Rylan Kaufman P Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 27 LHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99109vR 118
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.4%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+0STAMTotal WAR: +0.02 (9 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201819ROKIdaho Falls Chukars44730820100%1.826.7%6.7%20.0%0.0%3.861.69
201819ROKIdaho Falls Chukars44730820100%1.826.7%6.7%20.0%0.0%3.861.67
202122AColumbia Fireflies23208236194371087%3.619.3%12.1%7.2%2.4%5.954.35
202122AColumbia Fireflies23208236194371087%3.626.0%10.2%15.8%2.8%5.953.75
202223MIX2 levels2522114519126601388%4.618.5%13.4%5.2%2.8%5.214.79
202223MIX2 levels2522114519126601388%4.624.3%11.6%12.7%2.5%5.213.95
202324MIX3 levels138291373530162%2.221.9%21.8%0.1%0.0%4.974.01
202324MIX3 levels138291373530162%2.225.5%21.9%3.6%0.7%4.974.24
202425AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals103145010%3.335.7%0.0%35.7%7.1%2.704.00
202425AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals103145010%3.335.7%0.0%35.7%7.1%2.704.00
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBKC2210421041100%5.023.4%9.5%13.8%3.0%4.344.34+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBKC3320842083100%6.723.2%9.6%13.6%3.1%4.394.42+0.0
202728MLBKC11834831100%8.023.2%9.6%13.6%3.1%4.394.42+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11832731100%7.523.2%9.6%13.6%3.1%4.394.04+0.0
/ 200 IP33332008441868027100%6.023.2%9.6%13.6%3.1%4.394.04+3.2
Career665423510612091452582%3.619.7%13.7%6.0%2.3%5.364.44+2.6
/ 200 IP56462009031781232182%3.619.7%13.7%6.0%2.3%5.364.44+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Rylan Kaufman (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.4%9.5%3.0% 4.42 23.2%13.6%20 +0.08
Mike Minor L 2027 · 5.50 FIP 28 SP 5.50 19.2%11.8%4.6%.330 3.78 23.2%16.4%443 -1.72 2.42 807 68
Matt Lujan L 2026 · 4.90 FIP 27 SP 4.90 18.5%11.3%3.5%.319 5.13 14.3%7.9%70 +0.23 4.25 227 67
Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP 25 SP- 4.77 18.0%10.5%3.4%.274 4.77 154 65
Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP 26 SP- 5.52 17.8%8.2%5.2%.321 3.65 116 65
Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP 27 SP- 4.53 17.4%8.8%3.3%.311 4.31 17.2%9.9%300 -0.22 3.88 523 64
Roy Merritt L 2029 · 4.01 FIP 30 SP- 4.01 13.3%5.9%2.3%.293 3.88 16.2%10.4%116 -0.13 3.88 129 64
Taylor Varnell L 2025 · 4.52 FIP 26 SP 4.52 20.1%10.3%3.3%.278 2.89 248 63
Pete Hansen L 2025 · 4.23 FIP 26 SP 4.23 19.4%8.9%3.0%.318 3.66 437 63
Braeden Fausnaught L 2025 · 4.91 FIP 26 SP 4.91 17.6%7.8%4.2%.335 4.57 242 63
Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP 27 SP- 4.39 17.1%9.1%2.9%.311 3.08 310 63
Jacques Pucheu L 2024 · 3.21 FIP 25 SP- 3.21 21.4%8.2%1.6%.286 3.06 134 62
Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP 27 SP- 5.27 21.7%9.8%5.0%.289 5.37 15.7%5.0%26 +0.10 5.27 128 62
Nate Peterson L 2025 · 3.67 FIP 26 SP- 3.67 17.2%11.2%1.1%.286 3.67 288 62
Kohl Drake L 2025 · 5.13 FIP 26 SP 5.13 17.0%10.5%3.9%.321 3.28 297 62
Tate Kuehner L 2024 · 3.97 FIP 25 SP 3.97 18.7%11.7%1.8%.315 3.73 245 61
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.62 FIP 25 SP 4.62 27.5%15.9%3.4%.305 3.72 239 61
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.91 FIP 25 SP- 4.91 19.6%13.9%3.1%.273 4.29 200 61
T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP 27 SP- 4.13 16.2%9.2%2.2%.276 3.39 300 61
Jake Dahlberg L 2026 · 4.22 FIP 27 SP 4.22 22.5%5.0%4.4%.397 5.59 17.9%10.2%100 +1.37 3.11 226 60
Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 27 SP- 3.89 16.3%7.3%2.3%.373 4.65 13.4%4.8%78 +0.76 3.89 160 60