Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | 4 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 26.7% | 6.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 1.69 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | 4 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 26.7% | 6.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 1.67 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 23 | 20 | 82 | 361 | 94 | 37 | 10 | 87% | 3.6 | 19.3% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 5.95 | 4.35 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 23 | 20 | 82 | 361 | 94 | 37 | 10 | 87% | 3.6 | 26.0% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 2.8% | 5.95 | 3.75 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 22 | 114 | 519 | 126 | 60 | 13 | 88% | 4.6 | 18.5% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.21 | 4.79 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 22 | 114 | 519 | 126 | 60 | 13 | 88% | 4.6 | 24.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 5.21 | 3.95 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 8 | 29 | 137 | 35 | 30 | 1 | 62% | 2.2 | 21.9% | 21.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 4.97 | 4.01 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 8 | 29 | 137 | 35 | 30 | 1 | 62% | 2.2 | 25.5% | 21.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 4.97 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 3.3 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 7.1% | 2.70 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 3.3 | 35.7% | 0.0% | 35.7% | 7.1% | 2.70 | 4.00 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | KC | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | KC | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | KC | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.5 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.04 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 80 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 66 | 54 | 235 | 1061 | 209 | 145 | 25 | 82% | 3.6 | 19.7% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 5.36 | 4.44 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 46 | 200 | 903 | 178 | 123 | 21 | 82% | 3.6 | 19.7% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 5.36 | 4.44 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rylan Kaufman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 20 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Mike Minor L 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.50 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .330 | 3.78 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.72 | 2.42 | 807 | 68 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.90 | 18.5% | 11.3% | 3.5% | .319 | 5.13 | 14.3% | 7.9% | 70 | +0.23 | 4.25 | 227 | 67 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 65 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 65 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 64 |
| Roy Merritt L 2029 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 64 |
| Taylor Varnell L 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.52 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 248 | 63 |
| Pete Hansen L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.23 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 437 | 63 |
| Braeden Fausnaught L 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.91 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 242 | 63 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 63 |
| Jacques Pucheu L 2024 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.21 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 134 | 62 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 62 |
| Nate Peterson L 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 62 |
| Kohl Drake L 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.13 | 17.0% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 297 | 62 |
| Tate Kuehner L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.97 | 18.7% | 11.7% | 1.8% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 245 | 61 |
| Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.62 | 27.5% | 15.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 239 | 61 |
| Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 61 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 61 |
| Jake Dahlberg L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.22 | 22.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | .397 | 5.59 | 17.9% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.37 | 3.11 | 226 | 60 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 60 |