Dale Stanavich — OGILVIE

Dale Stanavich P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 27 LHP 5'11" / 175 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 133

ERA5.24

FIP5.24

K%22.0%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP38

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	11	52	10	8	1	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.4%	3.8%	1.9%	11.81	4.48	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	11	52	10	8	1	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.4%	3.8%	1.9%	11.81	4.69	—
2023	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	24	0	30	135	46	14	1	0%	1.3	25.2%	12.2%	13.0%	1.0%	3.56	3.09	—
2023	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	24	0	30	135	46	14	1	0%	1.3	25.2%	12.2%	13.0%	1.0%	3.56	3.09	—
2023	24	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	24	0	30	135	46	14	1	0%	1.3	34.1%	10.4%	23.7%	0.7%	3.56	1.88	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	59	252	86	28	6	0%	1.3	27.2%	12.7%	14.4%	2.9%	2.73	3.99	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	59	252	86	28	6	0%	1.3	27.2%	12.7%	14.4%	2.9%	2.73	3.99	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	59	252	86	28	6	0%	1.3	34.1%	11.1%	23.0%	2.4%	2.73	2.93	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	1	56	257	67	44	8	2%	1.3	21.3%	16.4%	4.9%	3.7%	3.38	5.41	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	1	56	257	67	44	8	2%	1.3	21.3%	16.4%	4.9%	3.7%	3.38	5.41	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	1	56	257	67	44	8	2%	1.3	26.1%	17.1%	8.9%	3.1%	3.38	4.92	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	34	0	41	179	54	24	7	0%	1.2	25.0%	13.8%	11.2%	4.8%	5.27	5.38	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	34	0	41	179	54	24	7	0%	1.2	25.0%	13.8%	11.2%	4.8%	5.27	5.38	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	ROK RAW	SF	2	0	1	4	0	2	0	0%	0.7	0.0%	50.0%	-50.0%	0.0%	0.00	9.43	—
2026	27	AA RAW	SF	32	0	40	175	54	22	7	0%	1.2	30.9%	12.6%	18.3%	4.0%	5.45	4.28	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	35	0	37	155	34	22	5	0%	1.0	22.0%	14.1%	8.0%	3.3%	5.20	5.23	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	13	0	14	59	13	8	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.1%	8.0%	3.3%	5.20	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	13	8	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.1%	8.0%	3.3%	5.20	4.85	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	116	29	0%	1.1	22.0%	14.1%	8.0%	3.3%	5.20	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		156	1	197	875	212	124	28	1%	1.3	24.2%	14.1%	10.1%	3.2%	4.06	4.58	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		158	1	200	887	215	125	28	1%	1.3	24.2%	14.1%	10.1%	3.2%	4.06	4.58	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dale Stanavich (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.24	22.0%	14.4%	3.3%	—	5.23	22.0%	8.0%	37	-0.01	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	88
Andy Oliver L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	23.4%	16.9%	1.6%	.283	4.56	19.2%	8.6%	108	+0.40	3.93	165	84
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	83
Hunter Cervenka L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	27	SU	5.91	18.9%	15.0%	4.6%	.282	3.10	25.9%	15.0%	81	-2.81	3.08	194	82
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	81
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	81
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	81
Tony Cingrani L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	18.1%	13.3%	1.7%	.271	3.50	32.4%	26.1%	65	-0.69	1.68	186	80
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.90	18.7%	4.0%	103	+0.49	3.16	199	79
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	79
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	79
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	78
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	78
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	78
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	77
Brendan Cellucci L 2023 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	21.2%	14.6%	3.3%	.381	4.25	23.2%	9.2%	137	-0.74	3.98	288	77
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	77
Braulio Lara L 2016 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	17.7%	11.0%	2.5%	.289	5.80	19.8%	2.0%	40	+1.45	3.96	118	76
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	76
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	22.0%	14.3%	1.28	5.22
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64