Diego Velasquez

2B Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 23 S/R 6'0" / 208 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP40OGV rank#269ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420AA/A+SF488.288/.372/.38442185—.265/.332/.346
202521AA/INTL2 orgs614.260/.367/.32222087—.257/.340/.305
202622AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs504.295/.384/.405422106—.289/.361/.385
2027PROJMLE23MLBSF4.241/.317/.31300840.0
2028PROJ39% MLB24MLBSF193.245/.321/.33223900.3
2029PROJ56% MLB25MLBSF288.246/.323/.34344940.6
Next 3 projected WAR 0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Arb-2$5M2033Arb-3$5M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Z-Con%87
Whiff%86
BB%70
K%62
Chase%58
Max EV57
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 12, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 75%
CompsXavier Edwards (age 23) · Callix Crabbe (age 23) · Steve Lombardozzi Jr. (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .317 / .313
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%9
BABIP297
ISO75
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.30.60.80.80.60.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2031Arb-1$3M+0.8$2M+$0.4M
2032Arb-2$5M+0.6$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$5M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $5M $11M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKACL Giants Black — 180160 34300 13253 21 212284231515 19250 147 240 13 — — — — — —
202218 ASan Jose Giants — 4744 7100 390 00 159213182395 23200 196 187 -11 — — — — — —
202218 ROKACL Giants Orange — 190159 44521 21314 71 277375352727 75331 1611 326 61 — — — — — —
202319 ASan Jose Giants — 517426 1273218 568212 236 298395434829 136344 1611 358 97 — — — — — —
202319 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 4834 7110 1061 11 206400294694 88233 1221 315 100 — — — — — —
202420 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 170147 46411 16293 34 313392374766 61381 179 344 105 — — — — — —
202420 A+Eugene Emeralds — 318270 741633 32545 186 274362389750 115327 1710 329 74 — — — — — —
202521 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 566473 1212012 708110 196 256363315678 59303 1412 312 83 — — — — — —
202521 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 4839 12210 661 10 308413410823 103364 1212 359 129 — — — — — —
202622 AAASacramento River Cats — 142120 341210 17282 11 283381400781 117370 2012 348 101 — — — — — —
202622 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 334281 831904 37556 214 295389406795 110350 1611 351 108 — — — — — —
202622 INTLNavegantes del Magallanes — 2826 9200 020 00 346346423769 77375 70 318 101 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEACL Giants Black — 180164 28200 9383 21 171227183410 12216 215 187 13 — — — — — —
202218 A MLESan Jose Giants — 4745 6100 2130 00 133170156326 22193 284 152 -11 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Giants Orange — 190167 39421 13444 71 234304299604 66284 237 259 61 — — — — — —
202319 A MLESan Jose Giants — 517443 1192918 3911912 236 269344393737 124315 238 311 97 — — — — — —
202420 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 170151 47311 12353 34 311373364738 53385 217 324 105 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEEugene Emeralds — 318279 671423 23755 186 240309337646 97296 247 278 74 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 566491 1261911 529710 196 257340305645 49307 179 291 83 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLESacramento River Cats — 142125 341110 12342 11 272345376721 104365 248 317 101 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLERichmond Flying Squirrels — 334291 861803 27676 214 296367388756 93351 208 328 108 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEACL Giants Black — 180164 28200 9383 21 171227183410 12220 215 187 13 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWACL Giants Black — 180160 34300 13253 21 212284231515 19250 147 240 13 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLE2 teams — 237211 45521 16574 71 213281270552 57282 247 238 47 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAW2 teams — 237203 51621 24404 71 251342315657 64303 1710 298 47 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE2 teams — 565484 1293118 4213113 247 267341384726 118339 237 311 97 — — — — — —
202319 A RAW2 teams — 565460 1343328 668813 247 291395424819 133335 1612 354 97 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 488430 1141833 351108 2110 265332342674 77345 237 294 85 — — — — — —
202420 A+ RAW2 teams — 488417 1202044 48838 2110 288372384756 96346 1710 334 85 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 614532 1382112 5610611 206 259342314656 55319 179 291 83 — — — — — —
202521 AA RAW2 teams — 614512 1332222 768711 206 260367322690 62308 1412 315 83 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE3 teams — 504440 1283114 411078 225 291362393755 102372 218 325 106 — — — — — —
202622 AA RAW3 teams — 504427 1263314 54858 225 295384405790 110357 1711 348 106 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEACL Giants Black — 180166 28200 9383 21 169227181408 12216 215 187 13 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLE2 teams — 237215 45521 16574 71 209281265547 56266 247 238 47 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE2 teams — 565505 1293118 4213113 247 255341368710 113315 237 311 97 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 488442 1141833 351108 2110 258332333665 75327 237 294 85 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 614542 1382112 5610611 206 255342308650 54307 179 291 83 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE3 teams — 504450 1283114 411078 225 284362384746 100355 218 325 106 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 488442 1141833 351108 2110 258332333665 75327 237 294 85 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 614542 1382112 5610611 206 255342308650 54307 179 291 83 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLE3 teams — 504450 1283114 411078 225 284362384746 100355 218 325 106 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLESF 2% 586522 1272523 501119 113 244320318637 74300 199 292 84 -11 +1 -0 +2 +13 0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXSF 2% 44 1000 010 00 241317313630 73297 250 289 84 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLESF 39% 499446 1102215 43947 82 248324338662 89301 199 301 90 -6 +1 +0 +2 +11 0.8
202925 MLB MLESF 56% 517459 1152227 45988 72 250326350677 100301 199 307 94 -4 +1 +0 +2 +11 1.0
203026 MLB MLESF 64% 525466 1182328 461008 72 251327357684 107301 199 310 96 -3 +1 +0 +2 +11 1.2
203127 MLB MLESF 66% 523466 1172328 451027 72 250326357683 108300 209 309 95 -3 +1 +0 +2 +11 1.1
203228 MLB MLESF 67% 517460 1142228 451027 72 248324356679 108299 209 307 94 -4 +1 -0 +2 +11 1.0
203329 MLB MLESF 66% 509453 1122218 441027 63 245321350671 104298 209 304 92 -5 +0 -1 +2 +11 0.7
203430 MLB MLESF 65% 494443 1072117 421016 63 243318342660 100297 209 299 89 -7 +0 -2 +2 +11 0.4
203531 MLB MLESF 65% 479430 1022016 401006 55 239313333646 94294 218 294 85 -9 -1 -2 +2 +10 0.0
203632 MLB MLESF 65% 458411 951815 38976 512 233307321628 87291 218 286 80 -11 -4 -3 +2 +10 -0.6
202824 MLB CTXSF 39% 193171 42812 17363 31 245321332653 87297 199 298 90 -2 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.3
202925 MLB CTXSF 56% 288257 641314 25554 41 246323343666 97297 199 303 94 -2 +0 +0 +1 +6 0.6
203026 MLB CTXSF 64% 335298 741515 29645 51 247324350673 103297 199 305 96 -2 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.8
203127 MLB CTXSF 66% 344306 751515 30675 51 246322350672 104296 199 305 95 -2 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.8
203228 MLB CTXSF 67% 345307 751515 30685 42 244320348668 104295 209 303 94 -2 +0 -0 +1 +7 0.6
203329 MLB CTXSF 66% 335299 721415 29674 42 242318342660 101294 209 299 92 -3 +0 -1 +1 +7 0.5
203430 MLB CTXSF 65% 322287 691414 28664 42 239314335650 96293 209 295 89 -4 +0 -1 +1 +7 0.3
203531 MLB CTXSF 65% 310277 661314 26644 33 235310326636 91290 218 290 85 -6 -1 -2 +1 +7 0.0
203632 MLB CTXSF 65% 296265 621213 25634 38 230304314618 84287 218 283 80 -7 -3 -2 +1 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 27682467 599119937 23955038 3521 243319343663 101297 209 298 88 -31 -1 -5 +10 +60 3.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 1412829 561299 85 244320345665 102297 209 298 88 -7 -0 -1 +2 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 73196482 16183102281 6051485112 15864 250324342666 92309 208 298 88 -54 -1 -7 +17 +103 5.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 1442827 5413210 146 250326342668 92310 208 298 88 -7 -0 -1 +2 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 334 PAwOBA .346 → .328 (−18)K% 16.5% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.47%÷1.000×1.220——20.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.08%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0277.96%
HBP% /PA1.80%—×0.850—×1.0271.57%
Singles /BIP26.55%÷1.000×0.970×1.041×1.02727.52%
Doubles /BIP8.41%÷1.000×0.860×1.041×1.0277.73%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×1.041×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP1.77%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0271.42%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .346 → .328; ISO .110 → .100; BABIP .350 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 142 PAwOBA .339 → .317 (−22)K% 19.7% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.72%÷1.000×1.200——23.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.97%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0508.67%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.940—×1.0501.39%
Singles /BIP22.83%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.05023.40%
Doubles /BIP13.04%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.05011.94%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0501.16%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .339 → .317; ISO .117 → .112; BABIP .370 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 566 PAwOBA .305 → .291 (−14)K% 14.3% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.31%÷1.018×1.220——17.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.19%÷0.962×0.700—×1.0429.25%
HBP% /PA1.77%—×0.850—×1.0421.56%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.004×0.970×1.027×1.04225.85%
Doubles /BIP5.10%÷0.992×0.860×1.027×1.0424.73%
Triples /BIP0.26%÷1.150×0.950×1.027×1.0420.23%
Home runs /BIP0.51%÷1.183×0.780—×1.0420.35%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .305 → .291; ISO .059 → .054; BABIP .303 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 318 PAwOBA .325 → .278 (−48)K% 17.0% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.98%÷0.968×1.350——23.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.06%÷1.024×0.710—×1.0277.16%
HBP% /PA1.57%—×0.810—×1.0271.31%
Singles /BIP24.07%÷1.016×0.910×1.000×1.02722.15%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷0.950×0.830×1.000×1.0276.65%
Triples /BIP1.39%÷1.150×0.820×1.000×1.0271.02%
Home runs /BIP1.39%÷1.010×0.830—×1.0271.17%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .325 → .278; ISO .115 → .097; BABIP .327 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 170 PAwOBA .337 → .324 (−13)K% 17.1% → 20.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.06%÷1.025×1.220——20.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.41%÷0.988×0.700—×1.0507.00%
HBP% /PA1.76%—×0.850—×1.0501.57%
Singles /BIP33.90%÷0.999×0.970×1.008×1.05034.81%
Doubles /BIP3.39%÷1.110×0.860×1.008×1.0502.78%
Triples /BIP0.85%÷0.900×0.950×1.008×1.0500.95%
Home runs /BIP0.85%÷1.062×0.780—×1.0500.65%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .337 → .324; ISO .061 → .055; BABIP .381 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASan Jose Giants · 517 PAwOBA .355 → .311 (−44)K% 15.9% → 23.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.86%÷0.935×1.360——23.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.64%÷1.011×0.690—×1.0307.48%
HBP% /PA2.32%—×0.780—×1.0301.86%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.049×0.920×1.031×1.03023.28%
Doubles /BIP9.30%÷1.005×0.830×1.031×1.0308.16%
Triples /BIP0.29%÷0.900×0.910×1.031×1.0300.31%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷0.890×0.800—×1.0302.15%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .355 → .311; ISO .136 → .125; BABIP .344 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Giants Orange · 190 PAwOBA .323 → .259 (−64)K% 16.3% → 23.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.32%÷1.018×1.440——23.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.05%÷0.970×0.620—×1.0087.12%
HBP% /PA2.11%—×0.720—×1.0081.53%
Singles /BIP28.12%÷0.987×0.820×1.050×1.00824.72%
Doubles /BIP3.91%÷0.988×0.720×1.050×1.0083.01%
Triples /BIP1.56%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×1.0081.19%
Home runs /BIP0.78%÷1.017×0.780—×1.0080.60%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .323 → .259; ISO .075 → .059; BABIP .331 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ASan Jose Giants · 47 PAwOBA .183 → .152 (−31)K% 19.1% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.15%÷0.943×1.360——27.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.38%÷1.055×0.690—×1.0454.36%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP17.14%÷0.983×0.920—×1.04516.76%
Doubles /BIP2.86%÷0.957×0.830—×1.0452.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.063×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 89, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .183 → .152; ISO .023 → .019; BABIP .200 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .