Dale Stanavich
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 27
LHP
5'11" / 175 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118127vR 136
ERA5.20
FIP5.20
K%22.8%
BB%14.3%
K-BB%8.5%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 11.81 | 4.48 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 11.81 | 4.69 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 24 | 0 | 30 | 135 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 1.1% | 3.56 | 3.14 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 24 | 0 | 30 | 135 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.1% | 10.4% | 23.7% | 0.7% | 3.56 | 1.88 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 59 | 252 | 86 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.2% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 2.73 | 3.94 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 59 | 252 | 86 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.1% | 11.1% | 23.0% | 2.4% | 2.73 | 2.93 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 1 | 56 | 257 | 67 | 44 | 8 | 2% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.38 | 5.74 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 1 | 56 | 257 | 67 | 44 | 8 | 2% | 1.3 | 26.1% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 3.38 | 4.92 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 20 | 0 | 25 | 102 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 4.9% | 3.65 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 36 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 62 | 261 | 66 | 35 | 9 | — | — | 25.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.59 | 5.17 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.8% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 5.20 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 5.17 | 5.20 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 5.17 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 5.17 | 4.82 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 124 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 5.17 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 142 | 1 | 181 | 798 | 194 | 115 | 25 | 1% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 3.73 | 4.57 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 1 | 200 | 882 | 214 | 127 | 27 | 1% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 3.73 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dale Stanavich (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.20 | 22.8% | 14.3% | 3.4% | — | 5.20 | 22.7% | 8.8% | 37 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 82 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 82 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 81 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 6.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.12 | 18.9% | 15.0% | 4.9% | .282 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 15.0% | 81 | -2.90 | 3.20 | 194 | 80 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 80 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.22 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.74 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.48 | 1.79 | 186 | 79 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 79 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 78 |
| Trey Cumbie L 2025 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 23.3% | 16.1% | 3.5% | .215 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 152 | 78 |
| Erik Rivera L 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 25.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 122 | 78 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.89 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .260 | 6.02 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.13 | 3.79 | 132 | 78 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 77 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 77 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2024 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 77 |
| Peyton Alford L 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 22.9% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .275 | 2.95 | 30.5% | 20.8% | 37 | -2.52 | 2.95 | 266 | 77 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 77 |
| Zac Rosscup L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 4.1% | .296 | 2.67 | 29.5% | 21.7% | 40 | -2.02 | 2.51 | 160 | 77 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 76 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 76 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 1.31 | 5.19 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |