Garrett McMillan P Greensboro Grasshoppers
Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 235 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.17
FIP4.17
K%21.9%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: +0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -0.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.15 (33 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.22627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202322ROKFCL Pirates10050000%0.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%54.003.10
202322ROKFCL Pirates10050000%0.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%54.003.10
202423MIX2 levels364702878120411%2.021.2%8.2%13.0%1.7%2.183.26
202423MIX2 levels364702878120411%2.028.2%7.0%21.3%1.4%2.182.39
202524MIX2 levels1010481824474100%4.818.9%4.3%14.6%2.7%2.623.54
202524MIX2 levels1010481824474100%4.824.2%3.8%20.3%2.2%2.622.79
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBPIT31033139301140%1.121.9%7.7%14.1%2.8%4.174.17+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBPIT31033139311140%1.122.2%7.8%14.4%2.8%4.174.16+0.2
202726MLBPIT130145913520%1.122.2%7.8%14.4%2.8%4.174.16+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career140146013520%1.022.2%7.8%14.4%2.8%4.173.78+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084418370280%1.122.2%7.8%14.4%2.8%4.173.78+3.8
Career471411947495311030%2.520.1%6.6%13.5%2.1%2.503.37+2.8
/ 200 IP7924200799161531630%2.520.1%6.6%13.5%2.1%2.503.37+4.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Garrett McMillan (OGILVIE) 4.17 21.9%7.7%2.8% 4.16 22.2%14.4%33 -0.01
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 82
Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 80
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 79
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 78
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 78
Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 25 SU 4.05 19.7%5.3%3.5%.283 3.86 19.3%11.7%124 -0.19 3.47 171 77
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 77
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 76
Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 76
Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 76
Edwin Quirarte R 2029 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 76
Tylor Megill R 2025 · 3.01 FIP 24 SW 3.01 22.2%10.4%0.9%.331 3.91 26.8%19.7%177 +0.90 3.01 603 76
Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 4.31 174 75
Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 75
Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 75
Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 74
Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 16.9%8.6%2.8%.338 3.01 22.4%12.3%71 -1.30 3.01 176 74
Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 25 SW 3.70 14.9%5.0%2.2%.300 3.62 15.0%9.8%94 -0.08 3.62 148 74
Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 74
Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP 25 SW 4.71 18.3%9.2%3.6%.337 3.27 22.7%12.7%50 -1.44 3.27 339 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23322.1%7.8%1.104.17
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Fernando Salas ('18)45922.5%6.6%1.224.42
Trevor Gott ('23)45122.0%7.4%0.793.97
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10