Shawn Zarraga
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 205 | .286/.350/.362 | 1 | 0 | 75 | — | .262/.305/.324 |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 152 | .256/.336/.323 | 0 | 0 | 58 | — | .226/.282/.285 |
| 2017 | 28 | AALAD | 20 | .278/.350/.611 | 1 | 0 | 88 | — | .211/.250/.474 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 139 | 110 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 300 | 438 | 436 | 874 | 136 | 360 | 17 | 17 | 393 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 59 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 304 | 174 | 477 | 22 | 200 | 24 | 17 | 232 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 111 | 94 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 367 | 298 | 665 | 32 | 333 | 18 | 10 | 309 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 292 | 249 | 70 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 61 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 383 | 369 | 752 | 88 | 358 | 21 | 11 | 345 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 262 | 235 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 272 | 327 | 370 | 697 | 98 | 299 | 12 | 6 | 306 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 112 | 96 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 292 | 387 | 438 | 825 | 146 | 292 | 5 | 8 | 369 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 190 | 168 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 292 | 357 | 363 | 720 | 71 | 348 | 16 | 7 | 321 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 57 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 315 | 255 | 570 | 43 | 238 | 12 | 9 | 259 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Huntsville Stars | — | 267 | 215 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 330 | 448 | 419 | 867 | 88 | 357 | 9 | 16 | 389 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 36 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 355 | 444 | 355 | 799 | 423 | 14 | 14 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 72 | 66 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 343 | 424 | 767 | 121 | 345 | 15 | 6 | 333 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 133 | 119 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 277 | 353 | 328 | 681 | 50 | 330 | 14 | 11 | 315 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 53 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 231 | 208 | 439 | 42 | 205 | 19 | 8 | 204 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 99 | 85 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 306 | 392 | 388 | 780 | 82 | 351 | 13 | 12 | 349 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 350 | 611 | 961 | 333 | 267 | 10 | 10 | 412 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 139 | 119 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 336 | 345 | 680 | 109 | 300 | 25 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 59 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 163 | 413 | 20 | 187 | 32 | 12 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 111 | 98 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 294 | 245 | 538 | 31 | 282 | 26 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 292 | 257 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 86 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 245 | 331 | 331 | 662 | 86 | 351 | 29 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 262 | 239 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 264 | 307 | 364 | 671 | 100 | 294 | 16 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 112 | 101 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 406 | 739 | 139 | 271 | 8 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 190 | 172 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 324 | 343 | 667 | 70 | 324 | 19 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 57 | 48 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 296 | 250 | 546 | 42 | 221 | 16 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 267 | 229 | 74 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 323 | 406 | 410 | 817 | 87 | 343 | 10 | 10 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 72 | 68 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 286 | 368 | 653 | 103 | 313 | 19 | 3 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 133 | 123 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 316 | 301 | 617 | 41 | 317 | 17 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 53 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 173 | 180 | 353 | 40 | 175 | 25 | 4 | 156 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 99 | 88 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 340 | 341 | 681 | 68 | 318 | 16 | 9 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 474 | 724 | 263 | 216 | 15 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 139 | 119 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 336 | 345 | 680 | 109 | 310 | 25 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 139 | 110 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 300 | 438 | 436 | 874 | 136 | 360 | 17 | 17 | 393 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 147 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 279 | 218 | 496 | 27 | 272 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 170 | 140 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 345 | 257 | 603 | 29 | 291 | 20 | 12 | 282 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 292 | 257 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 86 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 245 | 331 | 331 | 662 | 86 | 353 | 29 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 292 | 249 | 70 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 61 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 383 | 369 | 752 | 88 | 358 | 21 | 11 | 345 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 262 | 239 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 264 | 307 | 364 | 671 | 100 | 306 | 16 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 262 | 235 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 272 | 327 | 370 | 697 | 98 | 299 | 12 | 6 | 306 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 112 | 101 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 406 | 739 | 139 | 275 | 8 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 112 | 96 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 292 | 387 | 438 | 825 | 146 | 292 | 5 | 8 | 369 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 190 | 172 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 273 | 324 | 343 | 667 | 70 | 341 | 19 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | Huntsville Stars | — | 190 | 168 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 292 | 357 | 363 | 720 | 71 | 348 | 16 | 7 | 321 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 360 | 310 | 93 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 300 | 382 | 377 | 759 | 77 | 335 | 11 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 360 | 293 | 92 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 314 | 427 | 386 | 813 | 72 | 345 | 10 | 14 | 367 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 191 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 305 | 325 | 630 | 63 | 320 | 19 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 205 | 185 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 350 | 362 | 712 | 76 | 335 | 15 | 9 | 321 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 138 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 225 | 282 | 283 | 564 | 58 | 277 | 19 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 152 | 133 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 336 | 323 | 659 | 68 | 301 | 15 | 11 | 298 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 474 | 724 | 263 | 200 | 15 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 350 | 611 | 961 | 333 | 267 | 10 | 10 | 412 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 139 | 120 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 233 | 336 | 342 | 677 | 108 | 300 | 25 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 150 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 187 | 279 | 213 | 492 | 27 | 249 | 28 | 8 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 292 | 257 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 86 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 245 | 331 | 331 | 662 | 86 | 351 | 29 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 262 | 245 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 257 | 307 | 355 | 662 | 98 | 294 | 16 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 112 | 101 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 406 | 739 | 139 | 271 | 8 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Huntsville Stars | — | 190 | 175 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 324 | 337 | 661 | 69 | 324 | 19 | 5 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 360 | 316 | 93 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 294 | 382 | 370 | 752 | 76 | 322 | 11 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 191 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 305 | 325 | 630 | 63 | 316 | 19 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 140 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 282 | 279 | 560 | 57 | 268 | 19 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 20 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 250 | 474 | 724 | 263 | 216 | 15 | 5 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1902 | 1693 | 434 | 87 | 3 | 15 | 136 | 369 | 36 | 20 | 11 | 256 | 325 | 338 | 663 | 82 | 315 | 19 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -36 | -0 | +0 | +34 | +41 | 3.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 148 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 126 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 256 | 323 | 337 | 660 | 81 | 314 | 19 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -12 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AATulsa Drillers · 20 PAwOBA .400 → .298 (−102)K% 10.0% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 5.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 15.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.295 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 91, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .400 → .298; ISO .333 → .238; BABIP .267 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AATulsa Drillers · 99 PAwOBA .348 → .307 (−41)K% 13.1% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.13% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 8.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.39% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.978 | 24.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.72% | ÷0.926 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×0.978 | 8.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .348 → .307; ISO .082 → .075; BABIP .351 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 53 PAwOBA .193 → .156 (−37)K% 18.9% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.87% | ÷0.972 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷1.059 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 13.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.104 | ×0.810 | ×0.978 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .193 → .156; ISO .042 → .034; BABIP .205 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATulsa Drillers · 133 PAwOBA .307 → .274 (−33)K% 14.3% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×0.988 | 26.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×1.018 | ×0.988 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.018 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .307 → .274; ISO .050 → .042; BABIP .330 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 72 PAwOBA .323 → .288 (−35)K% 15.3% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.28% | ÷0.984 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.17% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 2.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.45% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 23.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.965 | ×0.810 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 7.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×1.029 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.866 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.67% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .323 → .288; ISO .121 → .109; BABIP .345 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAHuntsville Stars · 267 PAwOBA .383 → .361 (−22)K% 8.6% → 10.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.61% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.61% | ÷0.945 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 10.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 26.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.950 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 8.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.014 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.047 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.40% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 103, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .383 → .361; ISO .088 → .090; BABIP .357 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANashville Sounds · 57 PAwOBA .262 → .238 (−24)K% 12.3% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.28% | ÷0.964 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.77% | ÷1.040 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.51% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 3.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.900 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 19.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .262 → .238; ISO .043 → .036; BABIP .238 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAHuntsville Stars · 190 PAwOBA .314 → .282 (−32)K% 15.8% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.37% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.26% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 26.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.030 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.040 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.56% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .314 → .282; ISO .071 → .065; BABIP .348 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .