Garrett McMillan

Garrett McMillan P Bradenton Marauders

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 235 lbs A peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 95

ERA4.13

FIP4.13

K%20.3%

BB%6.4%

K-BB%13.9%

ROS IP33

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	54.00	3.10	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	54.00	3.10	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	54.00	3.10	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	4	70	287	81	20	4	11%	2.0	21.2%	8.2%	13.0%	1.7%	2.18	3.30	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	4	70	287	81	20	4	11%	2.0	21.2%	8.2%	13.0%	1.7%	2.18	3.30	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	4	70	287	81	20	4	11%	2.0	28.2%	7.0%	21.3%	1.4%	2.18	2.39	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	48	182	44	7	4	100%	4.8	18.9%	4.3%	14.6%	2.7%	2.62	3.53	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	10	48	182	44	7	4	100%	4.8	18.9%	4.3%	14.6%	2.7%	2.62	3.53	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	10	48	182	44	7	4	100%	4.8	24.2%	3.8%	20.3%	2.2%	2.62	2.79	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	3	3	7	26	8	2	0	100%	2.2	—	—	—	—	1.35	—	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	3	3	7	26	8	2	0	100%	2.2	—	—	—	—	1.35	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	PIT	2	2	5	18	6	2	0	100%	2.4	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	1.93	1.69	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	PIT	1	1	2	8	2	0	0	100%	2.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	60	0	63	267	56	18	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	6.7%	14.3%	2.8%	4.13	4.12	+0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	59	0	62	263	56	18	8	0%	1.1	21.1%	6.9%	14.1%	2.9%	4.16	4.17	+0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	26	0	27	114	24	8	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	6.7%	14.3%	2.8%	4.13	4.12	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	37	0	39	165	35	11	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	6.9%	14.1%	2.9%	4.16	4.17	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	0	66	280	59	19	8	0%	1.1	21.0%	6.8%	14.2%	2.9%	4.15	3.77	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	57	24	0%	1.1	21.0%	6.8%	14.2%	2.9%	4.15	3.77	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		50	17	125	500	103	33	10	34%	2.5	20.7%	6.7%	14.0%	2.0%	2.44	3.29	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	27	200	798	165	53	16	34%	2.5	20.7%	6.7%	14.0%	2.0%	2.44	3.29	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett McMillan (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.13	20.3%	6.4%	2.8%	—	4.14	21.0%	14.2%	126	+0.01	—	—	—
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	80
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	79
Steven Bruce R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	25	SW	3.69	14.9%	5.0%	2.2%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.8%	94	+0.25	3.69	148	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	77
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	76
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	75
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	75
Michael King R 2020 · 4.56 FIP	25	SW	4.56	21.5%	9.1%	3.9%	.316	2.74	28.3%	20.8%	219	-1.82	1.97	1,014	75
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	74
Noah Gotsis R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	25	SP-	3.48	16.5%	6.5%	1.7%	.296	4.25	15.9%	8.6%	90	+0.77	3.48	138	74
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	74
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	74
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	73
Tylor Megill R 2019 · 3.02 FIP	24	SW	3.02	22.2%	10.4%	0.9%	.331	3.91	26.8%	19.7%	177	+0.89	3.02	603	73
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	73
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	73
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	72
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	72
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	20.9%	6.7%	1.11	4.14
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86