	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	1.2%	2.36	3.27	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rayner Urbaez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	22.1%	10.8%	3.0%	—	4.44	22.8%	12.7%	25	-0.17	—	—	—
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	85
Yunior Montero R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	23	SW	3.65	21.9%	11.9%	1.6%	.239	5.21	21.3%	3.7%	54	+1.56	3.65	127	83
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	83
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	83
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	82
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	82
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	82
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	82
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	81
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	81
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	81
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	79
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	79
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	79
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	79
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	78
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	78
Chris Powell R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	16.9%	7.8%	2.0%	.266	3.53	18.8%	15.1%	28	-0.23	3.31	102	78
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	77