Dylan Crews — OGILVIE

Dylan CrewsRF Washington Nationals

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 203 lbs MLB Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION366 act + 244 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5962vR 68

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .285 / .360

PA244

HR7

SB11

K%24

BB%7

BABIP268

ISO140

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

718.8%

xwOBA

550.314

POWER50

Barrel%

538.6

Avg EV

6089.8

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE50

Chase%

9022.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.3

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 454 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

121

333

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

274

287

▶R

ISO

127

147

▶R

BABIP

257

245

◀L

22.3%

22.5%

—

BB%

5.8%

8.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.1	$8M	+$6M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2029	Arb-4	$6M	+1.1	$7M	+$3M
Totals		$13M		$23M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	156	140	31	6	0	5	8	53	6	4	6	221	292	371	664	150	310	34	5	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	156	134	37	8	0	5	14	38	6	4	6	276	370	448	818	172	344	24	9	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	3 teams	—	581	528	118	23	6	14	36	144	11	37	8	223	287	369	656	146	277	25	6	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	3 teams	—	581	516	133	26	7	16	47	118	11	37	8	258	332	428	760	171	302	20	8	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	367	334	71	9	2	12	25	84	8	18	5	213	283	359	643	147	248	23	7	283	75	-11	+2	+0	-4	+10	-0.2
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	367	334	71	9	2	12	25	83	8	18	5	213	283	359	643	147	247	23	7	290	80	-8	+2	+0	-4	+10	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	WSH	—	366	337	72	13	1	10	22	94	6	12	2	214	274	347	621	134	265	26	6	276	70	-13	+2	+0	-4	+10	-0.5
YTD	24	MLB	WSH	—	366	330	77	15	1	11	29	85	6	12	2	233	307	385	692	152	281	23	8	311	96	-2	+2	+0	-4	+10	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	WSH	100%	244	222	49	8	1	7	16	59	4	11	2	221	285	360	645	140	273	24	7	295	84	-4	+1	+2	-3	+7	0.3
ROS	24	MLB	WSH	100%	244	222	49	8	1	7	16	59	4	11	2	221	285	360	645	140	273	24	7	282	74	-7	+1	+2	-3	+7	0.1
FULL	24	MLB	WSH	—	610	559	121	21	2	17	38	153	10	23	4	216	278	352	631	136	266	25	6	279	72	-20	+3	+2	-7	+17	-0.4
TOT	24	MLB	WSH	—	610	559	121	21	2	17	38	153	10	23	4	216	278	352	631	136	266	25	6	284	75	-17	+3	+2	-7	+17	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	WSH	92%	621	564	128	21	3	19	42	150	10	26	5	227	292	376	668	149	273	24	7	298	86	-10	+3	+5	-7	+18	0.9
2028	26	MLB	WSH	92%	609	553	126	21	3	19	41	147	10	26	4	228	293	380	673	152	273	24	7	299	87	-9	+4	+5	-7	+17	1.0
2029	27	MLB	WSH	92%	597	541	123	21	3	18	41	144	10	25	4	227	294	377	671	150	272	24	7	299	87	-9	+3	+5	-6	+17	1.0
2030	28	MLB	WSH	92%	585	529	119	20	2	18	41	142	10	23	4	225	293	372	666	147	272	24	7	297	86	-9	+3	+4	-6	+17	0.8
2031	29	MLB	WSH	92%	573	518	115	19	2	17	40	141	10	21	4	222	290	365	655	143	270	25	7	295	84	-10	+3	+3	-6	+16	0.6
2027	25	MLB	WSH	92%	571	518	118	20	3	17	38	138	10	24	4	228	293	376	670	149	273	24	7	285	76	-15	+3	+5	-6	+16	0.3
2028	26	MLB	WSH	92%	560	508	114	19	2	17	38	135	9	24	4	224	290	370	660	146	273	24	7	286	77	-14	+3	+4	-6	+16	0.3
2029	27	MLB	WSH	92%	549	497	113	19	2	17	38	133	9	23	4	227	294	376	670	149	272	24	7	286	77	-14	+3	+4	-6	+16	0.3
2030	28	MLB	WSH	92%	538	486	109	18	2	16	38	131	9	21	4	224	293	368	661	144	272	24	7	285	76	-14	+3	+4	-6	+15	0.1
2031	29	MLB	WSH	92%	527	476	107	18	2	16	37	129	9	20	3	225	293	372	665	147	270	24	7	283	75	-15	+3	+3	-6	+15	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3443	3119	697	115	15	103	240	827	56	152	29	223	291	369	660	146	269	24	7	285	76	-92	+19	+23	-42	+98	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	132	22	3	19	45	156	11	29	5	224	291	368	660	144	271	24	7	285	76	-17	+4	+4	-8	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	4333	3929	880	148	22	129	290	1064	79	191	42	224	291	371	662	147	272	25	7	294	84	-81	+21	+25	-46	+123	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	131	22	3	19	44	160	12	29	6	222	290	367	657	144	271	25	7	294	84	-12	+3	+4	-7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	85	72	15	5	0	0	8	19	4	3	3	208	321	278	599	69	278	22	9	282	74	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	71	62	22	3	0	5	6	19	2	1	3	355	429	645	1.074	290	436	27	8	459	209	+9	-1	—	—	+2	1.0
2024	22	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	132	119	26	5	1	3	11	26	1	12	3	218	290	353	643	134	253	20	8	288	79	-3	+1	+2	-6	+4	-0.3
2024	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	238	211	56	10	3	8	20	42	5	10	2	265	343	455	798	190	294	18	8	351	127	+7	+1	—	—	+7	1.6
2024	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	211	186	51	11	3	5	16	50	5	15	3	274	346	446	792	172	343	24	8	347	124	+6	+2	—	—	+6	1.4
2025	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	322	293	61	8	2	10	24	76	5	17	5	208	280	352	631	143	246	24	7	285	76	-9	+1	+0	-4	+9	-0.2
2025	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	45	41	10	1	0	2	1	7	3	1	0	244	311	415	726	171	250	16	2	326	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	454	412	87	13	3	13	35	102	6	29	8	211	283	352	635	141	248	22	8	286	77	-12	+3	+2	-10	+13	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,831	116	169	226	290	373	-41	+1	2.2	2.4
	/162	664	20	29	226	290	373	-7.1	+0.2	0.4	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan Crews (OGILVIE)	24	50	50	60	50	216/278/352	136	266	17	23	25%	6%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Victor Robles 2021 · MLB	24	49→54	47→50	53→60	44	242/314/383	141	299	14	22	23%	6%	98	+1.6	225/298/334	109	291	9	19	25%	7%	79	+0.3	283/353/387	105	352	6	51	20%	6%	113	+0.9
✕Oswald Peraza 2023 · MLB	23	45→52	50	57→60	41	234/284/381	148	293	18	31	27%	5%	85	+0.7	215/279/345	130	270	16	25	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/267/320	115	269	15	25	28%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Lewis Brinson 2018 · MLB	24	44→52	51→55	52→50	42	229/280/393	163	285	19	16	27%	6%	86	+0.8	205/257/335	130	282	14	12	31%	5%	61	-1.0	233/275/409	176	307	23	8	31%	5%	85	+0.3
✕Ryan Kalish 2012 · MLB	24	47→51	48→50	56→55	47	236/293/378	142	284	15	24	22%	7%	87	+0.8	220/270/320	100	293	9	19	27%	6%	62	-0.9	212/256/305	93	285	8	20	28%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Manuel Margot 2020 · MLB	25	50→53	48→50	54→60	49	248/306/401	154	286	15	19	19%	8%	98	+1.6	251/311/380	129	291	12	20	17%	8%	95	+1.4	256/312/371	114	298	10	15	17%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Nick Loftin 2023 · AAA	24	44→53	48→50	53→50	46	225/285/363	138	263	16	18	21%	7%	81	+0.4	240/309/371	131	275	15	13	18%	8%	92	+1.2	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
●Peter Bourjos 2011 · MLB	24	48→56	45→50	63→60	41	238/279/373	135	289	12	28	22%	4%	79	+0.3	245/299/385	140	307	12	20	23%	6%	92	+1.2	250/310/389	140	318	12	18	24%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	49→55	53→55	42	219/285/370	151	290	16	19	30%	7%	82	+0.5	213/277/349	136	287	15	21	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Leody Taveras 2023 · MLB	24	47→53	48→50	53→55	43	235/287/383	147	303	15	19	27%	7%	86	+0.8	239/289/372	133	294	14	21	23%	7%	84	+0.6	231/283/355	124	278	13	25	21%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Óscar Mercado 2020 · MLB	25	51→54	46→55	55→60	45	253/304/385	132	302	13	27	21%	6%	94	+1.3	229/291/369	140	269	14	21	20%	7%	85	+0.7	226/292/376	150	266	15	26	21%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	55	46	237/301/388	152	305	17	24	28%	8%	94	+1.3	230/296/357	127	295	12	15	25%	8%	83	+0.6	231/293/342	111	293	10	15	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Daniel Ortmeier 2006 · MLB	25	46→51	49→50	55	42	232/297/382	151	288	17	24	26%	6%	91	+1.1	222/275/348	126	278	12	18	24%	5%	72	-0.2	228/287/338	110	295	10	15	25%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Jake Marisnick 2016 · MLB	25	47→52	45→60	56→55	39	234/278/357	123	300	12	29	26%	4%	76	+0.0	223/278/380	157	296	18	21	30%	6%	82	+0.5	226/290/423	196	302	25	18	33%	6%	96	+0.7
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	54→60	55→50	45	256/314/439	183	307	21	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	258/314/460	202	301	28	14	24%	7%	118	+3.0	245/301/434	189	280	27	12	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕John Shelby 2010 · AA	24	46→52	47→55	56→55	42	229/272/376	147	279	13	22	23%	5%	78	+0.2	216/252/368	152	281	17	14	29%	4%	68	-0.5	208/239/369	161	272	19	11	31%	3%	60	-0.8
✕Kyle Isbel 2022 · MLB	25	45→53	48→50	56→55	44	227/289/370	143	286	15	20	26%	7%	84	+0.6	231/286/374	143	286	13	16	23%	6%	83	+0.6	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→50	46→50	55	48	211/289/341	130	257	13	25	23%	8%	77	+0.1	227/293/361	134	285	14	22	24%	7%	83	+0.6	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
●Scott Kingery 2018 · AAA	24	47→51	45→55	56→55	41	233/276/362	128	286	12	20	23%	4%	76	+0.0	232/280/381	149	299	15	15	27%	6%	83	+0.6	227/280/381	154	295	16	14	28%	6%	80	+0.2
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	46→45	55→70	46	221/294/354	133	287	14	29	27%	8%	82	+0.5	225/330/346	121	289	12	41	24%	11%	96	+1.5	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5