Miguel Flores
P
Hill City Howlers
Age 21
LHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%22.4%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL CLE Goryl | 11 | 11 | 46 | 189 | 59 | 25 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 21.2% | 16.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 2.93 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL CLE Goryl | 11 | 11 | 46 | 189 | 59 | 25 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 31.2% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 1.6% | 2.93 | 3.01 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 12 | 8 | 38 | 172 | 36 | 23 | 4 | 67% | 3.1 | 14.2% | 16.7% | -2.5% | 1.8% | 5.02 | 5.02 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 12 | 8 | 38 | 172 | 36 | 23 | 4 | 67% | 3.1 | 20.9% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 5.02 | 4.40 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Hill City Howlers | 20 | 6 | 60 | 275 | 71 | 42 | 5 | 30% | 3.0 | 19.1% | 18.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.10 | 5.07 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CLE | 23 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 84 | 377 | 94 | 53 | 8 | — | — | 24.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 4.93 | 4.90 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CLE | 24 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.90 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 80 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 43 | 25 | 144 | 636 | 117 | 110 | 12 | 58% | 3.3 | 18.4% | 17.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.39 | 4.77 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 35 | 200 | 885 | 163 | 153 | 17 | 58% | 3.3 | 18.4% | 17.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.39 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miguel Flores (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.4% | 10.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.28 | 23.4% | 13.8% | 25 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Thomas Ireland L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 82 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 82 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 82 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 81 |
| Taylor Hearn L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 80 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.37 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .274 | 3.78 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.41 | 3.37 | 262 | 79 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 78 |
| Develson Aria L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.07 | 19.9% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .346 | 6.50 | 16.7% | -11.9% | 47 | +2.43 | 4.07 | 137 | 77 |
| Jordi Martinez L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 120 | +0.72 | 3.15 | 205 | 77 |
| Conner Menez L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.05 | 16.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .282 | 3.87 | 21.9% | 10.7% | 377 | -0.18 | 2.03 | 503 | 76 |
| Jack Patterson L 2027 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.08 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 80 | -1.64 | 3.08 | 127 | 76 |
| Mac Lardner L 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 76 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.89 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 68 | -0.19 | 3.89 | 141 | 76 |
| James Reeves L 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 76 |
| Felipe De La Cruz L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.55 | 21.7% | 14.5% | 2.6% | .387 | 3.72 | 21.6% | 10.0% | 278 | -0.83 | 3.06 | 382 | 75 |
| Dalton Pence L 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 75 |
| David Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.74 | 19.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 120 | 75 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2028 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 75 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 74 |
| Will Johnston L 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 74 |