Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 13 | 10 | 31 | 145 | 47 | 23 | 2 | 77% | 2.4 | 22.0% | 19.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 7.34 | 4.53 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 13 | 10 | 31 | 145 | 47 | 23 | 2 | 77% | 2.4 | 32.4% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 1.4% | 7.34 | 3.13 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 14 | 0 | 22 | 97 | 41 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.7% | 27.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 14 | 0 | 22 | 97 | 41 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 42.3% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 2.22 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 0 | 32 | 159 | 35 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 2.9 | 15.0% | 14.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.68 | 3.73 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 11 | 0 | 32 | 159 | 35 | 19 | 0 | 0% | 2.9 | 22.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 6.68 | 2.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | ROK | DSL Rangers Blue | 11 | 0 | 18 | 84 | 25 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.2% | 17.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 4.91 | 3.65 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TEX | 16 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 36 | 157 | 42 | 20 | 2 | — | — | 26.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 1.3% | 4.68 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 94 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 10 | 103 | 485 | 101 | 94 | 2 | 20% | 2.1 | 20.8% | 19.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 6.29 | 4.03 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 19 | 200 | 942 | 195 | 182 | 4 | 20% | 2.1 | 20.8% | 19.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 6.29 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eddy Peralta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 2.8% | — | 4.29 | 23.4% | 13.6% | 20 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 87 |
| Michael Gomez R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 85 |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 85 |
| Zac Ryan R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 85 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 85 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 85 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 85 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 84 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 84 |
| Tyler Bray R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 83 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 83 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 83 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.67 | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .324 | 4.02 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 72 | -0.65 | 3.50 | 152 | 82 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 82 |
| Jacob Dorris R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.86 | 26.9% | 12.4% | 2.7% | .295 | 4.59 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 88 | +0.73 | 3.86 | 130 | 82 |
| Cole Gordon R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 82 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 82 |
| Kyle Marman R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 82 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2025 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.31 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.04 | 3.27 | 128 | 82 |
| Parker Curry R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 82 |