Will Varmette
P
Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 23
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153144vR 135
ERA5.99
FIP5.99
K%15.6%
BB%16.3%
K-BB%-0.7%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 96 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 9 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 11% | 0.9 | 37.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 2.5% | 10.57 | 2.89 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 9 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 11% | 0.9 | 37.5% | 12.5% | 25.0% | 2.5% | 10.57 | 2.84 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 54 | 254 | 76 | 44 | 4 | 6% | 1.5 | 22.8% | 19.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 6.63 | 5.14 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 54 | 254 | 76 | 44 | 4 | 6% | 1.5 | 29.9% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 6.63 | 3.69 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 15 | 79 | 348 | 71 | 41 | 9 | 65% | 3.4 | 15.4% | 13.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.61 | 5.57 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 15 | 79 | 348 | 71 | 41 | 9 | 65% | 3.4 | 20.4% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 6.61 | 4.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 28 | 0 | 34 | 169 | 37 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.9% | 17.0% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 8.21 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 40 | 42 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 16.3% | -0.7% | 3.2% | 5.99 | 5.99 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.6% | 16.3% | -0.7% | 3.2% | 5.99 | 5.99 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 96 | 429 | 77 | 67 | 11 | — | — | 18.1% | 15.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 6.78 | 5.66 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.6% | 16.3% | -0.7% | 3.2% | 5.99 | 5.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SD | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 46 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.70 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 49 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 5.39 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SD | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 50 | 36 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SD | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 20 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.70 | 5.61 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SD | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 32 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 5.39 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | SD | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 40 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.36 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 115 | 0 | 121 | 509 | 92 | 70 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.1% | 13.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 5.03 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 153 | 116 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 13.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.48 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 96 | 18 | 175 | 811 | 155 | 131 | 25 | 19% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 7.10 | 5.20 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 110 | 21 | 200 | 927 | 177 | 149 | 28 | 19% | 1.8 | 19.1% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 7.10 | 5.20 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Varmette (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.99 | 15.6% | 16.3% | 3.2% | — | 5.44 | 18.0% | 4.1% | 191 | -0.55 | — | — | — |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 91 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 88 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 86 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 85 |
| Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 83 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 83 |
| Carlos Polanco R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 1.7% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 276 | 82 |
| Jon Keller R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.41 | 15.3% | 20.9% | 1.7% | .265 | 3.84 | 8.9% | -2.9% | 15 | -1.57 | 3.62 | 156 | 82 |
| Jonathan Teaney R 2026 · 6.06 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.06 | 16.4% | 15.7% | 4.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.70 | 108 | 81 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2027 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 17.4% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .263 | 4.25 | 18.6% | 4.4% | 59 | -1.37 | 3.67 | 108 | 81 |
| Luis Ledo R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.45 | 17.1% | 17.6% | 2.9% | .329 | 3.60 | 20.8% | 8.0% | 85 | -1.85 | 3.22 | 376 | 81 |
| Jacinto Arredondo R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.22 | 14.4% | 12.7% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.89 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 50 | -0.33 | 4.89 | 101 | 81 |
| Zach Jacobs R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.94 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 4.0% | .220 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 238 | 81 |
| David Trexler R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 81 |
| Cody Adcock R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.54 | 18.6% | 16.5% | 3.5% | .253 | 3.69 | 25.7% | 3.9% | 26 | -1.85 | 3.34 | 139 | 80 |
| Jacob Morris R 2027 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 80 |
| Everhett Hazelwood R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.32 | 13.8% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .306 | 6.84 | 18.7% | 2.9% | 63 | +1.52 | 5.32 | 117 | 80 |
| Taylor Grover R 2027 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .229 | 4.26 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -1.14 | 3.63 | 239 | 80 |
| James Acuna R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 80 |
| Hayden Snelsire R 2026 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 4.3% | .272 | 4.38 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 111 | -1.21 | 3.94 | 155 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 63 | 17.4% | 14.5% | 1.22 | 5.63 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |