Chayce McDermott
P
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 91 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135125vR 116
ERA5.27
FIP5.13
K%24.4%
BB%16.8%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP91
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 128 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH (5%)
CU (1%)
FB-2.8 (54%)
SL-4.9 (40%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 4 | 21 | 85 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 57% | 3.0 | 33.0% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 3.9% | 2.95 | 4.47 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 4 | 21 | 85 | 40 | 11 | 3 | 57% | 3.0 | 47.1% | 12.9% | 34.1% | 3.5% | 2.95 | 2.73 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 104 | 457 | 160 | 64 | 17 | 67% | 3.8 | 27.3% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 5.56 | 4.98 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 18 | 104 | 457 | 160 | 64 | 17 | 67% | 3.8 | 35.0% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 3.7% | 5.56 | 4.00 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 119 | 492 | 152 | 68 | 9 | 85% | 4.6 | 25.9% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 3.10 | 3.74 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 119 | 492 | 152 | 68 | 9 | 85% | 4.6 | 30.9% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 1.8% | 3.10 | 3.24 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 104 | 456 | 147 | 62 | 12 | 96% | 4.5 | 28.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 4.01 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 104 | 456 | 147 | 62 | 12 | 96% | 4.5 | 32.2% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 2.6% | 3.89 | 3.56 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 12 | 68 | 324 | 72 | 57 | 9 | 40% | 2.3 | 19.6% | 17.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 7.38 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 12 | 68 | 324 | 72 | 57 | 9 | 40% | 2.3 | 22.2% | 17.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 7.38 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 36 | 1 | 37 | 171 | 58 | 29 | 4 | 3% | 1.0 | 31.8% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 2.5% | 5.15 | 4.08 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BAL | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 94 | 65 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 5.27 | 5.13 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BAL | 87 | 0 | 91 | 384 | 94 | 65 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 5.27 | 5.13 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 128 | 556 | 152 | 94 | 15 | — | — | 27.4% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 5.24 | 4.83 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 93 | 394 | 152 | 94 | 15 | — | — | 38.5% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 7.16 | 4.96 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 132 | 0 | 139 | 587 | 141 | 94 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.13 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 126 | 0 | 133 | 560 | 133 | 88 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 5.15 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 119 | 0 | 125 | 527 | 122 | 82 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 15.6% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 126 | 0 | 132 | 557 | 134 | 90 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.13 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 120 | 0 | 126 | 532 | 126 | 83 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 5.15 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 112 | 0 | 118 | 498 | 116 | 78 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 15.6% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 5.24 | 5.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 452 | 2 | 483 | 2054 | 484 | 330 | 66 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.41 | 4.92 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 1 | 200 | 851 | 201 | 137 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 5.41 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 149 | 79 | 453 | 1985 | 530 | 314 | 56 | 53% | 3.0 | 26.7% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.65 | 4.40 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 35 | 200 | 876 | 234 | 139 | 25 | 53% | 3.0 | 26.7% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.65 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chayce McDermott (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.13 | 24.4% | 16.8% | 2.9% | — | 5.21 | 23.7% | 7.9% | 396 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Sean Isaac R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 70 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 70 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.91 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.44 | 3.04 | 341 | 70 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2024 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 68 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.12 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 4.0% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 414 | 66 |
| Brian Keller R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.16 | 22.6% | 19.1% | 1.0% | .288 | 3.75 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 113 | -0.41 | 1.89 | 577 | 66 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 252 | 66 |
| Fernando Baez R 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 65 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.11 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 3.12 | 26.0% | 15.4% | 35 | -0.99 | 3.12 | 187 | 65 |
| Anthony Simonelli R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.41 | 23.0% | 19.8% | 3.2% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 206 | 65 |
| Ben Gross R 2024 · 4.87 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.87 | 17.6% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 118 | 65 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 65 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.07 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 144 | 65 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 64 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 63 |
| Cody Morris R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.10 | 23.8% | 16.1% | 1.8% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.26 | 256 | 63 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 63 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 62 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 62 |
| Brian Glowicki R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.30 | 18.2% | 15.9% | 3.1% | .229 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 189 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 122 | 23.8% | 16.0% | 1.20 | 5.20 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |