Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | A | West Virginia Power | 21 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 45 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 1.4% | 3.46 | 3.52 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | West Virginia Power | 21 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 45 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 27.4% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 1.2% | 3.46 | 2.61 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 63 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 1.2% | 1.76 | 3.08 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 63 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 18.7% | 0.9% | 1.76 | 2.34 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 1 | 61 | 242 | 85 | 17 | 4 | 2% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 8.0% | 19.1% | 1.7% | 3.41 | 2.76 | +1.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 1 | 61 | 242 | 85 | 17 | 4 | 2% | 1.1 | 35.1% | 7.0% | 28.1% | 1.7% | 3.41 | 2.00 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 39 | 158 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 27.1% | 6.3% | 20.8% | 1.0% | 4.42 | 2.17 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 39 | 158 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 27.8% | 7.0% | 20.9% | 1.3% | 4.42 | 2.35 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 48 | 219 | 57 | 25 | 9 | 6% | 1.3 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 6.56 | 5.25 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 48 | 219 | 57 | 25 | 9 | 6% | 1.3 | 26.0% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 4.1% | 6.56 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 51 | 1 | 63 | 275 | 71 | 27 | 5 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 2.0% | 3.86 | 3.59 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | 51 | 1 | 63 | 275 | 71 | 27 | 5 | 2% | 1.2 | 25.8% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 3.16 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 1 | 30 | 151 | 32 | 24 | 2 | 4% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 16.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 4.80 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 1 | 30 | 151 | 32 | 24 | 2 | 4% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 15.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 4.80 | 4.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 15 | 0 | 16 | 65 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 0 | 23 | 100 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 0.6 | 28.1% | 7.5% | 20.6% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 3.41 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 329 | 0 | 200 | 863 | 242 | 61 | 26 | 0% | 0.6 | 28.1% | 7.5% | 20.6% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 3.41 | +4.7 | ||
| Career | — | 277 | 5 | 336 | 1444 | 335 | 148 | 28 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 2.0% | 3.91 | 3.53 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 165 | 3 | 200 | 860 | 199 | 88 | 17 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 2.0% | 3.91 | 3.53 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Zamora (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.67 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 20 | +0.26 | — | — | — |
| Phil Coke L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 82 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2024 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 78 |
| Zach Phillips L 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.65 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 202 | 78 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 5.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.55 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 5.4% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 113 | 75 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.25 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .304 | 3.85 | 21.9% | 14.0% | 152 | -0.40 | 1.67 | 421 | 75 |
| Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.45 | 17.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .325 | 4.79 | 16.0% | 3.0% | 27 | +0.34 | 3.77 | 127 | 74 |
| Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.51 | 19.8% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .286 | 3.60 | 17.8% | 6.4% | 52 | -0.91 | 3.60 | 190 | 74 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.19 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 256 | 74 |
| Josh Edgin L 2024 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 73 |
| Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 4.01 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.64 | 3.24 | 156 | 73 |
| Edward Paredes L 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 21.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29 | 130 | 71 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 70 |
| Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.96 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 245 | 69 |
| Anthony Gose L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.88 | 27.0% | 13.1% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.79 | 22.3% | 7.5% | 71 | +1.91 | 3.88 | 207 | 69 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .443 | 5.09 | 19.8% | 8.6% | 74 | +1.20 | 3.89 | 154 | 67 |
| Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 67 |
| Adam Loewen L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.13 | 23.4% | 17.4% | 1.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 176 | 67 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.87 | 15.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 159 | 65 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2024 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 137 | 65 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SW | 3.97 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .376 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 280 | 65 |