Hayden Harris — OGILVIE

Hayden Harris P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 186 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8997vR 105

ERA3.78

FIP3.78

K%30.2%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%18.6%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5050

CTRL—45

CMD3540

K†7070

FB (84%)

SL (12%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	6	0	5	22	6	6	1	0%	0.8	27.3%	27.3%	0.0%	4.5%	3.86	6.75	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	6	0	5	22	6	6	1	0%	0.8	27.3%	27.3%	0.0%	4.5%	3.86	7.17	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	59	247	91	24	5	0%	1.5	29.1%	11.2%	17.9%	1.9%	4.10	3.11	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	59	247	91	24	5	0%	1.5	29.1%	11.2%	17.9%	1.9%	4.10	3.11	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	0	59	247	91	24	5	0%	1.5	36.8%	9.7%	27.1%	2.0%	4.10	2.34	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	43	192	69	25	5	0%	1.0	29.5%	12.7%	16.8%	3.0%	4.64	3.84	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	43	192	69	25	5	0%	1.0	29.5%	12.7%	16.8%	3.0%	4.64	3.84	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	43	192	69	25	5	0%	1.0	35.9%	13.0%	22.9%	2.6%	4.64	3.15	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	55	208	79	21	1	0%	1.2	33.1%	9.4%	23.6%	0.6%	0.66	1.82	+1.8
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	55	208	79	21	1	0%	1.2	33.1%	9.4%	23.6%	0.6%	0.66	1.82	+1.8
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	0	55	208	79	21	1	0%	1.2	38.0%	10.1%	27.9%	0.5%	0.66	1.60	+2.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	3	12	0	2	0	0%	0.9	0.0%	16.7%	-16.7%	0.0%	3.38	5.35	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	45	0	51	233	66	37	7	0%	1.1	23.6%	14.6%	9.0%	3.0%	5.29	4.59	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	45	0	51	233	66	37	7	0%	1.1	23.6%	14.6%	9.0%	3.0%	5.29	4.59	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	COL	2	0	3	11	3	1	1	0%	1.4	27.3%	9.1%	18.2%	9.1%	10.12	6.94	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	COL	43	0	48	222	63	36	6	0%	1.1	28.4%	16.2%	12.2%	2.7%	5.03	4.24	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	COL	6	0	6	27	8	3	1	0%	1.1	30.2%	11.5%	18.6%	2.5%	3.78	3.78	+0.1
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	57	260	74	40	8	—	—	28.5%	15.4%	13.1%	3.0%	5.13	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	COL	65	0	68	287	84	33	8	0%	1.0	29.4%	11.5%	17.9%	2.7%	3.88	3.92	+0.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	COL	62	0	65	274	78	32	8	0%	1.0	28.7%	11.5%	17.2%	2.8%	4.01	4.08	+0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	COL	28	0	29	122	36	14	3	0%	1.0	29.4%	11.5%	17.9%	2.7%	3.88	3.92	+0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	COL	36	0	38	160	46	18	5	0%	1.1	28.7%	11.5%	17.2%	2.8%	4.01	4.08	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		68	0	70	298	83	35	8	0%	1.0	27.8%	11.7%	16.1%	2.7%	3.93	3.69	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	0	200	847	236	99	23	0%	1.0	27.8%	11.7%	16.1%	2.7%	3.93	3.69	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		178	0	212	902	258	112	20	0%	1.2	28.6%	12.4%	16.2%	2.2%	3.60	3.44	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		168	0	200	850	243	105	18	0%	1.2	28.6%	12.4%	16.2%	2.2%	3.60	3.44	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hayden Harris (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.78	30.2%	11.5%	2.5%	—	4.00	29.0%	17.5%	133	+0.22	—	—	—
Ryan O'Rourke L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	27.4%	12.9%	2.6%	.284	3.05	23.4%	16.7%	53	-0.80	3.05	145	79
Sean Doolittle L 2015 · 3.05 FIP	28	SU	3.05	26.3%	8.8%	1.9%	.306	2.38	32.5%	28.6%	135	-0.67	1.39	259	78
Jake Diekman L 2015 · 3.38 FIP	28	SU	3.38	26.5%	11.9%	1.8%	.310	3.25	27.0%	15.3%	106	-0.13	2.36	455	77
Boone Logan L 2015 · 2.96 FIP	30	SU	2.96	26.2%	9.5%	1.6%	.352	3.05	29.7%	20.6%	78	+0.09	2.58	113	76
Peyton Alford L 2023 · 3.69 FIP	25	SU	3.69	28.0%	12.4%	2.5%	.303	4.16	24.1%	12.9%	172	+0.47	3.66	288	76
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	75
Antonio Bastardo L 2015 · 3.10 FIP	29	SU	3.10	26.8%	10.0%	1.8%	.238	5.27	22.6%	11.3%	88	+2.17	3.10	145	75
Chasen Shreve L 2017 · 4.11 FIP	27	SU	4.11	29.3%	11.1%	3.8%	.245	4.38	26.8%	15.4%	138	+0.27	3.89	470	73
Fabian Williamson L 2016 · 3.39 FIP	27	SU	3.39	23.8%	9.0%	2.1%	.259	5.26	16.5%	-3.3%	54	+1.87	3.39	154	73
Dale Stanavich L 2023 · 3.09 FIP	24	SU	3.09	25.2%	12.2%	1.0%	.365	4.87	24.5%	10.1%	153	+1.78	3.09	183	73
Jack Leathersich L 2017 · 3.16 FIP	27	SU	3.16	33.5%	14.4%	1.9%	.250	4.55	21.7%	1.9%	32	+1.39	3.16	101	73
Giovanni Soto L 2017 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	25.6%	10.5%	3.5%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	128	72
Will Smith L 2016 · 3.03 FIP	27	SU	3.03	28.7%	10.2%	1.9%	.283	2.55	35.8%	29.4%	118	-0.48	1.76	464	72
Luis Avilán L 2016 · 2.80 FIP	27	SU	2.80	25.7%	8.3%	1.5%	.295	3.13	25.0%	16.0%	123	+0.33	2.62	256	71
Reagan Todd L 2022 · 3.82 FIP	26	SU	3.82	25.6%	12.0%	2.5%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	122	71
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	71
Zac Rosscup L 2015 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	24.6%	11.0%	4.4%	.296	2.85	29.5%	21.7%	40	-1.99	2.56	160	71
Matt Purke L 2017 · 3.01 FIP	27	SU	3.01	25.1%	10.1%	1.4%	.335	4.29	16.1%	0.1%	47	+1.28	3.01	226	70
Marc Rzepczynski L 2015 · 2.73 FIP	29	SU	2.73	25.9%	6.3%	1.8%	.356	3.73	19.4%	7.9%	101	+1.00	2.73	181	70
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2016 · 2.81 FIP	27	SU	2.81	23.5%	9.7%	0.9%	.287	5.28	16.1%	-11.9%	11	+2.47	2.81	159	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	29.4%	11.5%	1.04	3.89
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87
Carl Edwards Jr. ('23)	1.2	50	28.7%	12.4%	0.76	3.05
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63