Talon Haley
P
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
Age 20
LHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
A
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 41 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%23.6%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 14 | 13 | 59 | 263 | 77 | 29 | 4 | 93% | 4.2 | 21.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 5.37 | 4.00 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 9 | 41 | 174 | 41 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.56 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 100 | 437 | 118 | 49 | 9 | — | — | 27.0% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 2.1% | 5.04 | 4.23 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 9 | 43 | 182 | 44 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 4.8 | 24.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 4 | 4 | 21 | 89 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 21 | 90 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.03 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 94 | 28 | 100% | 4.8 | 24.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.46 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 14 | 13 | 59 | 263 | 57 | 34 | 5 | 93% | 4.2 | 21.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 5.37 | 4.00 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 44 | 200 | 897 | 194 | 117 | 18 | 93% | 4.2 | 21.7% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 5.37 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Talon Haley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.41 | 24.0% | 13.3% | 43 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Yereny Teus L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.59 | 23.3% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .276 | 3.80 | 23.0% | 7.5% | 68 | +0.21 | 2.98 | 166 | 84 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 83 |
| David Shields L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.45 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 2.0% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 148 | 81 |
| Evan Shawver L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.04 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 2.2% | .289 | 4.64 | 18.0% | 4.0% | 152 | +0.60 | 4.01 | 258 | 80 |
| Johnny King L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.22 | 23.7% | 15.4% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 129 | 80 |
| Hogan Harris L 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 80 |
| Caden Grice L 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 80 |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.61 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .329 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 112 | -0.48 | 3.74 | 143 | 79 |
| Mason Molina L 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.28 | 22.7% | 12.6% | 2.7% | .276 | 3.56 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 69 | -0.72 | 3.56 | 165 | 79 |
| Jay Groome L 2024 · 4.20 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.20 | 21.6% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 420 | 79 |
| Austin Emener L 2028 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 19.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .306 | 5.42 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 49 | +0.56 | 4.86 | 109 | 78 |
| Adam Seminaris L 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.90 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | .357 | 3.75 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 230 | -0.15 | 3.11 | 524 | 78 |
| Luis Moncada L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 12.0% | 1.5% | .278 | 3.85 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 68 | +0.04 | 3.81 | 296 | 78 |
| Sam Hentges L 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.32 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 2.4% | .362 | 4.28 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 260 | -0.04 | 2.22 | 594 | 78 |
| Jake Bennett L 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .339 | 3.10 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 156 | -0.44 | 2.79 | 219 | 78 |
| Blake Townsend L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 78 |
| Boston Bateman L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.10 | 23.0% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 153 | 78 |
| Raymond Burgos L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.03 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 2.5% | .356 | 3.07 | 19.7% | 10.0% | 65 | -0.96 | 3.07 | 308 | 77 |
| Pablo Aldonis L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.25 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .324 | 2.67 | 21.9% | 13.1% | 68 | -1.58 | 1.89 | 135 | 77 |
| Samy Natera Jr. L 2029 · 5.17 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.17 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% | .294 | 3.68 | 29.8% | 14.8% | 108 | -1.49 | 1.94 | 191 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 42 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 1.14 | 4.51 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |