Carlo Reyes
P
South Bend Cubs
Age 28
RHP
6'0" / 212 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.26
FIP4.26
K%23.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.6%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 14 | 14 | 62 | 247 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 19.8% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 1.1% | 2.45 | 2.88 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 14 | 14 | 62 | 247 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 29.1% | 5.3% | 23.9% | 0.8% | 2.45 | 1.83 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 3 | 60 | 254 | 82 | 23 | 7 | 9% | 1.7 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 2.40 | 4.10 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 3 | 60 | 254 | 82 | 23 | 7 | 9% | 1.7 | 32.3% | 9.1% | 23.2% | 2.8% | 2.40 | 3.03 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 6 | 56 | 236 | 62 | 18 | 5 | 21% | 2.0 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 3.54 | 4.26 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 6 | 56 | 236 | 62 | 18 | 5 | 21% | 2.0 | 26.3% | 7.6% | 18.6% | 2.1% | 3.54 | 3.01 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 1 | 31 | 142 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 17.9% | 19.0% | -1.1% | 4.0% | 6.32 | 6.17 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 1 | 31 | 142 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 6.32 | 5.05 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 1 | 40 | 162 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 2.1% | 1.36 | 2.79 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 1 | 40 | 162 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 34.6% | 6.2% | 28.4% | 1.2% | 1.36 | 1.69 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 9.1% | 13.6% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 17.18 | 6.55 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 9.1% | 13.6% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 17.18 | 8.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.02 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 66 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 135 | 25 | 253 | 1063 | 233 | 104 | 29 | 19% | 1.9 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 3.20 | 3.98 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 20 | 200 | 840 | 184 | 82 | 23 | 19% | 1.9 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 3.20 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carlo Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.26 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.40 | 23.6% | 14.1% | 20 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 83 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 79 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 78 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 78 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 77 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 77 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 77 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 77 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 76 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 76 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 76 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 76 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 76 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 75 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 75 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 75 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .350 | 5.85 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.16 | 4.26 | 258 | 75 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 75 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 75 |