Jirvin Morillo — OGILVIE

Jirvin MorilloC DSL Reds

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR +9%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2033

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .296 / .347

PA116

HR2

K%27

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25↗50

PWR

25↗46

SPD

40→40

FLD

30↗45

EYE

66↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.5	$33M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$35M	+$34M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$36M	+$35M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.5	$37M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.4	$37M	+$25M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+3.1	$34M	+$19M
Totals		$36M		$213M	+$177M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	156	129	22	11	1	1	25	33	0	3	2	.171	.305	.295	.600	.124	.216	21	16	.280	72	-5	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	231	207	36	8	0	5	22	61	0	6	5	.174	.253	.285	.538	.111	.217	26	10	.241	43	-15	-1	+0	+4	+7	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	CIN	116	104	23	4	1	2	10	31	1	2	0	.221	.296	.337	.632	.115	.289	27	9	.292	82	-2	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	CIN	203	179	42	8	1	5	20	52	2	3	1	.235	.318	.374	.693	.140	.296	26	10	.312	97	-1	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.9
2028	21	MLB 28%	CIN	335	294	70	13	2	9	34	83	4	6	1	.238	.325	.388	.713	.150	.297	25	10	.319	103	+1	+1	-0	+6	+9	1.7
2029	22	MLB 48%	CIN	431	378	92	17	3	13	45	104	5	7	2	.243	.332	.407	.739	.164	.297	24	10	.325	107	+3	+1	-0	+8	+12	2.4
2030	23	MLB 65%	CIN	495	433	105	19	3	15	53	117	6	8	2	.242	.333	.404	.737	.162	.298	24	11	.331	111	+6	+1	-0	+9	+14	3.0
2031	24	MLB 82%	CIN	520	452	112	20	3	17	57	121	6	8	1	.248	.340	.418	.758	.170	.298	23	11	.335	115	+9	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.4
2032	25	MLB	CIN	520	451	112	20	3	17	58	121	6	7	1	.248	.342	.419	.761	.171	.299	23	11	.338	117	+10	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.5
2033	26	MLB	CIN	520	450	112	20	3	17	59	121	6	7	1	.249	.344	.420	.764	.171	.299	23	11	.340	118	+11	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.6
2034	27	MLB	CIN	520	450	112	20	3	17	59	121	6	7	1	.249	.344	.420	.764	.171	.299	23	11	.340	118	+11	+1	-0	+9	+15	3.6
2035	28	MLB	CIN	520	449	111	20	3	17	60	122	6	6	1	.247	.344	.419	.762	.171	.299	23	12	.339	118	+10	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.5
2036	29	MLB	CIN	520	449	111	20	3	17	60	124	6	6	0	.247	.344	.419	.762	.171	.298	24	12	.337	116	+9	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.4
2037	30	MLB	CIN	520	449	109	20	3	16	60	125	6	6	0	.243	.340	.408	.747	.165	.297	24	12	.334	114	+8	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.1
2038	31	MLB	CIN	504	435	105	19	3	15	58	124	6	5	0	.241	.339	.402	.741	.161	.295	25	12	.330	111	+6	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.8
2039	32	MLB	CIN	489	425	101	18	3	15	56	122	5	4	0	.238	.333	.400	.733	.162	.294	25	11	.325	107	+4	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.4
2040	33	MLB	CIN	451	391	90	16	2	13	52	116	5	4	0	.230	.328	.381	.709	.151	.292	26	12	.320	103	+1	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.9
2041	34	MLB	CIN	395	343	77	13	2	11	45	105	4	4	0	.224	.321	.370	.692	.146	.290	27	11	.313	98	-1	+1	-5	+7	+11	1.3
2042	35	MLB	CIN	336	292	65	11	2	9	38	93	3	3	0	.223	.318	.366	.685	.144	.288	28	11	.305	92	-3	+1	-6	+6	+10	0.7
2043	36	MLB	CIN	275	239	51	9	1	6	31	79	3	3	0	.213	.311	.335	.646	.121	.285	29	11	.296	85	-5	+1	-6	+5	+8	0.2
2044	37	MLB	CIN	213	186	38	6	1	5	23	63	2	2	0	.204	.299	.328	.627	.124	.281	30	11	.286	77	-5	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.2
2045	38	MLB	CIN	154	135	27	4	1	3	17	47	1	2	0	.200	.294	.311	.605	.111	.276	31	11	.276	69	-5	+0	-8	+3	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8424	7320	1723	316	47	245	942	2085	89	109	18	.235	.330	.392	.722	.156	.293	25	11	.323	105	+47	+15	-50	+150	+239	41.0
/ 162G	—			650	565	133	24	4	19	73	161	7	8	1	.235	.331	.393	.724	.158	.293	25	11	.323	105	+4	+1	-4	+12	+18	3.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	156	114	29	14	1	2	40	21	3	2	.254	.448	.447	.895	.193	.290	13	26	.401	165	+11	-0	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	139	116	30	8	0	4	23	25	6	2	.259	.381	.431	.812	.172	.299	18	17	.366	139	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	18	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	92	80	23	6	1	1	10	28	0	3	.287	.367	.425	.792	.138	.415	30	11	.347	124	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jirvin Morillo (OGILVIE)	19	25→50	25→46	40	60	.220/.296/.347	.127	.289	2	2	27%	9%	82	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	.219/.281/.317	.098	.274	8	11	23%	8%	66	-0.6	.241/.317/.373	.132	.280	15	17	19%	9%	97	+1.5	.233/.312/.369	.136	.267	17	23	19%	9%	90	+0.8
●Jeimer Candelario 2013 · A	19	50→55	40→60	44→45	52	.240/.311/.338	.098	.300	7	5	22%	9%	85	+0.7	.211/.268/.326	.115	.261	10	2	22%	7%	63	-0.8	.247/.323/.429	.182	.296	19	3	22%	9%	111	+2.3
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	43→50	48→40	45	.202/.300/.317	.115	.331	10	6	38%	10%	76	+0.1	.235/.325/.382	.147	.300	16	5	25%	10%	103	+1.9	.239/.326/.387	.148	.293	17	4	23%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	44→50	45	51	.220/.307/.353	.132	.309	10	8	30%	11%	87	+0.8	.194/.270/.290	.096	.293	8	5	33%	9%	56	-1.3	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	.221/.266/.338	.118	.283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.237/.283/.343	.106	.289	10	4	21%	5%	74	-0.1	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	42→30	44	.214/.269/.309	.096	.275	10	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.248/.300/.359	.111	.296	11	2	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.327/.424	.162	.295	21	1	19%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	.230/.303/.339	.110	.271	10	5	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.291/.326	.101	.280	9	5	22%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	45→48	40→45	43→55	45	.209/.292/.297	.088	.310	7	9	32%	8%	67	-0.5	.198/.280/.275	.077	.287	5	14	30%	9%	56	-1.3	.204/.287/.292	.088	.279	6	20	27%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	40→50	43→45	44	.205/.267/.300	.095	.269	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	.185/.233/.263	.078	.242	5	4	25%	5%	31	-3.0	.253/.312/.392	.139	.280	17	0	16%	7%	96	+0.8
●Johan Camargo 2013 · A	19	52→53	38→55	47→45	48	.247/.308/.332	.084	.299	5	7	18%	7%	82	+0.5	.235/.279/.297	.062	.286	2	5	17%	5%	59	-1.1	.272/.328/.447	.175	.319	19	1	20%	7%	114	+1.9
●Willy Adames 2015 · A	19	48→53	41→60	47→50	46	.224/.293/.338	.114	.316	6	6	29%	8%	76	+0.1	.224/.290/.335	.111	.332	7	8	32%	8%	75	-0.0	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→48	42→50	49→45	46	.222/.285/.324	.103	.281	10	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.230/.313/.368	.138	.279	13	9	21%	10%	94	+1.3	.226/.311/.371	.145	.266	15	9	20%	10%	91	+1.0
✕Manuel Guzman 2014 · A	19	48	37→45	47→55	50	.226/.292/.301	.075	.272	4	14	18%	8%	66	-0.6	.220/.286/.278	.058	.274	2	18	19%	8%	58	-1.2	.238/.306/.305	.068	.287	4	15	17%	9%	69	-0.2
●Victor Caratini 2014 · A	20	48→57	38→50	42→40	48	.220/.300/.311	.091	.316	3	3	29%	9%	73	-0.1	.234/.293/.331	.097	.306	5	2	24%	7%	75	-0.0	.267/.326/.389	.121	.329	10	1	21%	7%	102	+1.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	40	40→45	46→45	47	.186/.285/.282	.096	.298	8	6	36%	11%	61	-1.0	.184/.262/.261	.077	.294	6	6	36%	9%	44	-2.1	.182/.268/.267	.085	.274	6	3	33%	10%	48	-0.6
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→56	42→45	49→50	46	.224/.285/.337	.113	.288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	.233/.299/.337	.104	.295	6	12	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●Aaron Hicks 2010 · A	20	46→56	41→60	49→55	49	.223/.289/.330	.107	.285	8	12	24%	8%	72	-0.2	.224/.302/.340	.116	.311	8	14	28%	10%	81	+0.4	.247/.358/.450	.204	.280	25	11	21%	14%	127	+2.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)