Jacob Reimer
3B Binghamton Rumble Ponies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 154 | .228/.375/.333 | 2 | 1 | 85 | — | .217/.310/.285 |
| 2025 | 21 | AA/A+NYM | 522 | .282/.383/.491 | 17 | 15 | 101 | — | .242/.319/.408 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/A+NYM | 367 | .237/.344/.397 | 9 | 14 | 75 | — | .209/.289/.334 |
| 2027PROJ6% MLB | 23 | MLBNYM | 13 | .212/.291/.351 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ41% MLB | 24 | MLBNYM | 178 | .218/.296/.368 | 5 | 4 | 92 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ57% MLB | 25 | MLBNYM | 262 | .221/.300/.379 | 8 | 6 | 96 | 0.5 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | FCL Mets | — | 29 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 414 | 478 | 892 | 217 | 263 | 10 | 21 | 397 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 99 | 79 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 203 | 357 | 278 | 636 | 76 | 263 | 22 | 17 | 304 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 311 | 250 | 70 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 44 | 61 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 280 | 416 | 392 | 808 | 112 | 344 | 20 | 14 | 370 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 55 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 196 | 327 | 261 | 588 | 65 | 231 | 13 | 15 | 284 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 29 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 448 | 417 | 865 | 83 | 421 | 17 | 14 | 397 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 70 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 208 | 382 | 358 | 741 | 151 | 225 | 19 | 21 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 254 | 215 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 60 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 279 | 380 | 479 | 859 | 200 | 340 | 24 | 10 | 377 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 268 | 229 | 65 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 52 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 284 | 386 | 502 | 888 | 218 | 335 | 19 | 12 | 390 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 349 | 297 | 69 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 87 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 232 | 339 | 384 | 723 | 152 | 296 | 25 | 13 | 325 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 18 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 444 | 667 | 1.111 | 333 | 400 | 22 | 11 | 477 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 200 | 209 | 14 | 14 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 99 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 286 | 235 | 521 | 59 | 243 | 28 | 11 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 311 | 262 | 59 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 88 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 225 | 341 | 302 | 642 | 76 | 308 | 28 | 10 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 55 | 49 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 255 | 224 | 479 | 61 | 200 | 16 | 9 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 29 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 320 | 414 | 400 | 814 | 80 | 407 | 24 | 10 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 254 | 222 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 72 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 261 | 344 | 423 | 767 | 162 | 336 | 28 | 7 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 268 | 242 | 54 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 67 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 223 | 296 | 393 | 688 | 169 | 279 | 25 | 7 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 349 | 310 | 63 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 106 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 203 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 116 | 280 | 30 | 9 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 389 | 625 | 1.014 | 312 | 330 | 28 | 6 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 200 | 200 | 14 | 14 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Mets | — | 29 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 414 | 478 | 892 | 217 | 263 | 10 | 21 | 397 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 347 | 74 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 116 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 213 | 328 | 288 | 616 | 75 | 300 | 28 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 410 | 329 | 86 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 61 | 83 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 261 | 401 | 365 | 766 | 103 | 325 | 20 | 15 | 354 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 154 | 136 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 213 | 296 | 272 | 568 | 59 | 269 | 19 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | INTL RAW | 3 teams | — | 154 | 123 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 228 | 375 | 333 | 708 | 106 | 265 | 16 | 18 | 329 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 464 | 113 | 28 | 4 | 14 | 38 | 139 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 244 | 321 | 412 | 733 | 168 | 313 | 27 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 522 | 444 | 125 | 32 | 5 | 17 | 58 | 112 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 282 | 383 | 491 | 874 | 209 | 338 | 21 | 11 | 384 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 326 | 68 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 111 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 209 | 289 | 334 | 624 | 126 | 288 | 30 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 367 | 312 | 74 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 91 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 237 | 344 | 397 | 742 | 160 | 301 | 25 | 13 | 332 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 29 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 310 | 400 | 710 | 200 | 209 | 14 | 14 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 348 | 74 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 116 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 213 | 328 | 287 | 615 | 75 | 292 | 28 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 154 | 137 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 212 | 296 | 270 | 566 | 58 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 464 | 113 | 28 | 4 | 14 | 38 | 139 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 244 | 321 | 412 | 733 | 168 | 307 | 27 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 327 | 68 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 111 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 208 | 289 | 333 | 623 | 125 | 282 | 30 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | INTL MLE | 3 teams | — | 154 | 137 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 212 | 296 | 270 | 566 | 58 | 271 | 19 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 522 | 464 | 113 | 28 | 4 | 14 | 38 | 139 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 244 | 321 | 412 | 733 | 168 | 307 | 27 | 7 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 327 | 68 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 111 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 208 | 289 | 333 | 623 | 125 | 282 | 30 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYM | 6% | 477 | 427 | 93 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 134 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 219 | 297 | 361 | 658 | 142 | 289 | 28 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYM | 6% | 13 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 291 | 351 | 641 | 138 | 279 | 31 | 8 | 289 | 86 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYM | 41% | 438 | 392 | 88 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 121 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 225 | 302 | 379 | 681 | 154 | 290 | 28 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYM | 57% | 463 | 414 | 93 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 126 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 228 | 306 | 389 | 695 | 161 | 291 | 27 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYM | 64% | 475 | 425 | 97 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 128 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 230 | 308 | 395 | 703 | 165 | 291 | 27 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYM | 66% | 479 | 428 | 98 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 129 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 229 | 307 | 393 | 700 | 164 | 290 | 27 | 9 | 312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYM | 67% | 475 | 425 | 97 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 128 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 228 | 306 | 389 | 695 | 161 | 289 | 27 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYM | 66% | 469 | 419 | 95 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 127 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 226 | 303 | 382 | 685 | 157 | 288 | 27 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYM | 65% | 460 | 413 | 91 | 21 | 1 | 13 | 38 | 126 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 222 | 299 | 374 | 673 | 152 | 285 | 27 | 8 | 301 | 90 | -6 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB MLE | NYM | 65% | 371 | 332 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 103 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 294 | 364 | 658 | 146 | 282 | 28 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -6 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYM | 41% | 178 | 158 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 296 | 368 | 664 | 150 | 280 | 28 | 8 | 298 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYM | 57% | 262 | 234 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 71 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 300 | 379 | 679 | 158 | 281 | 27 | 8 | 303 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYM | 64% | 305 | 271 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 82 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 301 | 385 | 686 | 162 | 281 | 27 | 9 | 306 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYM | 66% | 316 | 281 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 85 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 223 | 301 | 383 | 684 | 160 | 280 | 27 | 9 | 305 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYM | 67% | 318 | 283 | 62 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 85 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 300 | 379 | 678 | 157 | 279 | 27 | 8 | 303 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYM | 66% | 309 | 276 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 84 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 297 | 372 | 669 | 153 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 299 | 93 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYM | 65% | 300 | 268 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 293 | 364 | 657 | 148 | 275 | 27 | 8 | 294 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB CTX | NYM | 65% | 240 | 215 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 288 | 354 | 642 | 143 | 272 | 28 | 8 | 288 | 86 | -4 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +5 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2228 | 1986 | 435 | 99 | 8 | 63 | 188 | 605 | 33 | 38 | 13 | 219 | 297 | 372 | 669 | 153 | 279 | 27 | 8 | 300 | 90 | -17 | +2 | -8 | +8 | +48 | 3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 579 | 126 | 29 | 2 | 18 | 55 | 177 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 218 | 297 | 368 | 664 | 150 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 300 | 90 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5322 | 4734 | 1062 | 248 | 20 | 135 | 454 | 1447 | 93 | 97 | 34 | 224 | 305 | 371 | 675 | 146 | 291 | 27 | 9 | 302 | 90 | -31 | +4 | -13 | +14 | +83 | 5.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 128 | 30 | 2 | 16 | 55 | 177 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 221 | 301 | 363 | 664 | 142 | 288 | 27 | 8 | 302 | 90 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 349 PAwOBA .319 → .274 (−45)K% 24.9% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 9.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 18.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 8.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.10% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .319 → .274; ISO .152 → .127; BABIP .296 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 18 PAwOBA .464 → .366 (−98)K% 22.2% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 4.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 16.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 14.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 8.10% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .464 → .366; ISO .333 → .277; BABIP .400 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 268 PAwOBA .381 → .299 (−82)K% 19.4% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.40% | ÷1.011 | ×1.310 | — | — | 25.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.57% | ÷1.022 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.77% | ÷1.021 | ×0.870 | ×0.985 | ×1.027 | 17.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.17% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | ×0.985 | ×1.027 | 8.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.051 | ×0.850 | ×0.985 | ×1.027 | 1.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.073 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.81% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 110, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .381 → .299; ISO .218 → .180; BABIP .335 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 254 PAwOBA .371 → .338 (−34)K% 23.6% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.62% | ÷1.015 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷0.983 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 3.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.23% | ÷0.982 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×1.050 | 23.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.03% | ÷0.941 | ×0.860 | ×0.982 | ×1.050 | 8.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.911 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | ×1.050 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.80% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 88, 3B 82, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .371 → .338; ISO .200 → .175; BABIP .340 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 55 PAwOBA .277 → .219 (−58)K% 12.7% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.988 | ×1.310 | — | — | 16.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.55% | ÷0.973 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 9.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.032 | ×0.870 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 13.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.341 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 168, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 86, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .277 → .219; ISO .065 → .055; BABIP .231 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASt. Lucie Mets · 29 PAwOBA .388 → .337 (−51)K% 17.2% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.79% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷0.957 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 31.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.954 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 9.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.826 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 91, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .388 → .337; ISO .083 → .073; BABIP .421 → .407. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASt. Lucie Mets · 311 PAwOBA .365 → .291 (−74)K% 19.6% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.61% | ÷0.947 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.15% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 10.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.50% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 3.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.045 | 26.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.29% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×1.045 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.17% | ÷1.274 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.08% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 111, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 89, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .365 → .291; ISO .112 → .078; BABIP .344 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 99 PAwOBA .301 → .243 (−57)K% 22.2% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.018 | ×1.310 | — | — | 28.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.17% | ÷0.970 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.050 | 11.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.050 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.973 | ×0.870 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 20.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.058 | ×0.780 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.054 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 1.54% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .301 → .243; ISO .076 → .064; BABIP .263 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .