Jeisson Cabrera — OGILVIE

Jeisson Cabrera P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.38

FIP5.38

K%23.4%

BB%19.2%

K-BB%4.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2525

CMD4040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Robinson	14	14	53	211	62	22	2	100%	3.8	20.0%	13.0%	6.9%	1.3%	2.19	3.79	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Robinson	14	14	53	211	62	22	2	100%	3.8	29.4%	10.4%	19.0%	0.9%	2.19	2.50	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	14	7	51	201	63	25	3	50%	3.6	21.3%	15.5%	5.8%	2.1%	2.31	4.42	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers Mota	14	7	51	201	63	25	3	50%	3.6	31.3%	12.4%	18.9%	1.5%	2.31	2.86	—
2021	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	2	0	2	11	6	2	0	0%	1.0	54.5%	18.2%	36.4%	0.0%	4.50	0.80	—
2021	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	2	0	2	11	6	2	0	0%	1.0	54.5%	18.2%	36.4%	0.0%	4.50	0.10	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	5	4	5	19	10	3	0	80%	0.9	52.6%	15.8%	36.8%	0.0%	1.93	0.66	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	5	4	5	19	10	3	0	80%	0.9	52.6%	15.8%	36.8%	0.0%	1.93	0.74	—
2023	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	16	2	18	90	30	12	1	12%	1.1	24.7%	15.7%	8.9%	1.4%	7.00	3.78	—
2023	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	16	2	18	90	30	12	1	12%	1.1	24.7%	15.7%	8.9%	1.4%	7.00	3.78	—
2023	24	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	16	2	18	90	30	12	1	12%	1.1	33.3%	13.3%	20.0%	1.1%	7.00	2.49	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	39	166	45	29	2	4%	1.4	21.5%	18.5%	3.0%	2.0%	2.77	4.75	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	39	166	45	29	2	4%	1.4	21.5%	18.5%	3.0%	2.0%	2.77	4.75	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	1	39	166	45	29	2	4%	1.4	27.1%	17.5%	9.6%	1.2%	2.77	3.69	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	36	0	44	191	54	32	2	0%	1.2	22.9%	18.4%	4.5%	1.3%	3.71	4.22	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	36	0	44	191	54	32	2	0%	1.2	22.9%	18.4%	4.5%	1.3%	3.71	4.22	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	36	0	44	191	54	32	2	0%	1.2	28.3%	16.8%	11.5%	1.0%	3.71	3.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	43	0	53	240	67	36	3	0%	1.2	23.4%	14.6%	8.8%	1.7%	3.74	3.88	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	43	0	53	240	67	36	3	0%	1.2	23.4%	14.6%	8.8%	1.7%	3.74	3.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	BAL	40	0	50	218	63	29	3	0%	1.3	28.9%	13.3%	15.6%	1.4%	3.22	3.10	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	BAL	3	0	3	22	4	7	0	0%	0.9	18.2%	31.8%	-13.6%	0.0%	13.50	5.59	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	BAL	5	0	5	21	5	4	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	19.2%	4.2%	2.6%	5.38	5.38	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	58	261	72	40	4	—	—	27.6%	15.3%	12.2%	1.4%	3.88	4.01	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55	0	58	244	57	45	7	0%	1.0	23.3%	18.4%	4.9%	2.8%	5.33	5.36	-0.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	BAL	52	0	55	233	54	42	7	0%	1.1	23.1%	17.9%	5.1%	2.9%	5.35	5.42	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	BAL	21	0	22	93	22	17	3	0%	1.0	23.3%	18.4%	4.9%	2.8%	5.33	5.36	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	BAL	30	0	31	131	30	23	4	0%	1.0	23.1%	17.9%	5.1%	2.9%	5.35	5.42	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	51	40	6	0%	1.0	23.2%	18.1%	5.1%	2.9%	5.34	5.01	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	153	23	0%	1.1	23.2%	18.1%	5.1%	2.9%	5.34	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		158	28	264	1129	259	179	18	18%	1.7	22.9%	15.9%	7.1%	1.6%	3.20	4.05	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	21	200	854	196	135	14	18%	1.7	22.9%	15.9%	7.1%	1.6%	3.20	4.05	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeisson Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.38	23.4%	19.2%	2.6%	—	5.39	23.2%	5.0%	113	+0.01	—	—	—
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	81
Chris Perry R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.3%	19.3%	0.9%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	113	80
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	80
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	80
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	79
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	79
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	79
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	79
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	79
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	79
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	79
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	78
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	78
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	78
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	77
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	77
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	77
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	77
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	76
Brad Goldberg R 2017 · 4.38 FIP	27	SU	4.38	18.4%	15.4%	1.6%	.331	3.14	30.3%	13.3%	36	-1.24	3.14	197	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	23.3%	18.5%	1.08	5.35
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91