Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.0% | 19.4% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 6.75 | 4.87 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 29.0% | 19.4% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 6.75 | 5.54 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 3 | 56 | 238 | 107 | 37 | 2 | 7% | 1.3 | 33.9% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 0.9% | 3.72 | 3.02 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 3 | 56 | 238 | 107 | 37 | 2 | 7% | 1.3 | 45.0% | 15.5% | 29.4% | 0.8% | 3.72 | 1.72 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 46 | 0 | 52 | 236 | 74 | 47 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 21.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 4.88 | 4.69 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 46 | 0 | 52 | 236 | 74 | 47 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.4% | 19.9% | 11.4% | 1.7% | 4.88 | 3.97 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 48 | 221 | 65 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 19.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.44 | 5.54 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 48 | 221 | 65 | 43 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 19.5% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 5.44 | 4.97 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 28 | 2 | 30 | 147 | 36 | 33 | 2 | 7% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 23.6% | -2.0% | 1.6% | 4.75 | 5.17 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 28 | 2 | 30 | 147 | 36 | 33 | 2 | 7% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 22.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 4.75 | 4.85 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 5.11 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.69 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 129 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 166 | 5 | 191 | 873 | 234 | 179 | 18 | 3% | 1.2 | 26.8% | 20.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 4.71 | 4.54 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 5 | 200 | 914 | 245 | 187 | 18 | 3% | 1.2 | 26.8% | 20.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 4.71 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Harris (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.11 | 23.0% | 16.3% | 2.7% | — | 5.07 | 23.0% | 7.3% | 22 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 85 |
| Andy Oliver L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 84 |
| Jake Rice L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 18.1% | 1.3% | .305 | 5.11 | 19.2% | 3.1% | 103 | +0.98 | 3.29 | 199 | 84 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 83 |
| Andy Fisher L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.21 | 21.5% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.23 | 17.2% | 6.3% | 52 | +0.02 | 3.14 | 167 | 83 |
| Dale Stanavich L 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.74 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 4.0% | .254 | 5.12 | 24.8% | 13.6% | 23 | -0.62 | 3.14 | 167 | 81 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 81 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 81 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 80 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 80 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 80 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.68 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 2.3% | .289 | 3.65 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 43 | -1.03 | 3.65 | 308 | 79 |
| Adam McCreery L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.23 | 20.7% | 14.5% | 1.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 207 | 79 |
| Brian Marconi L 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 79 |
| Erik Rivera L 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 79 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 21.0% | 14.1% | 2.8% | .294 | 3.83 | 17.7% | 4.9% | 37 | -0.81 | 3.54 | 206 | 78 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2026 · 5.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.63 | 22.7% | 20.5% | 3.4% | .293 | 8.93 | 19.2% | 3.7% | 31 | +3.30 | 3.86 | 189 | 78 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 78 |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 6.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.20 | 18.5% | 18.8% | 4.1% | .278 | 5.25 | 17.5% | -1.3% | 22 | -0.95 | 3.71 | 105 | 78 |
| John Beller L 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.00 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 170 | 78 |