Jeisson Cabrera
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 170 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.31
FIP5.31
K%23.4%
BB%18.7%
K-BB%4.8%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Robinson | 14 | 14 | 53 | 211 | 62 | 22 | 2 | 100% | 3.8 | 20.0% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 2.19 | 3.79 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Robinson | 14 | 14 | 53 | 211 | 62 | 22 | 2 | 100% | 3.8 | 29.4% | 10.4% | 19.0% | 0.9% | 2.19 | 2.50 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | 14 | 7 | 51 | 201 | 63 | 25 | 3 | 50% | 3.6 | 21.3% | 15.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 2.31 | 4.42 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | 14 | 7 | 51 | 201 | 63 | 25 | 3 | 50% | 3.6 | 31.3% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 1.5% | 2.31 | 2.86 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 54.5% | 18.2% | 36.4% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 0.80 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 54.5% | 18.2% | 36.4% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 0.10 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 80% | 0.9 | 52.6% | 15.8% | 36.8% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 0.66 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 80% | 0.9 | 52.6% | 15.8% | 36.8% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 0.74 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 16 | 2 | 18 | 90 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 12% | 1.1 | 24.7% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 7.00 | 3.77 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 16 | 2 | 18 | 90 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 12% | 1.1 | 33.3% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 1.1% | 7.00 | 2.49 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 1 | 39 | 166 | 45 | 29 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 18.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.77 | 4.71 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 1 | 39 | 166 | 45 | 29 | 2 | 4% | 1.4 | 27.1% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 1.2% | 2.77 | 3.69 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 36 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 54 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.9% | 18.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 3.71 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 36 | 0 | 44 | 191 | 54 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.3% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 1.0% | 3.71 | 3.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 25 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 49 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.7% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 1.9% | 4.73 | 3.69 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BAL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 59 | 47 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 18.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 5.31 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BAL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 18.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 5.31 | 5.31 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 92 | 400 | 108 | 72 | 9 | — | — | 27.0% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 5.11 | 4.74 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.4% | 18.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 5.31 | 4.93 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 57 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 17.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.27 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 54 | 41 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 17.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 5.29 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 49 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 50 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 17.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.38 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 22 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 17.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.27 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 30 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 17.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 5.29 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 34 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 17.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.38 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 85 | 0 | 89 | 375 | 86 | 66 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 17.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.32 | 5.01 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 149 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 17.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.32 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 140 | 28 | 244 | 1038 | 245 | 167 | 17 | 20% | 1.7 | 23.6% | 16.1% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 3.29 | 4.04 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 23 | 200 | 852 | 201 | 137 | 14 | 20% | 1.7 | 23.6% | 16.1% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 3.29 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeisson Cabrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.31 | 23.4% | 18.7% | 2.6% | — | 5.38 | 23.1% | 5.5% | 165 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Baez R 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 81 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 20.2% | 16.4% | 1.6% | .266 | 4.20 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 41 | -0.12 | 3.03 | 140 | 81 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 80 |
| Jack Ralston R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.91 | 23.3% | 18.1% | 2.7% | .338 | 3.54 | 28.3% | 18.1% | 51 | -1.37 | 3.50 | 299 | 80 |
| Nick Ernst R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 79 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 79 |
| Chris Perry R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 21.3% | 19.3% | 0.8% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 113 | 79 |
| Dario Beltre R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.21 | 21.4% | 17.0% | 1.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 110 | 78 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 78 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 78 |
| Michael Hobbs R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 21.2% | 19.2% | 1.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 184 | 77 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 77 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.16 | 20.6% | 21.8% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.35 | 22.6% | 15.5% | 34 | -1.81 | 3.88 | 158 | 77 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 77 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.85 | 19.1% | 16.2% | 2.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 231 | 77 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 76 |
| Javy Guerra R 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 76 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 21.4% | 19.3% | 1.6% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 168 | 76 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 76 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 56 | 23.2% | 17.8% | 1.11 | 5.31 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |