Nicolo Pinazzi — OGILVIE

Nicolo Pinazzi P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 26 LHP 6'2" / 195 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%22.7%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%6.5%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	14	0	17	82	31	14	1	0%	1.2	25.7%	21.3%	4.4%	1.7%	2.60	4.55	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	14	0	17	82	31	14	1	0%	1.2	37.8%	17.1%	20.7%	1.2%	2.60	2.70	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	43	192	73	28	2	42%	3.6	25.7%	18.4%	7.4%	1.6%	4.85	4.15	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	43	192	73	28	2	42%	3.6	38.0%	14.6%	23.4%	1.0%	4.85	2.26	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	2	36	184	50	41	5	8%	1.4	19.3%	26.9%	-7.6%	3.5%	7.75	6.79	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	2	36	184	50	41	5	8%	1.4	19.3%	26.9%	-7.6%	3.5%	7.75	6.79	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	2	36	184	50	41	5	8%	1.4	27.2%	22.3%	4.9%	2.7%	7.75	5.54	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	48	0	64	265	103	33	1	0%	1.3	30.1%	13.8%	16.3%	0.5%	0.84	2.58	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	48	0	64	265	103	33	1	0%	1.3	30.1%	13.8%	16.3%	0.5%	0.84	2.58	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A RAW	LAA	22	0	29	124	48	12	1	0%	1.3	38.7%	9.7%	29.0%	0.8%	1.53	1.50	—
2026	26	A+ RAW	LAA	12	0	16	65	29	7	0	0%	1.3	44.6%	10.8%	33.8%	0.0%	0.00	0.70	—
2026	26	AA RAW	LAA	13	0	17	68	24	12	0	0%	1.3	35.3%	17.6%	17.6%	0.0%	0.54	2.35	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	LAA	1	0	2	8	2	2	0	0%	2.0	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	4.16	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	LAA	59	0	62	261	59	40	8	0%	1.0	22.7%	15.5%	7.2%	3.1%	5.18	5.20	-0.5
2028	28	MLB MLE	LAA	57	0	60	253	57	38	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.2%	7.5%	3.1%	5.18	5.22	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	LAA	21	0	22	93	21	14	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	15.5%	7.2%	3.1%	5.18	5.20	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	LAA	33	0	35	148	33	22	5	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.2%	7.5%	3.1%	5.18	5.22	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	58	243	55	37	8	0%	1.0	22.7%	15.3%	7.4%	3.1%	5.18	4.83	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	128	28	0%	1.1	22.7%	15.3%	7.4%	3.1%	5.18	4.83	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		99	7	160	723	186	139	12	7%	1.6	25.7%	19.2%	6.5%	1.7%	3.66	4.29	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	9	200	904	232	173	15	7%	1.6	25.7%	19.2%	6.5%	1.7%	3.66	4.29	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nicolo Pinazzi (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	22.7%	16.1%	3.0%	—	5.21	22.7%	7.3%	122	-0.05	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	85
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	85
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	84
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	84
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	82
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	82
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	81
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	81
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	81
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	81
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	80
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	79
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	79
Brendan Nail L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	22.6%	12.5%	2.7%	.311	4.39	18.9%	8.4%	53	+0.12	3.45	165	79
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	24.7%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.49	19.7%	4.9%	59	-0.85	3.01	158	79
Adam McCreery L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	26	SU	4.29	20.7%	14.5%	2.0%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	207	79
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	78
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	78
Hunter Schryver L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	21.0%	14.1%	3.2%	.294	4.00	17.7%	4.9%	37	-0.88	3.58	206	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	48	22.7%	15.5%	1.19	5.19
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15