Colby Langford
P
Asheville Tourists
Age 24
LHP
6'3" / 196 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135144vR 154
ERA6.02
FIP6.02
K%23.8%
BB%25.0%
K-BB%-1.2%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 125 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 25% | 1.3 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 5.06 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Astros | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 25% | 1.3 | 27.3% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 5.06 | 3.10 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 8 | 58 | 264 | 76 | 51 | 5 | 38% | 2.7 | 21.6% | 22.5% | -1.0% | 2.0% | 5.46 | 5.24 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 8 | 58 | 264 | 76 | 51 | 5 | 38% | 2.7 | 28.8% | 19.3% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 5.46 | 4.24 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 42 | 0 | 61 | 280 | 87 | 63 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.9% | 25.9% | -1.9% | 0.8% | 3.26 | 4.82 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 42 | 0 | 61 | 280 | 87 | 63 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.1% | 22.5% | 8.6% | 1.1% | 3.26 | 3.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 24 | 0 | 35 | 179 | 49 | 34 | 11 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.1% | 21.8% | -0.8% | 7.7% | 8.57 | 8.30 | -1.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 91 | 95 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 25.0% | -1.2% | 2.5% | 6.02 | 6.02 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.8% | 25.0% | -1.2% | 2.5% | 6.02 | 6.02 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 125 | 559 | 140 | 129 | 21 | — | — | 25.0% | 23.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.73 | 6.65 | -1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.8% | 25.0% | -1.2% | 2.5% | 6.02 | 5.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 92 | 80 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 20.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.64 | 5.50 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 93 | 76 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 19.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.45 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 85 | 0 | 90 | 379 | 91 | 73 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 19.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.38 | 5.37 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 40 | 34 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 20.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.64 | 5.50 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 62 | 51 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 19.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.45 | 5.39 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 70 | 56 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 19.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.38 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 161 | 0 | 170 | 716 | 172 | 142 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 19.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.47 | 5.03 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 168 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 19.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.47 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 9 | 158 | 745 | 168 | 175 | 21 | 10% | 1.7 | 22.5% | 23.5% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.29 | 5.75 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 11 | 200 | 941 | 212 | 221 | 27 | 10% | 1.7 | 22.5% | 23.5% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.29 | 5.75 | -0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Colby Langford (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.02 | 23.8% | 25.0% | 2.5% | — | 5.42 | 24.0% | 4.0% | 272 | -0.60 | — | — | — |
| Caleb Frare L 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.53 | 22.6% | 21.3% | 3.0% | .307 | 3.04 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 80 | -2.49 | 2.26 | 237 | 83 |
| Gil Luna L 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.36 | 22.5% | 24.5% | 1.9% | .303 | 5.05 | 19.7% | -6.0% | 73 | -0.31 | 4.57 | 113 | 80 |
| Erik Rivera L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 19.2% | 2.3% | .313 | 4.69 | 25.3% | 9.9% | 40 | -0.32 | 4.69 | 122 | 80 |
| Ben Harris L 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.54 | 23.8% | 19.6% | 3.6% | .291 | 5.17 | 21.6% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.37 | 3.02 | 183 | 78 |
| Seth Clark L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.52 | 18.9% | 16.2% | 3.6% | .267 | 4.51 | 17.7% | -2.7% | 32 | -1.01 | 4.30 | 128 | 77 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2028 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 76 |
| Caden Monke L 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.28 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.73 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 34 | -1.55 | 3.73 | 152 | 75 |
| Dillon Larsen L 2026 · 6.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.31 | 21.7% | 21.6% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.57 | 18.0% | -4.1% | 91 | -1.74 | 4.04 | 120 | 75 |
| Nicolo Pinazzi L 2025 · 6.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.69 | 19.3% | 26.9% | 3.3% | .307 | 2.70 | 28.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -3.99 | 2.70 | 122 | 74 |
| Brendan Cellucci L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.95 | 22.4% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .320 | 4.50 | 23.3% | 7.3% | 137 | -0.45 | 3.96 | 265 | 74 |
| Kumar Nambiar L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.84 | 18.5% | 14.3% | 2.7% | .277 | 4.73 | 14.0% | 1.0% | 60 | -0.11 | 3.10 | 221 | 74 |
| John Kilichowski L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 73 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.03 | 16.4% | 18.6% | 3.6% | .303 | 5.89 | 16.3% | -3.3% | 78 | -0.14 | 4.80 | 223 | 73 |
| Chris Wright L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.97 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 2.6% | .360 | 4.54 | 20.0% | 0.9% | 17 | -0.43 | 2.99 | 169 | 73 |
| Juan Pichardo L 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.95 | 17.7% | 17.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.13 | 103 | 73 |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 18.9% | 17.6% | 2.4% | .315 | 4.92 | 19.3% | 7.1% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.28 | 127 | 72 |
| Bryan King L 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.31 | 17.4% | 17.8% | 2.6% | .317 | 2.89 | 24.7% | 14.5% | 77 | -2.42 | 2.49 | 226 | 72 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 20.0% | 2.4% | .361 | 4.78 | 18.5% | 5.2% | 136 | -0.27 | 4.19 | 151 | 72 |
| Marlin Willis L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.83 | 22.6% | 22.3% | 1.5% | .337 | 4.91 | 19.0% | -4.8% | 63 | +0.08 | 3.15 | 201 | 72 |
| Chris Reed L 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 90 | 24.0% | 21.3% | 1.00 | 5.62 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |