Carlo Reyes
P South Bend Cubs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | MIX2 levels | 27 | 1 | 31 | 6.32 | 5.05 | 24.6% | 15.5% | — | K 17.9% · BB 19.0% · FIP 6.34 | |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX2 levels | 28 | 1 | 40 | 1.36 | 1.69 | 34.6% | 6.2% | — | K 27.5% · BB 6.9% · FIP 2.60 | |
| 2025 | 27 | A+CHC | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17.18 | 8.01 | 9.1% | 13.6% | — | K 9.1% · BB 13.6% · FIP 6.55 | |
| 2026 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBCHC | — | — | 0 | 4.09 | 4.09 | 24.6% | 8.3% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 30 | MLBCHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4.22 | 4.29 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies White | 14 | 14 | 62 | 247 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 19.8% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 1.1% | 2.45 | 2.88 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies White | 14 | 14 | 62 | 247 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 100% | 4.5 | 29.1% | 5.3% | 23.9% | 0.8% | 2.45 | 1.83 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 35 | 3 | 60 | 254 | 82 | 23 | 7 | 9% | 1.7 | 25.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 2.40 | 4.25 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 35 | 3 | 60 | 254 | 82 | 23 | 7 | 9% | 1.7 | 32.3% | 9.1% | 23.2% | 2.8% | 2.40 | 3.03 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 28 | 6 | 56 | 236 | 62 | 18 | 5 | 21% | 2.0 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 3.54 | 4.06 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 28 | 6 | 56 | 236 | 62 | 18 | 5 | 21% | 2.0 | 26.3% | 7.6% | 18.6% | 2.1% | 3.54 | 3.01 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 27 | 1 | 31 | 142 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 17.9% | 19.0% | -1.1% | 4.3% | 6.32 | 6.34 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 27 | 1 | 31 | 142 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 6.32 | 5.05 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 28 | 1 | 40 | 162 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 1.7% | 1.36 | 2.60 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 28 | 1 | 40 | 162 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 27.5% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 1.7% | 1.36 | 2.60 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 28 | 1 | 40 | 162 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 34.6% | 6.2% | 28.4% | 1.2% | 1.36 | 1.69 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 9.1% | 13.6% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 17.18 | 6.55 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 9.1% | 13.6% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 17.18 | 6.55 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ RAW | South Bend Cubs | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 9.1% | 13.6% | -4.5% | 4.5% | 17.18 | 8.01 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.6% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 4.09 | 4.09 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | CHC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | CHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 3.91 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 63 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 4.22 | 3.91 | +1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 135 | 25 | 253 | 1063 | 233 | 104 | 29 | 19% | 1.9 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 3.20 | 3.96 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 107 | 20 | 200 | 840 | 184 | 82 | 23 | 19% | 1.9 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 3.20 | 3.96 | +0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+South Bend Cubs · 4 IPFIP 6.55 → 7.32 (+0.76)K% 9.1% → 7.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 9.09% | — | ×0.770 | 7.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.64% | — | ×1.150 | 15.68% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.55% | ÷1.106 | ×1.250 | 5.14% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 121).
Result: FIP 6.55 → 7.32, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATennessee Smokies · 26 IPFIP 2.18 → 3.22 (+1.04)K% 33.6% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 33.64% | — | ×0.810 | 27.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 7.27% | — | ×1.100 | 8.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.82% | ÷0.854 | ×1.200 | 2.56% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 71).
Result: FIP 2.18 → 3.22, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+South Bend Cubs · 13 IPFIP 0.50 → 1.28 (+0.78)K% 36.5% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 36.54% | — | ×0.770 | 28.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.85% | — | ×1.150 | 4.42% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).
Result: FIP 0.50 → 1.28, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AATulsa Drillers · 22 IPFIP 5.54 → 6.34 (+0.80)K% 22.1% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.12% | — | ×0.810 | 17.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 17.31% | — | ×1.100 | 19.04% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.85% | ÷1.083 | ×1.200 | 4.26% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 117).
Result: FIP 5.54 → 6.34, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Dodgers · 10 IPFIP 3.21 → 4.97 (+1.75)K% 31.6% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 31.58% | — | ×0.680 | 21.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.53% | — | ×1.250 | 13.16% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.63% | ÷1.005 | ×1.400 | 3.67% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 101).
Result: FIP 3.21 → 4.97, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 44 IPFIP 2.63 → 3.85 (+1.22)K% 30.0% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 30.00% | — | ×0.770 | 23.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 6.67% | — | ×1.150 | 7.67% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.22% | ÷0.881 | ×1.250 | 3.15% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 76).
Result: FIP 2.63 → 3.85, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAReading Fightin Phils · 12 IPFIP 4.23 → 4.74 (+0.50)K% 14.3% → 11.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 14.29% | — | ×0.810 | 11.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.71% | — | ×1.100 | 11.79% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.79% | ÷1.051 | ×1.200 | 2.04% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 110).
Result: FIP 4.23 → 4.74, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 39 IPFIP 2.49 → 3.74 (+1.24)K% 37.5% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 37.50% | — | ×0.770 | 28.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.38% | — | ×1.150 | 10.78% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.50% | ÷1.004 | ×1.250 | 3.11% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 101).
Result: FIP 2.49 → 3.74, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).