Blade Tidwell
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 244 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 75 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.18
FIP4.39
K%21.6%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP75
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 144 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+2.0 (49%)
CH (3%)
SL (47%)
SI (8%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 1.9 | 26.8% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 3.00 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 1.9 | 26.8% | 17.1% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 2.99 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 116 | 487 | 153 | 63 | 14 | 100% | 4.6 | 24.5% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 3.57 | 4.86 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 116 | 487 | 153 | 63 | 14 | 100% | 4.6 | 31.4% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 3.57 | 3.66 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 122 | 535 | 121 | 64 | 18 | 85% | 4.7 | 19.3% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.97 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 122 | 535 | 121 | 64 | 18 | 85% | 4.7 | 22.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 4.86 | 4.60 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 19 | 112 | 484 | 121 | 46 | 12 | 76% | 4.5 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.07 | +1.7 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 19 | 112 | 484 | 121 | 46 | 12 | 76% | 4.5 | 25.0% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 3.56 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 21 | 12 | 69 | 297 | 75 | 30 | 8 | 57% | 3.3 | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.15 | 4.29 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 13 | 13 | 75 | 316 | 68 | 34 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.18 | 4.39 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 13 | 13 | 75 | 317 | 68 | 34 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.18 | 4.39 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 144 | 613 | 143 | 64 | 18 | — | — | 23.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.34 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 87 | 367 | 143 | 64 | 18 | — | — | 39.0% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 4.9% | 6.91 | 4.71 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 149 | 630 | 136 | 63 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.61 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 25 | 25 | 151 | 638 | 137 | 63 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.62 | +1.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 24 | 24 | 142 | 600 | 129 | 59 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.61 | +1.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 24 | 24 | 144 | 608 | 131 | 60 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.62 | +1.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 73 | 63 | 387 | 1646 | 348 | 166 | 52 | 86% | 5.3 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.34 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 32 | 200 | 850 | 180 | 86 | 27 | 86% | 5.3 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 83 | 429 | 1844 | 409 | 228 | 59 | 81% | 4.2 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.20 | 4.55 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 39 | 200 | 860 | 191 | 106 | 28 | 81% | 4.2 | 22.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.20 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blade Tidwell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 3.2% | — | 4.62 | 21.5% | 11.7% | 300 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 79 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 76 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 75 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 74 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 74 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 74 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 73 |
| Justin Topa R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 72 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 72 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 71 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .296 | 3.59 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 36 | -0.73 | 3.59 | 327 | 71 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 70 |
| Matt Ager R 2024 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 70 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 70 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 70 |
| Aidan Foeller R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 149 | 69 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 69 |
| Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 69 |
| Ryan Johnson R 2024 · 4.81 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.81 | 20.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 126 | 69 |
| Jackson Finley R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.85 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 132 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 132 | 21.5% | 10.1% | 1.21 | 4.56 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Jaime García ('18) | 4 | 135 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 1.05 | 4.23 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |