Dylan Crews

RF Washington Nationals
Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 203 lbs MLB Svc 1.713 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AAA/AAWSH449.270/.345/.451132588—.240/.302/.390
202422MLBWSH132.218/.290/.35331283-0.3
202523AAAWSH45.244/.311/.4152176—.220/.289/.317
202523MLBWSH322.208/.280/.352101780-0.3
202624AAAWSH177.258/.347/.4325778—.224/.290/.360
202624MLBWSH443.223/.290/.374131287-0.1
2027PROJ25MLBWSH486.235/.304/.3891526950.9
2028PROJ92% MLB26MLBWSH523.235/.304/.3891628951.0
2029PROJ92% MLB27MLBWSH508.234/.303/.3861527940.9
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.8  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 2.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.713First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$3M2030Arb-2$4M2031Arb-3$5M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed90
Bat Spd68
Avg EV61
Barrel%56
xwOBA55
Form.235/.297/.394 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .235/.302/.391
CompsDustin Harris (age 25) · Óscar Mercado (age 25) · Drew Stubbs (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9795vR 89
AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .304 / .389
PA486
HR15
SB26
K%24
BB%7
BABIP286
ISO157
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +4.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +3.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+3FLDPOS: -5.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +10.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +1.30+1.3WAR
0.00.91.81.31.00.90.60.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$19M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
xAVG
360.240
POWER50
Barrel%
569.1
Avg EV
6189.9
Bat Spd
6873.3
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.3
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%24%·24% over 99 PA (60d) · proj 24%
BB%7%▼6% over 99 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.159·.165 over 91 AB (60d) · proj .155
HR/BB4.5%·4.4% over 68 BBE (60d) · proj 4.5%
BABIP.286·.277 over 65 BIP (60d) · proj .287
SLASH.235/.297/.394·proj .235/.302/.391
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 454 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
121
333
—
wRC+
71
80
▶R
wOBA
274
287
▶R
ISO
127
147
▶R
BABIP
257
245
◀L
K%
22.3%
22.5%
—
BB%
5.8%
8.4%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   1.713 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$10M+$10M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.0$7M+$7M
2029Arb-1$3M+0.9$3M+$0.5M
2030Arb-2$4M+0.6$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-3$5M+0.3$0.9M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $5M $24M +$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202321 AAHarrisburg Senators — 8572 15500 8194 33 208321278599 69278 229 282 51 — — — — — —
202321 AFredericksburg Nationals — 7162 22305 6192 13 3554296451.074 290436 278 459 126 — — — — — —
202422 MLBWashington Nationals — 132119 26513 11261 123 218290353643 134253 208 288 83 -3 +1 +2 -6 +3 -0.3
202422 AAARochester Red Wings — 238211 561038 20425 102 265343455798 190294 188 351 87 — — — — — —
202422 AAHarrisburg Senators — 211186 511135 16505 153 274346446792 172343 248 347 90 — — — — — —
202523 MLBWashington Nationals — 322293 618210 24765 175 208280352631 143246 247 285 80 -8 +1 +0 -4 +7 -0.3
202523 AAARochester Red Wings — 4541 10102 173 10 244311415726 171250 162 326 76 — — — — — —
202624 MLBWashington Nationals — 443404 9020113 301078 120 223290374663 151270 247 298 87 -7 +2 +0 -7 +10 -0.1
202624 AAARochester Red Wings — 177155 401015 19442 72 258347432779 174327 2511 346 78 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 897816 17733426 6520914 418 217286363649 146259 237 292 84 -17 +5 +2 -17 +19 -0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202321 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 8574 14400 6234 33 189286243529 54263 277 244 51 — — — — — —
202321 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 7164 18204 4262 13 281343500843 219384 376 355 126 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 132119 26513 11261 123 218290353643 134253 208 290 83 -3 +1 +2 -6 +3 -0.3
202422 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 238216 51936 15535 102 236301389690 153277 226 297 87 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 211192 471034 11615 153 245303391694 146323 295 301 90 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 322293 618210 24765 175 208280352631 143246 247 287 80 -8 +1 +0 -4 +7 -0.3
202523 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 4541 9101 183 10 220289317606 98240 182 281 76 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 443404 9020113 301078 120 223290374663 151270 247 297 87 -7 +2 +0 -7 +10 -0.1
202624 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 177161 36814 13532 72 224290360650 137300 307 283 78 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLE2 teams — 156138 32604 10496 46 232312362674 130322 316 295 85 — — — — — —
202321 AA RAW2 teams — 156134 37805 14386 46 276370448818 172344 249 363 85 — — — — — —
202422 AAA MLE3 teams — 581527 12424713 3713911 378 235299381681 146291 246 297 87 — — — — — —
202422 AAA RAW3 teams — 581516 13326716 4711811 378 258332428760 171302 208 335 87 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLE2 teams — 367334 709211 25848 185 210281347628 138247 237 286 80 -9 +2 +0 -4 +8 -0.3
202523 MLB RAW2 teams — 367334 719212 25838 185 213283359643 147247 237 290 80 -9 +2 +0 -4 +8 -0.3
202624 MLB MLE2 teams — 620565 12628217 4316010 192 223290370660 147279 267 293 85 -11 +3 +0 -7 +13 -0.2
202624 MLB RAW2 teams — 620559 13030218 4915110 192 233306390696 157286 248 312 85 -11 +3 +0 -7 +13 -0.2
202321 AA MLE2 teams — 156139 32604 10496 46 230312360671 129318 316 295 85 — — — — — —
202422 AAA MLE3 teams — 581528 12424713 3713911 378 235299381680 146288 246 297 87 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLE2 teams — 367331 709211 25848 185 211281350631 139246 237 286 80 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLE2 teams — 620562 12628217 4316010 192 224290372662 148279 267 293 85 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AAA MLE3 teams — 581528 12424713 3713911 378 235299381680 146288 246 297 87 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLE2 teams — 367331 709211 25848 185 211281350631 139246 237 286 80 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLE2 teams — 620562 12628217 4316010 192 224290372662 148279 267 293 85 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEWSH 100% 555500 11922317 411359 305 236304391695 155287 247 309 95 -3 +4 +4 -6 +12 1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXWSH 100% 486439 10420215 361188 265 235304389693 154286 247 309 95 -3 +3 +3 -5 +11 0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEWSH 92% 568512 12022317 421389 306 235304390695 155286 247 309 95 -3 +4 +4 -6 +12 1.0
202927 MLB MLEWSH 92% 552498 11722316 411358 295 234303387690 153286 247 307 94 -4 +4 +4 -6 +12 1.0
203028 MLB MLEWSH 92% 537484 11321316 401328 255 232301382683 150284 257 304 92 -5 +3 +3 -6 +12 0.7
203129 MLB MLEWSH 92% 522471 10820215 381308 224 229298375673 146282 257 300 89 -7 +3 +2 -6 +11 0.4
203230 MLB MLEWSH 92% 443402 9117212 321126 153 226293366660 141279 257 295 86 -7 +2 +1 -5 +10 -0.0
202826 MLB CTXWSH 92% 523471 11121216 391278 285 235304389693 154286 247 308 95 -3 +4 +3 -6 +11 1.0
202927 MLB CTXWSH 92% 508457 10720215 381248 275 234303386689 152285 247 307 94 -3 +3 +3 -5 +11 0.9
203028 MLB CTXWSH 92% 494448 10420214 361227 234 232301381681 149284 257 304 92 -5 +3 +2 -5 +11 0.6
203129 MLB CTXWSH 92% 480435 10019214 351207 204 229297374671 145282 257 300 89 -6 +2 +2 -5 +10 0.3
203230 MLB CTXWSH 92% 408369 8316111 301036 143 225293365658 140279 257 295 86 -7 +2 +1 -4 +9 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 33102996 6821291396 24380550 15329 228296376672 148278 247 300 89 -41 +19 +13 -43 +72 2.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 13425319 4815810 306 228297378675 150278 247 300 89 -8 +4 +3 -8 +14 0.4
Career— MLE — 48324370 100518827136 344119782 22549 230298379677 149284 257 300 89 -46 +23 +17 -50 +87 3.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 13525418 4616111 307 230297378675 148284 257 300 89 -7 +4 +3 -8 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAARochester Red Wings · 177 PAwOBA .337 → .283 (−54)K% 24.9% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.86%÷1.000×1.200——29.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.17%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0487.35%
HBP% /PA1.13%—×0.940—×1.0481.11%
Singles /BIP21.62%÷1.000×0.930×0.981×1.04820.67%
Doubles /BIP9.01%÷1.000×0.830×0.981×1.0487.69%
Triples /BIP0.90%÷1.000×0.970×0.981×1.0480.90%
Home runs /BIP4.50%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0483.30%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .337 → .283; ISO .174 → .137; BABIP .327 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAARochester Red Wings · 45 PAwOBA .317 → .281 (−36)K% 15.6% → 18.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.56%÷1.028×1.200——18.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.22%÷0.978×0.690—×1.0501.65%
HBP% /PA6.67%—×0.940—×1.0506.58%
Singles /BIP20.59%÷0.987×0.930—×1.05020.37%
Doubles /BIP2.94%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0502.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP5.88%÷0.960×0.700—×1.0504.51%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .317 → .281; ISO .171 → .130; BABIP .250 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 238 PAwOBA .345 → .297 (−48)K% 17.6% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.65%÷0.958×1.200——22.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.40%÷0.969×0.690—×1.0506.28%
HBP% /PA2.10%—×0.940—×1.0502.07%
Singles /BIP20.71%÷1.029×0.930×1.016×1.05019.97%
Doubles /BIP5.92%÷0.962×0.830×1.016×1.0505.45%
Triples /BIP1.78%÷1.150×0.970×1.016×1.0501.60%
Home runs /BIP4.73%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0503.53%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .345 → .297; ISO .190 → .151; BABIP .294 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAHarrisburg Senators · 211 PAwOBA .342 → .301 (−41)K% 23.7% → 28.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.70%÷1.008×1.220——28.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.58%÷1.051×0.700—×1.0425.26%
HBP% /PA2.37%—×0.850—×1.0422.10%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.010×0.970×0.957×1.04222.52%
Doubles /BIP8.09%÷0.964×0.860×0.957×1.0427.19%
Triples /BIP2.21%÷0.915×0.950×0.957×1.0422.28%
Home runs /BIP3.68%÷0.990×0.780—×1.0423.02%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 83, K 102, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .342 → .301; ISO .172 → .151; BABIP .343 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAHarrisburg Senators · 85 PAwOBA .279 → .244 (−35)K% 22.4% → 27.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.35%÷1.005×1.220——27.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.41%÷1.016×0.700—×1.0506.81%
HBP% /PA4.71%—×0.850—×1.0504.20%
Singles /BIP18.87%÷1.013×0.970×0.985×1.05018.68%
Doubles /BIP9.43%÷1.033×0.860×0.985×1.0508.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.935×0.950×0.985×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.115×0.780—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 87, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .279 → .244; ISO .069 → .059; BABIP .278 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AFredericksburg Nationals · 71 PAwOBA .452 → .355 (−97)K% 26.8% → 37.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.76%÷0.978×1.360——37.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.45%÷1.126×0.690—×1.0155.26%
HBP% /PA2.82%—×0.780—×1.0152.23%
Singles /BIP32.56%÷1.016×0.920—×1.01529.93%
Doubles /BIP6.98%÷1.065×0.830—×1.0155.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP11.63%÷0.917×0.800—×1.01510.30%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 96, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .452 → .355; ISO .290 → .231; BABIP .436 → .384. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).