Dylan Jordan
P
Rancho Cucamonga Quakes
+0.7
WAR
Age 20
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 3.0 · 2033
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.5%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.8%
IP76
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.0peak
2033
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 19 | 19 | 76 | 318 | 85 | 30 | 3 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 1.7% | 2.36 | 3.92 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 2 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 72 | 31 | 9 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 20 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 84 | 357 | 83 | 32 | 9 | 23.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.26 | 3.94 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 15 | 15 | 80 | 338 | 78 | 31 | 9 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.23 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 106 | 448 | 107 | 38 | 12 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 4.15 | 4.06 | +1.5 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 130 | 549 | 134 | 45 | 15 | 24.4% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.03 | 3.94 | +2.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 27 | 149 | 631 | 157 | 50 | 17 | 24.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.93 | 3.86 | +2.4 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 163 | 689 | 174 | 54 | 18 | 25.3% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 3.85 | 3.80 | +2.8 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 31 | 31 | 170 | 719 | 183 | 56 | 19 | 25.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 3.81 | 3.78 | +2.9 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 31 | 31 | 173 | 730 | 186 | 57 | 20 | 25.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 3.80 | 3.79 | +3.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 31 | 31 | 172 | 728 | 185 | 58 | 20 | 25.4% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 3.81 | 3.82 | +2.9 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 31 | 31 | 168 | 711 | 180 | 57 | 20 | 25.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.84 | 3.86 | +2.8 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 163 | 690 | 173 | 56 | 19 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 3.92 | +2.6 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 29 | 158 | 666 | 166 | 55 | 19 | 24.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 3.95 | 4.00 | +2.3 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 28 | 151 | 639 | 157 | 53 | 19 | 24.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 4.03 | 4.08 | +2.1 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 145 | 611 | 148 | 52 | 19 | 24.3% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.12 | 4.18 | +1.8 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 84 | 353 | 71 | 38 | 5 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 2.45 | 3.61 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 50 | 200 | 837 | 168 | 90 | 12 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 2.45 | 3.61 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan Jordan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.05 | 23.8% | 15.2% | 316 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Tanner Burns R 2028 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.38 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | .292 | 5.40 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.02 | 4.38 | 355 | 89 |
| Yimmi Brasoban R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.90 | 20.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .261 | 4.36 | 16.7% | 5.3% | 78 | +0.46 | 3.33 | 149 | 89 |
| Brendan Collins R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.69 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.16 | 3.69 | 122 | 89 |
| David Garner R 2028 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .282 | 4.52 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.81 | 154 | 88 |
| Sam Bragg R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.26 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 1.9% | .306 | 3.98 | 15.7% | 8.5% | 203 | +0.72 | 3.26 | 277 | 88 |
| Alessandro Ercolani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.89 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .267 | 5.28 | 12.7% | 2.8% | 100 | +1.39 | 3.82 | 291 | 87 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.98 | 19.9% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .238 | 4.57 | 20.0% | 7.3% | 191 | +0.59 | 3.98 | 319 | 87 |
| Mike Vasil R 2028 · 3.64 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.64 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .264 | 4.65 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +1.01 | 3.64 | 429 | 86 |
| Dualvert Gutierrez R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.18 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .352 | 4.29 | 15.9% | 2.2% | 78 | +1.11 | 3.18 | 130 | 86 |
| John Russell R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.98 | 22.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 4.78 | 24.0% | 11.2% | 60 | +0.80 | 3.92 | 158 | 86 |
| Alex Cook R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.03 | 26.1% | 10.8% | 3.2% | .266 | 3.34 | 21.0% | 12.9% | 53 | -0.69 | 2.94 | 119 | 86 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.79 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 543 | 85 |
| Peyton Remy R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.57 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .280 | 4.71 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 140 | +1.14 | 3.57 | 286 | 85 |
| Christian Zazueta R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.88 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 211 | 85 |
| Drew Anderson R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.39 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.6% | .295 | 4.66 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 273 | +1.27 | 3.11 | 450 | 85 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2029 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.50 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 167 | -0.40 | 3.06 | 230 | 85 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .305 | 3.40 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.57 | 2.58 | 408 | 85 |
| Mark Ecker R 2028 · 3.23 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.23 | 24.6% | 10.6% | 1.6% | .322 | 4.56 | 16.7% | 4.2% | 118 | +1.33 | 3.23 | 180 | 85 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2029 · 3.71 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.71 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .293 | 4.53 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.82 | 2.08 | 276 | 85 |
| RJ Petit R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.50 | 20.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% | .270 | 3.45 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 177 | -1.05 | 3.09 | 231 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +2.8 | $26M | +$25M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.9 | $28M | +$27M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.0 | $30M | +$29M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.9 | $29M | +$24M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +2.8 | $29M | +$20M |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $18M | $142M | +$124M | ||