Jirvin Morillo — OGILVIE

Jirvin MorilloC ACL Reds

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION329 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP300

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$100M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$12M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.1	$12M	+$11M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.2	$11M	+$11M
2033	Arb-1	$6M	+2.2	$10M	+$7M
2034	Arb-2	$10M	+2.2	$10M	+$5M
2035	Arb-3	$15M	+2.0	$8M	+$2M
Totals		$34M		$63M	+$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	156	114	29	14	1	2	40	21	0	3	2	254	448	447	895	193	290	13	26	401	157	+11	-0	—	—	+3	1.4
2025	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	139	116	30	8	0	4	23	25	0	6	2	259	381	431	812	172	299	18	17	366	134	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	18	INTL	Sydney Blue Sox	—	92	80	23	6	1	1	10	28	0	0	3	287	367	425	792	138	415	30	11	347	121	+2	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	129	23	11	1	1	25	32	0	3	2	178	312	302	614	124	214	21	16	283	78	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	139	125	22	5	0	3	14	36	0	6	2	176	259	288	547	112	219	26	10	245	52	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	129	23	11	1	1	25	32	0	3	2	178	312	302	614	124	224	21	16	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	156	114	29	14	1	2	40	21	0	3	2	254	448	447	895	193	290	13	26	401	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	206	36	8	0	5	23	60	0	6	5	175	258	286	544	112	217	26	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	231	196	53	14	1	5	33	53	0	6	5	270	376	429	804	158	343	23	14	359	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	130	23	11	1	1	25	32	0	3	2	177	312	300	612	123	214	21	16	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	206	36	8	0	5	23	60	0	6	5	175	258	286	544	112	219	26	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	156	130	23	11	1	1	25	32	0	3	2	177	312	300	612	123	214	21	16	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	231	206	36	8	0	5	23	60	0	6	5	175	258	286	544	112	219	26	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	CIN	—	329	285	60	13	3	11	40	119	1	5	2	211	310	393	703	182	312	36	12	311	97	-1	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CIN	—	235	187	60	13	5	13	44	61	1	4	2	321	453	652	1.105	332	409	26	19	466	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	CIN	—	94	77	20	5	0	2	17	22	0	1	0	260	394	403	796	143	340	23	18	364	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		296	30	10	310	96	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	CIN	—	339	294	61	13	3	11	41	122	1	5	2	207	307	384	691	177	307	36	12	311	97	-1	+0	-0	+6	+7	1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	340	297	67	14	2	10	38	98	2	4	1	226	318	387	705	162	301	29	11	317	101	+0	+0	-0	+6	+7	1.4
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	68%	440	385	88	18	3	13	49	123	3	6	2	229	320	392	713	164	301	28	11	322	104	+2	+0	-0	+8	+10	2.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	76%	505	440	104	21	4	16	56	139	4	6	2	236	328	411	739	175	301	28	11	326	107	+4	+0	-0	+9	+11	2.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	80%	520	454	108	22	4	17	57	141	4	7	2	238	328	416	744	178	302	27	11	328	108	+5	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	79%	520	453	108	22	4	17	58	140	4	7	2	238	330	417	747	179	303	27	11	330	110	+6	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.7
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	79%	520	453	108	22	4	17	58	140	4	7	2	238	330	417	747	179	303	27	11	331	110	+6	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.8
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	79%	520	453	108	22	4	17	58	140	4	7	2	238	330	417	747	179	302	27	11	332	111	+7	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	78%	520	452	108	22	4	17	59	140	4	7	2	239	332	418	750	179	302	27	11	332	111	+7	+1	-0	+9	+11	2.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	CIN	77%	520	452	108	22	4	17	59	141	4	7	2	239	332	418	750	179	302	27	11	331	110	+6	+1	-1	+9	+11	2.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	CIN	75%	520	452	107	22	3	17	59	142	4	6	2	237	330	412	742	175	301	27	11	329	109	+5	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	CIN	74%	520	452	104	21	3	16	59	143	4	6	2	230	324	396	720	166	299	28	11	326	107	+4	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	CIN	73%	504	438	100	20	3	15	57	140	4	6	2	228	323	390	713	162	297	28	11	322	104	+2	+0	-3	+9	+11	2.0
2039	32	MLB MLE	CIN	72%	489	426	96	19	3	15	56	138	4	5	2	225	321	390	711	164	293	28	11	316	100	+0	+0	-4	+9	+11	1.6
2040	33	MLB MLE	CIN	72%	452	395	87	17	3	13	51	130	3	5	1	220	314	377	691	157	289	29	11	309	95	-3	+1	-4	+8	+10	1.2
2041	34	MLB MLE	CIN	68%	396	345	73	14	2	11	45	116	3	4	1	212	308	359	667	148	282	29	11	300	89	-5	+0	-5	+7	+9	0.6
2042	35	MLB MLE	CIN	63%	336	293	61	11	2	9	38	101	2	3	1	208	303	352	655	143	275	30	11	290	82	-7	+0	-6	+6	+7	0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	164	144	33	7	1	5	18	47	1	2	1	229	319	396	715	167	305	29	11	319	101	+0	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.7
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	68%	300	262	62	13	2	10	33	84	2	4	1	237	327	416	743	179	305	28	11	323	104	+1	+0	-0	+5	+6	1.4
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	76%	385	337	81	17	3	13	42	106	3	5	2	240	330	424	754	184	305	28	11	326	107	+3	+0	-0	+7	+8	1.9
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	80%	414	362	87	18	3	14	46	112	3	5	2	240	331	423	754	182	306	27	11	329	108	+4	+0	-0	+7	+9	2.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	79%	413	361	87	18	3	14	46	111	3	5	2	241	332	424	756	183	307	27	11	331	110	+5	+0	-0	+7	+9	2.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	79%	413	361	88	18	3	15	46	111	3	5	2	244	334	435	769	191	307	27	11	332	110	+5	+0	-0	+7	+9	2.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	79%	413	361	88	18	3	15	46	111	3	5	2	244	334	435	769	191	306	27	11	333	111	+5	+0	-0	+7	+9	2.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	78%	404	352	85	17	3	14	46	109	3	5	2	241	334	426	760	185	306	27	11	333	111	+5	+0	-0	+7	+9	2.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	CIN	77%	400	349	84	17	3	14	45	108	3	5	2	241	332	427	759	186	306	27	11	332	110	+5	+0	-1	+7	+9	2.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	CIN	75%	389	339	82	17	3	13	44	106	3	5	2	242	334	425	759	183	305	27	11	330	109	+4	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.9
2037	30	MLB CTX	CIN	74%	383	333	79	16	2	13	44	106	3	5	1	237	332	414	746	177	303	28	11	327	107	+3	+1	-2	+7	+8	1.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	CIN	73%	367	319	74	15	2	12	42	102	3	4	1	232	327	404	731	172	301	28	11	323	104	+2	+0	-2	+7	+8	1.5
2039	32	MLB CTX	CIN	72%	354	308	70	14	2	11	40	100	3	4	1	227	322	393	715	166	297	28	11	317	100	+0	+0	-3	+6	+8	1.2
2040	33	MLB CTX	CIN	72%	326	284	63	12	2	10	37	94	2	3	1	222	316	384	700	162	292	29	11	310	95	-2	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.8
2041	34	MLB CTX	CIN	68%	268	234	51	9	2	8	30	79	2	3	1	218	312	376	688	158	285	29	11	301	89	-3	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.4
2042	35	MLB CTX	CIN	63%	212	185	38	7	1	6	24	64	1	2	1	205	300	351	651	146	278	30	11	290	82	-4	+0	-4	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5605	4891	1152	233	38	187	629	1550	41	67	24	236	328	413	741	178	303	28	11	324	102	+33	+4	-20	+100	+121	24.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	133	27	4	22	73	180	5	8	3	235	327	413	740	178	302	28	11	324	102	+4	+0	-2	+12	+14	2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	8019	6984	1595	328	53	243	906	2207	57	102	35	228	322	395	717	167	295	28	11	320	102	+40	+7	-28	+136	+165	32.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	130	27	4	20	73	179	5	8	3	230	323	398	721	168	296	28	11	320	102	+3	+1	-2	+12	+14	2.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	7.4	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.3	25.1
/162	664	17	6	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	8.7	5,799	178	71	232	322	401	+96	-23	30.0	23.5
/162	664	20	8	+11.0	-2.6	3.4	pk7: 17
#2Chris Iannettalast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,253 PA	6.4	4,253	141	11	230	345	406	+76	-30	23.7	21.6
/162	664	22	2	+11.9	-4.6	3.7	pk7: 19
#3Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	9.3	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#4Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#6Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jirvin Morillo (OGILVIE)	19	25→50	25→46	40	60	219/311/375	156	296	5	3	30%	11%	96	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Edgar Quero 2022 · A	19	44→54	44→50	48→40	45	201/299/321	121	330	10	6	38%	10%	80	-0.2	237/326/378	141	300	15	5	24%	10%	102	+1.5	240/328/378	138	294	15	4	22%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	45→50	45	51	220/308/355	135	308	10	8	30%	11%	89	+0.5	191/267/284	93	292	7	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	42→52	47→50	45→40	47	215/281/345	130	270	15	5	26%	8%	77	-0.3	241/299/370	129	293	14	4	22%	7%	89	+0.5	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
●Jeimer Candelario 2013 · A	19	50→57	40→60	44→45	52	240/311/338	98	300	7	5	22%	9%	86	+0.3	209/264/324	115	262	10	2	23%	7%	65	-1.2	251/327/436	184	301	19	3	22%	9%	112	+2.1
✕Adael Amador 2023 · A	20	51→54	46→50	46→55	55	252/334/383	131	290	14	14	18%	10%	105	+1.7	229/302/359	130	266	15	21	19%	9%	88	+0.4	216/294/338	122	249	13	22	19%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	86	+0.3	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	76	-0.4	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
●J.P. Crawford 2015 · A	20	52→58	41→45	46→50	51	249/316/346	97	301	9	15	20%	9%	90	+0.6	231/301/326	95	276	7	10	18%	9%	79	-0.2	261/353/385	124	305	11	2	17%	11%	110	+2.2
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→55	46→50	46	214/297/344	130	275	14	9	26%	8%	84	+0.1	213/299/399	186	281	23	6	32%	9%	97	+1.1	266/322/445	180	311	23	10	22%	6%	115	+2.3
✕Héctor Sánchez 2008 · A	18	46→49	44→50	44→30	50	226/297/346	120	261	11	6	18%	8%	83	+0.1	240/306/343	103	290	7	4	19%	7%	85	+0.2	247/306/347	100	297	7	1	18%	6%	83	+0.1
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	50→60	41→50	49→50	58	237/329/342	104	299	8	10	22%	12%	94	+0.9	248/333/382	134	332	12	14	26%	11%	104	+1.6	244/329/380	136	317	13	15	25%	11%	100	+1.3
●Johan Camargo 2013 · A	19	53	38→55	46→45	48	250/311/334	84	301	5	7	18%	7%	85	+0.2	237/280/299	62	289	2	5	17%	5%	64	-1.3	271/327/437	165	320	17	1	20%	7%	110	+1.5
●Wander Franco 2021 · A	20	53→57	44→55	47→55	53	259/313/384	126	277	10	10	12%	7%	97	+1.1	271/327/430	159	295	14	14	13%	7%	113	+2.3	278/337/452	174	298	16	20	12%	8%	118	+2.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Victor Caratini 2014 · A	20	48→58	38→50	41→40	48	220/301/312	92	316	3	3	29%	9%	77	-0.3	235/293/331	96	309	5	2	24%	7%	78	-0.3	266/329/409	143	316	15	1	20%	7%	108	+1.1
✕Victor Ortega 2023 · A	19	48	38→45	43→45	50	224/305/303	79	298	4	6	24%	9%	76	-0.4	218/318/280	62	282	2	7	20%	12%	76	-0.4	223/337/308	85	295	4	3	22%	13%	89	+0.2
●Ryan McMahon 2014 · A	19	46→56	48→55	42→45	40	227/283/376	149	325	15	6	34%	7%	85	+0.2	217/274/360	143	325	13	6	35%	6%	78	-0.3	230/313/394	163	297	19	6	28%	10%	99	+1.3
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	48→45	54	232/318/372	139	281	13	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	223/303/356	133	270	13	9	21%	9%	88	+0.4	215/296/345	130	258	13	9	21%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	76	-0.4	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	61	-1.5	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	47→45	42→50	47→45	49	229/304/342	113	282	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.2	224/276/345	121	286	13	8	26%	6%	74	-0.5	222/278/352	130	268	15	6	23%	6%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps