Jirvin Morillo — OGILVIE

Jirvin MorilloC ACL Reds

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION210 act + 140 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .295 / .333

PA140

HR3

K%31

BB%11

BABIP286

ISO130

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$14M	+$14M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$14M	+$13M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$13M	+$12M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$12M	+$9M
2034	Arb-2	$8M	+2.5	$11M	+$7M
2035	Arb-3	$11M	+2.4	$10M	+$5M
Totals		$28M		$73M	+$61M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	156	129	22	11	1	1	25	33	0	3	2	171	305	295	600	124	216	21	16	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	156	114	29	14	1	2	40	21	0	3	2	254	448	447	895	193	290	13	26	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	231	207	36	8	0	5	22	61	0	6	5	174	253	285	538	111	217	26	10	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	231	196	53	14	1	5	33	53	0	6	5	270	376	429	804	158	343	23	14	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	210	181	37	8	3	7	25	79	1	4	2	204	304	398	702	193	309	38	12	305	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	210	166	51	12	5	9	40	55	1	4	2	307	444	602	1.047	295	404	26	19	445	199	+23	+0	+0	+4	+6	3.4
ROS	19	ROK	CIN	0%	140	123	25	5	1	3	15	44	1	2	1	203	295	333	628	130	292	31	11	296	84	-2	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.4
ROS	19	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		295	—	—	294	83	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CIN	—	210	182	37	8	3	7	25	79	1	4	2	203	304	396	700	192	306	38	12	305	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
TOT	19	ROK	CIN	—	350	304	62	13	4	10	40	123	2	6	3	204	301	372	672	168	299	35	11	301	89	-4	+0	-0	+6	+10	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CIN	43%	326	287	62	13	3	8	34	99	2	4	1	216	303	366	669	150	296	30	10	302	90	-4	+0	-0	+6	+9	1.2
2028	21	MLB	CIN	61%	429	377	83	17	4	11	45	126	4	6	2	220	310	374	684	154	296	29	10	308	94	-3	+0	-0	+8	+12	1.7
2029	22	MLB	CIN	68%	497	438	98	20	4	14	52	143	4	6	2	224	312	384	695	160	297	29	10	311	96	-2	+0	-0	+9	+14	2.2
2030	23	MLB	CIN	71%	520	456	103	21	4	15	54	148	5	7	2	226	315	388	703	162	298	28	10	314	98	-1	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.4
2031	24	MLB	CIN	71%	520	456	103	21	4	15	54	148	5	7	2	226	315	388	703	162	298	28	10	316	100	-0	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.5
2032	25	MLB	CIN	71%	520	455	103	21	4	15	55	147	5	7	2	226	317	389	706	163	298	28	11	316	100	+0	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.5
2033	26	MLB	CIN	71%	520	455	103	21	4	15	55	147	5	7	2	226	317	389	706	163	298	28	11	317	101	+0	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.5
2034	27	MLB	CIN	69%	520	455	103	21	4	15	55	148	5	7	2	226	317	389	706	163	298	28	11	317	101	+0	+1	-0	+9	+15	2.5
2035	28	MLB	CIN	69%	520	454	103	21	4	15	56	148	5	7	2	227	318	390	708	163	297	28	11	316	100	-0	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2036	29	MLB	CIN	67%	520	454	102	21	4	15	56	150	5	6	2	225	317	388	704	163	297	29	11	314	98	-1	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.2
2037	30	MLB	CIN	66%	520	455	101	21	4	14	56	151	4	6	2	222	313	378	691	156	295	29	11	311	96	-2	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.0
2038	31	MLB	CIN	71%	504	441	98	20	4	14	54	148	4	6	2	222	313	381	694	159	293	29	11	307	93	-4	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.7
2039	32	MLB	CIN	74%	489	429	92	18	4	13	53	145	4	5	2	214	307	366	673	152	289	30	11	301	89	-6	+0	-4	+9	+14	1.3
2040	33	MLB	CIN	77%	452	397	82	16	3	11	48	137	4	5	2	207	298	345	644	139	284	30	11	294	84	-8	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.8
2041	34	MLB	CIN	72%	396	348	70	13	3	9	42	122	3	4	1	201	293	333	626	132	278	31	11	286	77	-10	+0	-5	+7	+11	0.3
2027	20	MLB	CIN	43%	141	124	28	6	1	4	15	43	1	2	1	226	314	387	701	161	299	30	11	300	88	-2	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.5
2028	21	MLB	CIN	61%	261	230	51	11	2	7	27	77	2	3	1	222	309	378	687	157	299	30	10	305	91	-3	+0	-0	+5	+7	1.0
2029	22	MLB	CIN	68%	339	298	68	14	3	10	35	98	3	4	2	228	315	396	711	168	300	29	10	308	94	-2	+0	-0	+6	+10	1.3
2030	23	MLB	CIN	71%	370	325	74	15	3	11	39	106	3	5	2	228	316	394	710	166	301	29	11	311	96	-2	+0	-0	+7	+10	1.6
2031	24	MLB	CIN	71%	369	324	74	15	3	11	39	105	3	5	2	228	317	395	712	167	301	28	11	312	97	-1	+0	-0	+7	+10	1.6
2032	25	MLB	CIN	71%	369	324	74	15	3	11	39	105	3	5	2	228	317	395	712	167	301	28	11	313	98	-1	+0	-0	+7	+10	1.7
2033	26	MLB	CIN	71%	369	324	74	15	3	11	39	105	3	5	2	228	317	395	712	167	301	28	11	313	98	-1	+0	-0	+7	+10	1.7
2034	27	MLB	CIN	69%	361	317	73	15	3	11	38	103	3	5	2	230	318	401	719	170	301	29	11	313	98	-1	+0	-0	+6	+10	1.6
2035	28	MLB	CIN	69%	358	314	72	15	3	11	38	102	3	5	2	229	318	401	720	172	300	28	11	312	97	-1	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.5
2036	29	MLB	CIN	67%	348	305	69	14	3	10	37	100	3	4	2	226	316	390	706	164	299	29	11	311	96	-2	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.4
2037	30	MLB	CIN	66%	342	299	68	14	3	10	37	99	3	4	1	227	319	395	713	167	298	29	11	308	94	-2	+0	-2	+6	+10	1.3
2038	31	MLB	CIN	71%	357	313	69	14	3	10	38	105	3	4	1	220	311	380	691	160	295	29	11	304	91	-4	+0	-2	+6	+10	1.1
2039	32	MLB	CIN	74%	364	319	70	14	3	10	39	108	3	4	1	219	310	376	686	157	292	30	11	298	86	-6	+0	-3	+7	+10	0.9
2040	33	MLB	CIN	77%	347	304	65	13	3	9	37	105	3	4	1	214	305	365	670	151	287	30	11	292	81	-7	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.6
2041	34	MLB	CIN	72%	286	252	52	10	2	7	30	88	2	3	1	206	296	345	641	139	280	31	10	283	75	-8	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4981	4373	981	200	41	143	527	1449	41	62	23	224	314	387	700	163	298	29	11	306	93	-42	+3	-16	+89	+141	17.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	128	26	5	19	69	189	5	8	3	224	314	387	701	163	297	29	11	306	93	-6	+0	-2	+12	+18	2.3
Career	—			—	7780	6816	1489	309	59	208	831	2245	65	101	36	218	309	373	682	154	291	29	11	307	93	-64	+6	-23	+139	+220	28.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	124	26	5	17	69	188	5	8	3	218	307	371	678	153	291	29	11	307	93	-5	+0	-2	+12	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	156	114	29	14	1	2	40	21	3	2	254	448	447	895	193	290	13	26	401	165	+11	-0	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	139	116	30	8	0	4	23	25	6	2	259	381	431	812	172	299	18	17	366	139	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	18	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	92	80	23	6	1	1	10	28	0	3	287	367	425	792	138	415	30	11	347	124	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Iannettalast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,253 PA	14	4,253	141	11	230	345	406	+76	-30	23.7	21.5
	/162	664	22	2	230	345	406	+11.9	-4.6	3.7	pk7: 19
#2Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	16	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
	/162	664	15	2	255	314	388	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,166	140	64	222	309	380	+92	-19	20.5	16.2
	/162	664	18	8	222	309	380	+11.9	-2.5	2.6	pk7: 12
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jirvin Morillo (OGILVIE)	19	25→50	25→46	40	60	204/301/372	168	299	10	6	35%	11%	89	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	217/279/316	98	271	8	11	23%	7%	65	-0.7	239/313/375	136	278	16	17	19%	9%	95	+1.4	230/306/371	141	263	18	23	20%	9%	88	+0.7
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	43→50	48→40	45	197/300/311	114	330	9	6	39%	10%	75	-0.0	233/323/384	151	296	17	5	26%	10%	102	+1.9	235/323/387	152	289	18	4	24%	9%	101	+1.4
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	88	+0.9	191/266/284	93	290	7	5	34%	9%	52	-1.6	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	47→50	45→40	47	217/283/352	135	277	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1	243/301/378	135	296	16	4	23%	7%	91	+1.1	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Juan Brito 2022 · A	20	45→49	42→50	47→45	45	219/283/320	101	283	10	12	26%	7%	68	-0.5	232/313/374	142	284	14	9	22%	10%	95	+1.4	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	221/266/338	118	283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	238/283/344	106	294	10	4	22%	5%	73	-0.1	256/302/428	172	302	17	1	21%	5%	103	+1.0
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	46→45	47	181/281/275	94	294	7	6	37%	11%	57	-1.2	183/259/259	76	293	5	6	36%	9%	43	-2.2	170/253/254	84	253	7	2	33%	9%	37	-1.0
✕Héctor Sánchez 2008 · A	18	46→50	44→50	44→30	50	226/297/346	120	261	11	6	18%	8%	81	+0.4	242/307/346	104	291	8	4	18%	7%	85	+0.7	252/291/373	121	310	13	0	22%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	55	-1.4	186/235/263	77	243	5	4	25%	5%	32	-3.0	245/304/378	133	272	15	0	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Harold Garcia 2007 · A	20	45→55	39→45	46→55	47	211/305/306	95	281	6	9	25%	8%	76	+0.0	229/295/330	101	292	7	15	23%	5%	76	+0.1	253/307/360	107	342	7	26	27%	4%	86	+0.5
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Leo Bernal 2023 · A	19	40→46	49→45	46→50	42	209/261/356	147	254	18	5	26%	6%	69	-0.4	218/289/326	108	292	10	7	27%	9%	72	-0.2	221/285/341	120	281	14	10	25%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Shawn Zarraga 2009 · A	20	48	40	51→45	49	226/308/322	96	306	7	7	26%	9%	79	+0.3	223/295/301	78	305	5	6	26%	7%	69	-0.4	277/347/362	84	322	4	2	14%	8%	106	+0.8
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	72	-0.2	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→47	45→55	48→55	46	233/305/357	125	310	12	12	27%	8%	87	+0.8	242/305/384	142	306	15	16	25%	7%	94	+1.3	248/306/416	169	299	18	16	23%	6%	100	+1.2