Colby Langford — OGILVIE

Colby Langford P Asheville Tourists

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 196 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135143vR 151

ERA6.21

FIP6.21

K%23.8%

BB%26.2%

K-BB%-2.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	4	1	5	22	6	4	0	25%	1.3	27.3%	18.2%	9.1%	0.0%	5.06	3.10	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	4	1	5	22	6	4	0	25%	1.3	27.3%	18.2%	9.1%	0.0%	5.06	3.10	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	4	1	5	22	6	4	0	25%	1.3	27.3%	18.2%	9.1%	0.0%	5.06	3.10	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	8	58	264	76	51	5	38%	2.7	21.6%	22.5%	-1.0%	2.2%	5.46	5.34	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	8	58	264	76	51	5	38%	2.7	21.6%	22.5%	-1.0%	2.2%	5.46	5.34	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	8	58	264	76	51	5	38%	2.7	28.8%	19.3%	9.5%	1.9%	5.46	4.24	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	42	0	61	280	87	63	3	0%	1.4	23.9%	25.9%	-1.9%	1.0%	3.26	4.92	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	42	0	61	280	87	63	3	0%	1.4	23.9%	25.9%	-1.9%	1.0%	3.26	4.92	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	42	0	61	280	87	63	3	0%	1.4	31.1%	22.5%	8.6%	1.1%	3.26	3.99	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	41	0	57	278	76	48	12	0%	1.4	20.2%	20.3%	-0.1%	6.1%	6.16	7.34	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	41	0	57	278	76	48	12	0%	1.4	20.2%	20.3%	-0.1%	6.1%	6.16	7.34	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	HOU	34	0	50	244	64	43	12	0%	1.5	26.2%	17.6%	8.6%	4.9%	6.70	5.82	—
2026	24	AA RAW	HOU	7	0	7	34	12	5	0	0%	1.0	35.3%	14.7%	20.6%	0.0%	2.45	1.98	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	HOU	6	0	6	25	6	6	1	0%	1.0	23.8%	26.2%	-2.4%	2.6%	6.21	6.21	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	63	303	82	54	13	—	—	27.1%	18.0%	9.1%	4.2%	6.16	7.23	-1.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	87	0	91	385	92	84	10	0%	1.0	24.0%	21.8%	2.2%	2.6%	5.79	5.64	-1.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	87	0	91	385	93	80	10	0%	1.0	24.1%	20.7%	3.4%	2.6%	5.58	5.52	-1.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	85	0	90	379	91	76	10	0%	1.1	24.0%	20.1%	3.8%	2.7%	5.50	5.49	-0.9
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	83	0	87	367	87	73	10	0%	1.0	23.8%	20.0%	3.8%	2.8%	5.51	5.54	-1.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	HOU	79	0	83	351	83	71	10	0%	1.1	23.5%	20.2%	3.4%	3.0%	5.61	5.67	-1.0
2032	30	MLB MLE	HOU	74	0	78	330	83	65	10	0%	1.1	25.2%	19.7%	5.5%	3.2%	5.59	5.58	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	37	0	39	165	40	36	4	0%	1.1	24.0%	21.8%	2.2%	2.6%	5.79	5.64	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	58	0	61	258	62	53	7	0%	1.1	24.1%	20.7%	3.4%	2.6%	5.58	5.52	-0.7
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	66	0	69	291	70	59	8	0%	1.0	24.0%	20.1%	3.8%	2.7%	5.50	5.49	-0.7
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	70	0	73	308	73	62	9	0%	1.0	23.8%	20.0%	3.8%	2.8%	5.51	5.54	-0.8
2031	29	MLB CTX	HOU	70	0	73	308	73	62	9	0%	1.0	23.5%	20.2%	3.4%	3.0%	5.61	5.67	-0.9
2032	30	MLB CTX	HOU	67	0	70	296	74	58	9	0%	1.0	25.2%	19.7%	5.5%	3.2%	5.59	5.58	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		367	0	385	1626	392	330	46	0%	1.0	24.1%	20.3%	3.8%	2.8%	5.58	5.19	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	204	171	24	0%	1.1	24.1%	20.3%	3.8%	2.8%	5.58	5.19	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		108	9	181	844	186	192	26	8%	1.7	22.0%	22.8%	-0.7%	3.1%	4.93	5.80	-6.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	10	200	934	206	213	29	8%	1.7	22.0%	22.8%	-0.7%	3.1%	4.93	5.80	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Colby Langford (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.21	23.8%	26.2%	2.6%	—	5.55	24.0%	3.2%	272	-0.66	—	—	—
Caleb Frare L 2017 · 5.45 FIP	24	SU	5.45	22.6%	21.3%	2.9%	.307	3.14	28.0%	15.6%	80	-2.31	2.27	237	83
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	81
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	78
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	78
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	76
Armando Vasquez L 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	21.5%	18.0%	2.9%	.312	6.10	20.8%	2.7%	36	+0.95	4.22	131	75
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	74
Eric Torres L 2023 · 6.62 FIP	23	SU	6.62	21.2%	19.8%	5.1%	.283	4.18	26.5%	10.4%	56	-2.44	2.81	155	72
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	72
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	72
Matt Mikulski L 2023 · 6.17 FIP	24	SW	6.17	16.4%	18.6%	3.8%	.303	5.90	16.3%	-3.3%	78	-0.27	4.92	223	72
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	71
Yoan Aybar L 2021 · 5.91 FIP	24	SU	5.91	19.2%	16.2%	4.3%	.323	6.04	20.9%	1.2%	41	+0.13	3.41	166	71
Cam Booser L 2016 · 6.61 FIP	24	SU	6.61	19.8%	28.0%	3.0%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	309	69
Winston Lavendier L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	24	SU	5.06	17.8%	12.9%	3.4%	.344	4.94	14.2%	4.7%	21	-0.12	2.98	179	69
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	69
Destin Dotson L 2022 · 5.84 FIP	22	SU	5.84	23.0%	19.9%	4.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.90	113	68
Tommy Thorpe L 2017 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	17.6%	13.4%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	232	68
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.11	18.1%	7.1%	162	-1.67	3.92	278	68
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.40	163	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	87	24.0%	21.3%	1.07	5.69
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91