Will Varmette — OGILVIE

Will Varmette P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 23 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.05

FIP6.05

K%15.6%

BB%17.0%

K-BB%-1.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3535

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	1	8	40	15	5	1	11%	0.9	37.5%	12.5%	25.0%	2.5%	10.57	2.89	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	1	8	40	15	5	1	11%	0.9	37.5%	12.5%	25.0%	2.5%	10.57	2.89	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	9	1	8	40	15	5	1	11%	0.9	37.5%	12.5%	25.0%	2.5%	10.57	2.84	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	54	254	76	44	4	6%	1.5	22.8%	19.3%	3.5%	2.6%	6.63	5.06	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	54	254	76	44	4	6%	1.5	22.8%	19.3%	3.5%	2.6%	6.63	5.06	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	54	254	76	44	4	6%	1.5	29.9%	17.3%	12.6%	1.6%	6.63	3.69	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	15	79	348	71	41	9	65%	3.4	15.4%	13.7%	1.7%	3.5%	6.61	5.44	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	15	79	348	71	41	9	65%	3.4	15.4%	13.7%	1.7%	3.5%	6.61	5.44	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	15	79	348	71	41	9	65%	3.4	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	2.6%	6.61	4.34	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	45	0	58	278	61	32	6	0%	1.3	17.0%	13.8%	3.2%	2.3%	7.14	4.69	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	45	0	58	278	61	32	6	0%	1.3	17.0%	13.8%	3.2%	2.3%	7.14	4.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	SD	43	0	56	267	59	32	5	0%	1.3	22.1%	12.0%	10.1%	1.9%	6.75	3.78	—
2026	23	AA RAW	SD	2	0	2	11	2	0	1	0%	1.0	18.2%	0.0%	18.2%	9.1%	18.00	6.55	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	SD	5	0	6	24	4	4	1	0%	1.1	15.6%	17.0%	-1.4%	3.1%	6.05	6.05	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	64	302	65	36	7	—	—	21.4%	11.9%	9.5%	2.2%	7.04	4.81	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	69	0	73	308	53	47	10	0%	1.1	17.2%	15.2%	2.0%	3.1%	5.74	5.65	-0.9
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	70	0	74	312	56	44	10	0%	1.1	18.1%	14.0%	4.1%	3.1%	5.51	5.42	-0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	SD	70	0	74	312	58	43	10	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.7%	4.8%	3.1%	5.38	5.34	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	SD	69	0	73	307	57	42	10	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.7%	5.0%	3.1%	5.35	5.35	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	SD	67	0	70	298	55	41	10	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.8%	4.7%	3.2%	5.40	5.43	-0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	SD	64	0	67	284	52	40	10	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.1%	4.3%	3.4%	5.50	5.57	-0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	SD	60	0	63	267	48	38	10	0%	1.1	18.0%	14.4%	3.6%	3.6%	5.65	5.74	-0.8
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	30	0	31	131	23	20	4	0%	1.0	17.2%	15.2%	2.0%	3.1%	5.74	5.65	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	47	0	49	207	37	29	6	0%	1.0	18.1%	14.0%	4.1%	3.1%	5.51	5.42	-0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	SD	56	0	59	249	46	34	8	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.7%	4.8%	3.1%	5.38	5.34	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	SD	59	0	62	262	49	36	8	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.7%	5.0%	3.1%	5.35	5.35	-0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	SD	60	0	63	266	49	37	9	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.8%	4.7%	3.2%	5.40	5.43	-0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	SD	58	0	61	258	47	36	9	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.1%	4.3%	3.4%	5.50	5.57	-0.7
2033	30	MLB CTX	SD	55	0	58	245	44	35	9	0%	1.1	18.0%	14.4%	3.6%	3.6%	5.65	5.74	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		365	0	383	1618	296	227	52	0%	1.0	18.3%	14.0%	4.2%	3.2%	5.48	5.11	-2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	118	27	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.0%	4.2%	3.2%	5.48	5.11	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		113	18	199	920	174	140	26	16%	1.8	18.9%	15.2%	3.7%	2.9%	6.92	5.00	-5.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	18	200	925	175	141	26	16%	1.8	18.9%	15.2%	3.7%	2.9%	6.92	5.00	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Will Varmette (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.05	15.6%	17.0%	3.1%	—	5.47	18.0%	3.7%	220	-0.58	—	—	—
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	89
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	87
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	86
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	86
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	85
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	85
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	85
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	85
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	85
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	83
Luis Ledo R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	23	SU	5.51	17.1%	17.6%	3.0%	.329	3.65	20.8%	8.0%	85	-1.86	3.27	376	83
Jon Keller R 2016 · 5.48 FIP	23	SW	5.48	15.3%	20.9%	1.9%	.265	3.84	8.9%	-2.9%	15	-1.64	3.64	156	83
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Austin Pettibone R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	23	SU	5.11	14.6%	16.2%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	142	82
David Lucroy R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	15.8%	16.8%	2.0%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	103	81
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	81
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	81
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	81
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	69	17.9%	14.4%	1.24	5.56
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48