Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 15 | 9 | 37 | 185 | 40 | 33 | 5 | 60% | 2.5 | 16.0% | 21.0% | -5.0% | 3.7% | 8.44 | 6.44 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 15 | 9 | 37 | 185 | 40 | 33 | 5 | 60% | 2.5 | 21.6% | 17.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 8.44 | 5.35 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 58 | 243 | 64 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.9% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 0.6% | 2.34 | 3.43 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 58 | 243 | 64 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.3% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 0.4% | 2.34 | 2.56 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 54 | 241 | 62 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 1.3% | 4.33 | 3.16 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 54 | 241 | 62 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.7% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 2.1% | 4.33 | 3.17 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 31 | 6 | 81 | 320 | 76 | 20 | 4 | 19% | 2.6 | 19.2% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 1.3% | 3.10 | 3.08 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 31 | 6 | 81 | 320 | 76 | 20 | 4 | 19% | 2.6 | 23.8% | 6.2% | 17.5% | 1.2% | 3.10 | 2.61 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 19 | 85 | 365 | 75 | 31 | 8 | 70% | 3.2 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 19 | 85 | 365 | 75 | 31 | 8 | 70% | 3.2 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 4.11 | 3.65 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 2 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 6.43 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 47 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.74 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | COL | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.74 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | COL | — | — | 72 | 308 | 49 | 30 | 9 | — | — | 15.9% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 4.90 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | COL | — | — | 6 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 17.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.74 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 49 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | COL | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 46 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | COL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 57 | 2 | 65 | 275 | 48 | 25 | 9 | 4% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 4.82 | 4.51 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 176 | 5 | 200 | 844 | 147 | 77 | 28 | 3% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 4.82 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 151 | 36 | 323 | 1388 | 256 | 156 | 27 | 24% | 2.1 | 18.5% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 4.13 | 4.04 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 94 | 22 | 200 | 860 | 159 | 97 | 17 | 24% | 2.1 | 18.5% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 4.13 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adam Laskey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.74 | 17.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.89 | 17.6% | 8.6% | 128 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 82 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 82 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 81 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 81 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 78 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.56 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 491 | 76 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 75 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 75 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 203 | 74 |
| Jordan Carr L 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.24 | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .295 | 7.18 | 11.4% | -3.7% | 38 | +2.94 | 3.39 | 261 | 73 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 72 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 72 |
| David Huff L 2028 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 72 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2027 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 72 |
| Carson Teel L 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.22 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 248 | 71 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 70 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 70 |
| Michael Johnson L 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.99 | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 256 | 70 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 70 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.92 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.70 | 2.22 | 286 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.21 | 4.79 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |