Moises Castillo
P
ACL Reds
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 157 lbs
ROK
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.31
FIP5.31
K%17.9%
BB%13.8%
K-BB%4.1%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 11 | 9 | 36 | 150 | 40 | 14 | 3 | 82% | 3.3 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 3.22 | 4.58 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 11 | 9 | 36 | 150 | 40 | 14 | 3 | 82% | 3.3 | 26.7% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 2.0% | 3.22 | 3.13 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 13 | 10 | 51 | 222 | 58 | 26 | 2 | 77% | 3.9 | 17.8% | 14.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 3.51 | 4.16 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rojos | 13 | 10 | 51 | 222 | 58 | 26 | 2 | 77% | 3.9 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 0.9% | 3.51 | 2.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | 8 | 1 | 14 | 72 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 12% | 1.7 | 25.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 1.9% | 11.20 | 3.77 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CIN | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 32 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.31 | 5.31 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.9% | 13.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.31 | 5.31 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 56 | 249 | 59 | 32 | 6 | — | — | 23.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 6.75 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 44 | 186 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 22 | 92 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 4.59 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 166 | 101 | 28 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 32 | 20 | 101 | 444 | 85 | 60 | 8 | 62% | 3.2 | 19.1% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 4.44 | 4.24 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 39 | 200 | 876 | 168 | 118 | 17 | 62% | 3.2 | 19.1% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 4.44 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Moises Castillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.31 | 17.9% | 13.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.97 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 44 | -0.34 | — | — | — |
| Juan Perez R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 87 |
| Luis Garcia R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.33 | 17.9% | 13.4% | 1.9% | .295 | 3.59 | 27.4% | 17.5% | 264 | -0.74 | 3.28 | 535 | 86 |
| Trent Fennell R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.48 | 14.5% | 12.5% | 1.9% | .317 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 7.5% | 89 | -0.24 | 3.88 | 163 | 85 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2028 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 85 |
| Nolberto Henriquez R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.75 | 16.0% | 13.4% | 2.4% | .305 | 5.43 | 11.3% | -3.1% | 52 | +0.68 | 4.75 | 108 | 84 |
| Alex Vallecillo R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.6% | 16.3% | 2.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.47 | 152 | 84 |
| Cade Winquest R 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .299 | 3.91 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 158 | -0.45 | 3.34 | 236 | 83 |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 83 |
| Ryan Long R 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.20 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .263 | 4.46 | 16.6% | 7.3% | 292 | +0.26 | 4.13 | 405 | 83 |
| Nick Garcia R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.31 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .274 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 265 | +0.57 | 4.27 | 384 | 83 |
| Jake Lyons R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.41 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.72 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 105 | +0.31 | 4.31 | 174 | 83 |
| Hunter Parks R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.41 | 18.7% | 16.8% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.36 | 17.8% | -0.6% | 163 | -0.05 | 3.51 | 278 | 83 |
| Tanner Hall R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 82 |
| Dawson Netz R 2029 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 82 |
| Henry Valencio R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.15 | 16.4% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .293 | 5.11 | 11.9% | -11.9% | 14 | +0.96 | 3.48 | 136 | 82 |
| Luis Rujano R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.69 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .361 | 5.05 | 17.0% | -2.8% | 72 | +0.36 | 4.67 | 178 | 82 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 82 |
| Luis Rosario R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.68 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 206 | 82 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 82 |
| Carlton Perkins R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.34 | 18.6% | 15.7% | 1.5% | .356 | 5.67 | 15.8% | -3.4% | 53 | +1.33 | 4.34 | 111 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 18.6% | 13.0% | 1.11 | 5.19 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |