Dale Stanavich
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
LHP
5'11" / 175 lbs
AAA
ERA5.17
FIP5.17
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.8%
BB%14.3%
K-BB%8.5%
IP54
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 10 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 10 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | 11.81 | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 24 | 0 | 30 | 135 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 25.2% | 12.2% | 1.0% | 3.56 | 3.08 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 44 | 0 | 59 | 252 | 86 | 28 | 6 | 27.2% | 12.7% | 2.8% | 2.73 | 3.98 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 44 | 1 | 56 | 257 | 67 | 44 | 8 | 21.8% | 18.2% | 3.8% | 3.38 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 54 | — | 54 | 227 | 52 | 32 | 7 | 22.8% | 14.3% | 3.3% | 5.17 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 53 | — | 53 | 224 | 51 | 31 | 7 | 22.8% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 5.10 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 50 | 30 | 7 | 22.7% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 5.07 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 48 | 28 | 7 | 22.5% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 5.08 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 46 | 27 | 7 | 22.3% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 5.13 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 46 | — | 46 | 196 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 5.21 | 5.26 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 5.30 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 21.4% | 14.0% | 3.7% | 5.40 | 5.47 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 21.0% | 14.2% | 3.8% | 5.51 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 32 | 23 | 6 | 20.5% | 14.4% | 3.9% | 5.64 | 5.72 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 122 | 1 | 156 | 696 | 169 | 103 | 19 | 24.2% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 3.74 | 4.45 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 1 | 200 | 890 | 216 | 132 | 24 | 24.2% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 3.74 | 4.45 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dale Stanavich (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.17 | 22.8% | 14.3% | 3.3% | — | 5.11 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 155 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .317 | 4.77 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 269 | 86 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.6% | .283 | 4.60 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.45 | 3.97 | 165 | 84 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 82 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 81 |
| Peyton Alford L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.82 | 22.9% | 12.1% | 3.9% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 229 | 81 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.21 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.66 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.55 | 1.66 | 186 | 81 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.75 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 178 | 79 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.12 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .285 | 6.29 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.17 | 3.36 | 144 | 79 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.94 | 18.9% | 15.0% | 4.6% | .282 | 3.10 | 25.9% | 15.0% | 81 | -2.84 | 3.04 | 194 | 78 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.09 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.3% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 78 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.11 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 77 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 77 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 18.0% | 12.1% | 4.3% | .260 | 5.70 | 15.9% | 12.5% | 20 | +0.20 | 3.60 | 132 | 77 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .318 | 2.78 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -1.75 | 1.81 | 421 | 77 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.47 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 165 | 77 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.58 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 2.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 264 | 77 |
| Josh D. Smith L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.06 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.0% | .306 | 3.40 | 23.1% | 12.3% | 164 | -0.66 | 3.20 | 335 | 76 |
| Joey Marciano L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.40 | 20.6% | 13.1% | 2.5% | .317 | 5.22 | 20.5% | 0.4% | 43 | +0.82 | 3.66 | 330 | 76 |
| Sean Keselica L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 1.9% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 235 | 75 |
| Marlon Arias L 2029 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.