Carlo Reyes — OGILVIE

Carlo Reyes P South Bend Cubs

Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 212 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.15

FIP4.15

K%24.8%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%15.7%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	14	14	62	247	72	13	2	100%	4.5	19.8%	6.6%	13.2%	1.1%	2.45	2.88	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	14	14	62	247	72	13	2	100%	4.5	29.1%	5.3%	23.9%	0.8%	2.45	1.83	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	3	60	254	82	23	7	9%	1.7	25.2%	10.2%	15.0%	3.6%	2.40	4.25	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	3	60	254	82	23	7	9%	1.7	32.3%	9.1%	23.2%	2.8%	2.40	3.03	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	6	56	236	62	18	5	21%	2.0	20.4%	8.6%	11.7%	2.9%	3.54	4.06	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	6	56	236	62	18	5	21%	2.0	26.3%	7.6%	18.6%	2.1%	3.54	3.01	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	1	31	142	35	22	5	4%	1.2	17.9%	19.0%	-1.1%	4.3%	6.32	6.34	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	1	31	142	35	22	5	4%	1.2	17.9%	19.0%	-1.1%	4.3%	6.32	6.34	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	1	31	142	35	22	5	4%	1.2	24.6%	15.5%	9.2%	3.5%	6.32	5.05	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	1	40	162	56	10	2	4%	1.4	27.5%	6.9%	20.7%	1.7%	1.36	2.60	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	1	40	162	56	10	2	4%	1.4	27.5%	6.9%	20.7%	1.7%	1.36	2.60	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	1	40	162	56	10	2	4%	1.4	34.6%	6.2%	28.4%	1.2%	1.36	1.69	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	3	0	4	22	2	3	1	0%	1.2	9.1%	13.6%	-4.5%	4.5%	17.18	6.55	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	3	0	4	22	2	3	1	0%	1.2	9.1%	13.6%	-4.5%	4.5%	17.18	6.55	—
2025	27	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	3	0	4	22	2	3	1	0%	1.2	9.1%	13.6%	-4.5%	4.5%	17.18	8.01	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CHC	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.1%	15.7%	2.9%	4.15	4.15	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	21	8	3	0%	1.1	24.4%	9.3%	15.1%	3.1%	4.24	4.30	+0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	6	2	1	0%	1.0	24.4%	9.3%	15.1%	3.1%	4.24	4.30	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	2	1	0%	1.0	24.4%	9.3%	15.1%	3.1%	4.24	3.92	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	66	33	0%	1.1	24.4%	9.3%	15.1%	3.1%	4.24	3.92	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		135	25	253	1063	233	104	29	19%	1.9	21.9%	9.8%	12.2%	2.7%	3.20	3.96	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	20	200	840	184	82	23	19%	1.9	21.9%	9.8%	12.2%	2.7%	3.20	3.96	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlo Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.15	24.8%	9.1%	2.9%	—	4.30	24.4%	15.1%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	83
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	79
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	79
Andrew Robinson R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	28	SU	3.19	22.2%	7.9%	1.8%	.247	4.32	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.13	3.19	160	79
Dayan Díaz R 2017 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	25.1%	8.7%	2.5%	.358	3.96	29.4%	19.3%	16	+0.51	3.08	205	78
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	77
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	76
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	76
Michael Mariot R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	22.6%	9.0%	2.1%	.327	4.79	20.9%	11.8%	74	+1.28	2.40	676	76
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	76
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	76
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	76
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	75
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	75
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	75
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	75
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	75
John Gorman R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	27	SU	4.01	23.4%	7.5%	3.5%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	2.08	141	75
Joe Navilhon R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	28	SU	3.04	24.5%	7.2%	2.0%	.307	5.86	22.0%	16.0%	44	+2.82	2.25	273	74
J.J. Hoover R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	28	SU	4.56	22.6%	8.6%	4.2%	.350	5.77	20.3%	10.0%	137	+1.21	4.22	258	74