Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.12 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.10 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 81 | 348 | 87 | 38 | 10 | 95% | 4.3 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.11 | 5.10 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 81 | 348 | 87 | 38 | 10 | 95% | 4.3 | 25.0% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 3.96 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 24 | 18 | 84 | 380 | 72 | 30 | 12 | 75% | 3.5 | 15.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.12 | 5.50 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 24 | 18 | 84 | 380 | 72 | 30 | 12 | 75% | 3.5 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 4.31 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 54 | 220 | 68 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 1.7% | 3.86 | 3.16 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 54 | 220 | 68 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.9% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 2.82 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 26 | 134 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 7.18 | 6.15 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 26 | 134 | 41 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.6% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 4.5% | 7.18 | 5.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 11 | 54 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.8% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 9.25 | 6.05 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 211 | 0 | 200 | 952 | 194 | 123 | 53 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.8% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 9.25 | 6.05 | -1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 117 | 37 | 247 | 1088 | 222 | 121 | 43 | 32% | 2.1 | 20.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 4.69 | 4.94 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 30 | 200 | 880 | 179 | 98 | 34 | 32% | 2.1 | 20.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 4.69 | 4.94 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Frank German (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.5% | 9.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.54 | 23.3% | 13.4% | 20 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 74 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 73 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.74 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .432 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.88 | 136 | 72 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 71 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 71 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 71 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 71 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 71 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 69 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 69 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 69 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.00 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.74 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 336 | -0.26 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 69 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 68 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .371 | 4.86 | 17.5% | 5.7% | 37 | +0.53 | 3.07 | 133 | 68 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 68 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 68 |
| Cody Poteet R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 18.4% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .244 | 3.76 | 21.4% | 12.8% | 68 | -1.04 | 3.49 | 619 | 68 |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 68 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.71 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.19 | 24.0% | 17.4% | 119 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 363 | 67 |