Juan Nuñez — OGILVIE

Juan Nuñez P FCL Orioles

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%25.9%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%11.9%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	10	46	186	62	15	1	91%	4.2	22.7%	10.1%	12.6%	0.8%	2.14	2.88	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	11	10	46	186	62	15	1	91%	4.2	33.3%	8.1%	25.3%	0.5%	2.14	1.68	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	12	50	221	63	24	4	86%	3.6	19.6%	13.2%	6.4%	2.5%	3.58	4.49	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	12	50	221	63	24	4	86%	3.6	28.5%	10.9%	17.6%	1.8%	3.58	3.06	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	19	105	448	125	58	8	73%	4.0	21.0%	15.1%	5.9%	2.4%	3.96	4.54	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	19	105	448	125	58	8	73%	4.0	21.0%	15.1%	5.9%	2.4%	3.96	4.54	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	19	105	448	125	58	8	73%	4.0	27.9%	12.9%	15.0%	1.8%	3.96	3.37	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	7	4	29	118	38	10	3	57%	4.2	24.8%	9.7%	15.1%	3.1%	2.45	3.94	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	7	4	29	118	38	10	3	57%	4.2	24.8%	9.7%	15.1%	3.1%	2.45	3.94	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	7	4	29	118	38	10	3	57%	4.2	32.2%	8.5%	23.7%	2.5%	2.45	2.86	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	8	3	14	66	26	12	2	38%	1.8	31.9%	20.0%	11.9%	2.9%	7.07	4.54	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	8	3	14	66	26	12	2	38%	1.8	31.9%	20.0%	11.9%	2.9%	7.07	4.54	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Chesapeake Baysox	8	3	14	66	26	12	2	38%	1.8	39.4%	18.2%	21.2%	3.0%	7.07	3.81	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	2	2	2	12	4	1	1	100%	1.0	—	—	—	—	9.00	—	—
YTD	25	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	2	2	2	12	4	1	1	100%	1.0	—	—	—	—	9.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	BAL	1	1	1	9	2	1	1	100%	1.0	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	11.1%	18.00	8.73	—
2026	25	A RAW	BAL	1	1	1	3	2	0	0	100%	1.0	66.7%	0.0%	66.7%	0.0%	0.00	-2.53	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	4	4	26	111	29	15	3	100%	6.6	25.8%	13.5%	12.4%	3.0%	4.65	4.64	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	2	2	11	46	12	6	1	100%	5.5	25.8%	13.5%	12.4%	3.0%	4.65	4.64	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	11	48	12	6	1	100%	5.6	25.8%	13.5%	12.4%	3.0%	4.65	4.26	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	213	106	18	100%	6.0	25.8%	13.5%	12.4%	3.0%	4.65	4.26	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		68	50	247	1051	234	141	24	74%	3.6	22.2%	13.4%	8.8%	2.3%	3.58	4.18	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	41	200	852	190	114	20	74%	3.6	22.2%	13.4%	8.8%	2.3%	3.58	4.18	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Nuñez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	25.9%	14.0%	3.0%	—	4.64	25.8%	12.4%	26	-0.06	—	—	—
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	85
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	79
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	78
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	76
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	75
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.83	22.0%	10.4%	160	+0.06	3.75	326	74
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	73
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	72
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	71
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	71
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	70
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	70
Cody Morris R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	25	SP-	3.74	31.3%	11.6%	3.3%	.256	4.52	22.8%	8.1%	72	+0.78	2.23	256	69
DJ Myers R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	24	SP-	4.05	22.9%	12.4%	2.4%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	257	68
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	68
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	68
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	68
Trace Bright R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	22	SP-	4.26	26.3%	14.7%	2.8%	.297	4.83	19.2%	5.8%	313	+0.57	4.26	413	67
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	67
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.44	20.8%	11.9%	382	+0.06	2.77	544	67