Tate Kuehner
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 25
LHP
6'0" / 196 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.8 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.75
FIP4.75
K%21.5%
BB%14.3%
K-BB%7.1%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.63 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 1.5 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.77 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 19 | 104 | 438 | 115 | 54 | 7 | 83% | 4.5 | 20.5% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 3.19 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 19 | 104 | 438 | 115 | 54 | 7 | 83% | 4.5 | 26.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 1.6% | 3.19 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 110 | 464 | 117 | 57 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.5% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 1.3% | 2.77 | 3.73 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 110 | 464 | 117 | 57 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 1.9% | 2.77 | 3.59 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 9 | 8 | 40 | 188 | 40 | 21 | 3 | 89% | 4.5 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 5.80 | 3.97 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 11 | 11 | 65 | 276 | 59 | 40 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 21.5% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 106 | 464 | 99 | 61 | 9 | — | — | 21.4% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 2.0% | 5.15 | 4.45 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 7 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 21.5% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 4.72 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 22 | 22 | 130 | 550 | 120 | 75 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 4.69 | 4.68 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 21 | 21 | 128 | 542 | 118 | 72 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.7% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 4.67 | 4.68 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 21 | 21 | 124 | 526 | 114 | 69 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.6% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 4.71 | 4.75 | +0.9 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 20 | 20 | 119 | 502 | 107 | 66 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.80 | 4.86 | +0.8 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 19 | 112 | 472 | 99 | 64 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 5.04 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 17 | 17 | 104 | 440 | 91 | 61 | 14 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.6% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 5.13 | 5.24 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 58 | 36 | 6 | 100% | 6.3 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 4.66 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 14 | 14 | 85 | 359 | 78 | 48 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.7% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 4.65 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 16 | 16 | 96 | 405 | 88 | 53 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 4.68 | 4.72 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 16 | 16 | 98 | 414 | 89 | 55 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.83 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 16 | 16 | 97 | 410 | 86 | 55 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 4.92 | 5.01 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 16 | 16 | 93 | 393 | 81 | 54 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.6% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.09 | 5.20 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 90 | 539 | 2275 | 485 | 306 | 61 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.80 | 4.48 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 114 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.80 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 51 | 258 | 1099 | 227 | 148 | 16 | 89% | 4.5 | 20.6% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 3.38 | 3.87 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 40 | 200 | 852 | 176 | 115 | 12 | 89% | 4.5 | 20.6% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 3.38 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tate Kuehner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 21.5% | 14.3% | 2.3% | — | 4.70 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 383 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Damon Jones L 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.85 | 25.9% | 13.8% | 2.2% | .266 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 7.4% | 41 | +0.40 | 3.85 | 269 | 81 |
| Scott Moss L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.13 | 23.7% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .291 | 4.10 | 26.3% | 10.1% | 20 | -0.03 | 3.68 | 457 | 80 |
| Misael Siverio L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.00 | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .343 | 4.52 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 63 | +0.52 | 4.00 | 185 | 80 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.69 | 17.8% | 15.2% | 2.1% | .290 | 6.22 | 20.1% | 1.7% | 13 | +1.53 | 3.89 | 176 | 78 |
| Jonathan Dziedzic L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.26 | 15.7% | 11.0% | 2.0% | .292 | 4.75 | 14.2% | 5.3% | 243 | +0.49 | 3.79 | 522 | 77 |
| Dalton Sawyer L 2024 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.83 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 160 | 77 |
| Darin Gorski L 2028 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.79 | 15.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .323 | 4.39 | 15.0% | 5.2% | 69 | -0.40 | 4.39 | 206 | 77 |
| Sean Newcomb L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.03 | 23.0% | 11.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 3.64 | 24.5% | 13.9% | 152 | -0.39 | 2.26 | 993 | 76 |
| Bryan Radziewski L 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.19 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 106 | 76 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .292 | 4.68 | 17.8% | 6.3% | 153 | +0.16 | 4.24 | 501 | 75 |
| Juan Pablo Oramas L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.95 | 16.5% | 8.6% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.78 | 17.4% | 6.8% | 186 | -0.17 | 3.37 | 440 | 75 |
| Daniel Camarena L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.33 | 15.9% | 9.7% | 2.5% | .338 | 4.51 | 16.9% | 10.5% | 187 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 674 | 75 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 21.1% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .287 | 6.15 | 18.5% | 6.7% | 158 | +1.89 | 3.53 | 688 | 75 |
| Danny Duffy L 2027 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.27 | 17.3% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .292 | 3.94 | 22.7% | 15.3% | 481 | -0.33 | 3.29 | 915 | 75 |
| Brandon Schaeffer L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.08 | 16.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 134 | 74 |
| Chipper Smith L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 109 | 74 |
| Matt Lujan L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.25 | 15.5% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .326 | 5.04 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 119 | +0.79 | 4.25 | 227 | 74 |
| Tyson Guerrero L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.62 | 18.9% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 231 | 73 |
| Felix Doubront L 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.45 | 23.7% | 14.7% | 42 | +0.58 | 3.39 | 291 | 73 |
| Logan Boyd L 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.94 | 14.9% | 10.2% | 1.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 276 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 121 | 21.4% | 13.6% | 1.02 | 4.80 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Aaron Sanchez ('22) | 7 | 93 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 4.32 |
| Dakota Hudson ('24) | 6 | 92 | 15.0% | 11.1% | 0.91 | 4.25 |