Rylan Kaufman — OGILVIE

Rylan Kaufman P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 27 LHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%23.2%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	4	4	7	30	8	2	0	100%	1.8	26.7%	6.7%	20.0%	0.0%	3.86	1.69	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	4	4	7	30	8	2	0	100%	1.8	26.7%	6.7%	20.0%	0.0%	3.86	1.67	—
2021	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	23	20	82	361	94	37	10	87%	3.6	19.3%	12.1%	7.2%	2.9%	5.95	4.60	—
2021	22	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	23	20	82	361	94	37	10	87%	3.6	26.0%	10.2%	15.8%	2.8%	5.95	3.75	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	22	114	519	126	60	13	88%	4.6	18.5%	13.4%	5.2%	3.0%	5.21	4.86	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	22	114	519	126	60	13	88%	4.6	24.3%	11.6%	12.7%	2.5%	5.21	3.95	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	8	29	137	35	30	1	62%	2.2	21.9%	21.8%	0.1%	0.0%	4.97	4.01	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	8	29	137	35	30	1	62%	2.2	21.9%	21.8%	0.1%	0.0%	4.97	4.01	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	8	29	137	35	30	1	62%	2.2	25.5%	21.9%	3.6%	0.7%	4.97	4.24	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	1	0	3	14	5	0	1	0%	3.3	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	7.1%	2.70	4.00	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	1	0	3	14	5	0	1	0%	3.3	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	7.1%	2.70	4.00	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	1	0	3	14	5	0	1	0%	3.3	35.7%	0.0%	35.7%	7.1%	2.70	4.00	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	KC	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	23.2%	11.8%	11.4%	3.0%	4.64	4.64	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	KC	3	3	20	84	20	10	3	100%	6.7	23.1%	11.7%	11.4%	3.1%	4.66	4.69	+0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	KC	1	1	8	34	8	4	1	100%	8.0	23.1%	11.7%	11.4%	3.1%	4.66	4.69	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	8	32	7	4	1	100%	7.5	23.1%	11.7%	11.4%	3.1%	4.66	4.31	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	186	106	27	100%	6.0	23.1%	11.7%	11.4%	3.1%	4.66	4.31	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		66	54	235	1061	209	145	27	82%	3.6	19.7%	13.7%	6.0%	2.5%	5.36	4.56	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	46	200	903	178	123	23	82%	3.6	19.7%	13.7%	6.0%	2.5%	5.36	4.56	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rylan Kaufman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	23.2%	11.8%	3.0%	—	4.69	23.1%	11.4%	20	+0.05	—	—	—
Mike Minor L 2016 · 5.63 FIP	28	SP	5.63	19.2%	11.8%	4.8%	.330	3.76	23.2%	16.4%	443	-1.87	2.43	807	70
Matt Lujan L 2016 · 5.05 FIP	27	SP	5.05	18.5%	11.3%	3.8%	.319	4.69	14.3%	7.9%	70	-0.36	4.06	227	69
Ben Holmes L 2019 · 5.57 FIP	27	SP	5.57	19.7%	11.1%	5.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	451	65
Taylor Varnell L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	26	SP	4.48	20.1%	10.3%	3.2%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	248	64
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	63
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	62
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	62
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.79	18.9%	3.1%	13	+1.10	3.85	176	62
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	62
Michael Plassmeyer L 2023 · 4.47 FIP	26	SP	4.47	20.5%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	4.59	19.5%	13.1%	216	+0.12	3.42	653	61
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	61
Luis Ysla L 2019 · 5.78 FIP	27	SP-	5.78	18.0%	14.4%	4.3%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	378	60
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	60
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	59
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	59
Brandon Knarr L 2023 · 5.04 FIP	25	SP-	5.04	24.8%	16.0%	3.7%	.450	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	256	59
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	58
Luis Lugo L 2021 · 5.21 FIP	27	SP-	5.21	19.5%	13.2%	3.8%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	622	58
Alex Troop L 2023 · 5.03 FIP	27	SP-	5.03	17.8%	10.9%	3.7%	.275	5.10	17.3%	10.5%	43	+0.07	2.93	379	57
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	57