Zack Lee
P
West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 200 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144135vR 126
ERA5.58
FIP5.58
K%11.5%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%1.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 112 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 1.78 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 1.85 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 21 | 17 | 83 | 339 | 88 | 20 | 6 | 81% | 3.9 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 3.16 | 3.41 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 21 | 17 | 83 | 339 | 88 | 20 | 6 | 81% | 3.9 | 26.0% | 5.9% | 20.1% | 1.8% | 3.16 | 2.64 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 22 | 12 | 93 | 384 | 60 | 29 | 10 | 55% | 4.2 | 11.6% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.79 | 5.81 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 22 | 12 | 93 | 384 | 60 | 29 | 10 | 55% | 4.2 | 15.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 3.79 | 4.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 24 | 3 | 42 | 182 | 50 | 16 | 3 | 12% | 1.8 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 4.50 | 3.62 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 34 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.5% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.58 | 5.58 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.5% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.58 | 5.58 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | DET | — | — | 112 | 478 | 84 | 47 | 12 | — | — | 17.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 5.17 | 4.84 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 11.5% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.58 | 5.20 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.9% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.39 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | DET | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 42 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.31 | 5.31 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | DET | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.9% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.39 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | DET | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 26 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.31 | 5.31 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 0 | 74 | 312 | 44 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.34 | 4.95 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 119 | 87 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.34 | 4.95 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 70 | 32 | 221 | 921 | 154 | 75 | 29 | 46% | 3.2 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 3.78 | 4.42 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 29 | 200 | 832 | 139 | 68 | 26 | 46% | 3.2 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 3.78 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zack Lee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.58 | 11.5% | 10.4% | 3.2% | — | 5.33 | 14.2% | 3.9% | 139 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 88 |
| Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.53 | 11.0% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .365 | 3.81 | 8.4% | 0.9% | 73 | -0.72 | 3.81 | 142 | 84 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 81 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 80 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 80 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 80 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 80 |
| LJ Brewster R 2024 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 79 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 79 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2024 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 79 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 79 |
| Blake McKnight R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 7.0% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 9.5% | 0.1% | 39 | +0.16 | 3.25 | 225 | 79 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 79 |
| Kyle Miller R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 12.1% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 164 | 78 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 78 |
| Alex Sanabia R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 11.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .358 | 3.56 | 11.1% | 6.2% | 161 | -0.91 | 3.51 | 378 | 78 |
| Alec Baker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.2% | .315 | 6.18 | 14.1% | 3.7% | 44 | +1.20 | 3.80 | 205 | 78 |
| Braxton Hyde R 2025 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.67 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 4.0% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 198 | 78 |
| Michael Ross R 2025 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.83 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 146 | 77 |
| Drasen Johnson R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.44 | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 110 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 13.3% | 10.3% | 1.24 | 5.43 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |